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CSKA Moscow vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 May 2018
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-79
19-22 16-19 13-28 29-10
Position#1
Record27-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#4
Record21-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - 3rd place
European cup2017
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas
13 Jan 2021
CMO83
ZAL73
21 Nov 2018
CMO99
ZAL97
20 May 2018
CMO77
ZAL79
03 Nov 2017
CMO94
ZAL91
18 Nov 2016
CMO95
ZAL86
01 Apr 2016
CMO100
ZAL86
10 Jan 2014
CMO77
ZAL62
15 Mar 2013
CMO70
ZAL61
03 Feb 2013
CMO68
ZAL74
29 Sep 2012
CMO89
ZAL87
23 Nov 2011
CMO95
ZAL82
24 Sep 2011
CMO69
ZAL61
03 Oct 2010
CMO79
ZAL73
10 Mar 2010
CMO84
ZAL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
92-81
92
81
+11
120avg 116
H05/04
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
104-90
104
90
+14
no box
A09/04
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
105-95
105
95
+10
no box
A11/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#8
W
98-95
98
95
+3
128avg 116
H17/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
115avg 116
H19/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
100avg 116
A25/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
89-88
89
88
+1
114avg 116
A27/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H05/05
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#11
W
111-76
111
76
+35
no box
A12/05
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
83-92
83
92
-9
108avg 116
H18/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
14-20
27-19
28-18
20-24
32-21
29-22
23-23
20-25
26-29
30-13
29-28
25-34
21-20
26-21
26-20
24-22
19-23
25-21
21-18
15-17
27-27
15-16
16-19
32-25
25-19
14-21
18-23
24-25
32-24
22-15
22-20
33-19
31-19
26-17
21-21
30-20
16-27
10-16
27-29
180.8Avg total
94.4Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)89.180.8169.8+8.377%
Season at home (18)92.081.4173.4+10.689%
Season away (17)85.980.1166.1+5.865%
Last 10 (10)94.486.4180.8+8.080%
Last 5 (5)91.283.8175.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)85.786.0171.7-0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)93.481.3174.8+12.189%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
95avg 109
A20/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
80-60
80
60
+20
112avg 109
H24/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
101-91
101
91
+10
129avg 109
H26/04
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A02/05
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A05/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
82-56
82
56
+26
no box
H07/05
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
109-52
109
52
+57
no box
H09/05
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H12/05
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
93avg 109
A18/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
17-24
22-13
14-25
21-19
26-17
20-14
13-10
23-22
28-15
27-19
23-35
26-19
27-13
21-27
17-13
20-18
19-21
25-13
17-22
21-21
20-12
23-19
21-24
19-16
15-17
22-7
26-16
28-14
21-15
31-13
29-10
28-24
25-20
21-9
21-17
13-19
20-20
17-15
17-22
156.5Avg total
85.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.480.0161.4+1.460%
Season at home (17)82.579.1161.6+3.576%
Season away (18)80.380.9161.2-0.644%
Last 10 (10)85.970.6156.5+15.380%
Last 5 (5)87.666.0153.6+21.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.080.5163.5+2.550%
vs Similar (9)80.179.1159.2+1.056%
vs Weaker (18)84.666.8151.4+17.894%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
CSKA MoscowZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H05/04
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A09/04
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A11/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#8
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H17/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H19/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A25/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A27/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H05/05
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#11
W
64-38
64
38
+26
A12/05
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H18/05
Euroleague
95.3Avg total
48.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.241.889.0+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.140.587.6+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)47.343.190.4+4.353%-
Last 10 (10)48.946.495.3+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)53.044.497.4+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)48.039.387.3+8.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.142.189.2+5.059%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A20/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H24/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H26/04
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A02/05
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A05/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H07/05
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H09/05
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/05
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/05
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
43.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.577.5+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.734.177.8+9.682%-
Last 30 away (13)37.539.677.2-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)43.236.379.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.677.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)46.041.587.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar (9)38.138.076.1+0.144%-
vs Weaker (18)41.834.976.8+6.961%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.2
52.6%
51.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.4
38.2%
37.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.117.5
82.9%
76.3%17.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.9
54.2%
51.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.65.8
42.6%
37.6%17.4
🏀 Free throws22.817.3
75.9%
76.3%17.3
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
LWWWLWWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#4
+3.3
Net rating
+2.7
117.2
Offensive rating
112.4
113.8
Defensive rating
109.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
56.7%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.6%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.42
38.2%
3-point %
42.6%
57.4%
Assist %
68.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 112.4Defence113.8 · 109.7Shooting54.3% · 56.7%3-point %38.2% · 42.6%Ball care17.2% · 19.6%Off. rebounds35.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
CSKA Moscow wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/18HReal Madrid83-92
12/05/18AParma Perm111-76
05/05/18HZenit Petersburg100-84
27/04/18AKhimki M.89-88
25/04/18AKhimki M.73-79
19/04/18HKhimki M.89-84
17/04/18HKhimki M.98-95
11/04/18ABC Kalev/Cramo105-95
09/04/18ANizhny Novgorod104-90
05/04/18HCrvena zvezda92-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/18AFenerbahce67-76
12/05/18HNevezis95-70
09/05/18HSkycop109-52
07/05/18HJuventus82-56
05/05/18APieno Zvaigzdes85-76
02/05/18ALietkabelis81-74
29/04/18HNevezis91-72
26/04/18HOlympiacos101-91
24/04/18HOlympiacos80-60
20/04/18AOlympiacos68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL77%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWLLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %77%89%65%
Points / game89.192.085.9
Allowed / game80.881.480.1
Point differential+8.3+10.6+5.8
Avg total169.8173.4166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLWWWW76%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %60%76%44%
Points / game81.482.580.3
Allowed / game80.079.180.9
Point differential+1.4+3.5-0.6
Avg total161.4161.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%35%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3527877%89.180.8+8.3
2 Fenerbahce35251071%81.475.9+5.5
3 Real Madrid35231266%85.980.3+5.5
4 Zalgiris Kaunas35211460%81.480.0+1.4
5 Panathinaikos34201459%79.478.0+1.5
6 Olympiacos34201459%77.777.6+0.1
7 Baskonia34171750%82.980.1+2.8
8 Khimki M.34171750%78.979.4-0.5
9 Unicaja30131743%79.682.2-2.7
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%81.384.3-3.0
11 Valencia30121840%78.781.6-3.0
12 Barcelona30111937%81.980.1+1.7
13 Bamberg30111937%77.081.5-4.6
14 Crvena zvezda30111937%77.883.8-6.1
15 Olimpia Milano30102033%81.785.8-4.2
16 Anadolu Efes3072323%77.484.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow1916132977
Zalgiris Kaunas2219281079
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