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CSKA Moscow vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 May 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-92
30-20 16-27 10-16 27-29
Position#1
Record27-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game80.4
CSKA Moscow
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#3
Record22-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Semi-finals
European cup2017
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid
26 Nov 2020
CMO74
MAD73
17 May 2019
CMO95
MAD90
08 Feb 2019
CMO82
MAD78
18 May 2018
CMO83
MAD92
01 Feb 2018
CMO93
MAD87
11 Nov 2016
CMO91
MAD90
07 Jan 2016
CMO95
MAD81
23 Jan 2014
CMO85
MAD71
28 Mar 2013
CMO81
MAD72
17 Dec 2008
CMO78
MAD82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
H02/04
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
92-81
92
81
+11
120avg 116
H05/04
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
104-90
104
90
+14
no box
A09/04
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
105-95
105
95
+10
no box
A11/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#8
W
98-95
98
95
+3
128avg 116
H17/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
115avg 116
H19/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
100avg 116
A25/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
89-88
89
88
+1
114avg 116
A27/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H05/05
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#11
W
111-76
111
76
+35
no box
A12/05
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
22-17
23-25
12-12
23-24
14-20
27-19
28-18
20-24
32-21
29-22
23-23
20-25
26-29
30-13
29-28
25-34
21-20
26-21
26-20
24-22
19-23
25-21
21-18
15-17
27-27
15-16
16-19
32-25
25-19
14-21
18-23
24-25
32-24
22-15
22-20
33-19
31-19
26-17
21-21
177.6Avg total
94.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)89.280.4169.7+8.879%
Season at home (17)92.580.8173.3+11.894%
Season away (17)85.980.1166.1+5.865%
Last 10 (10)94.183.5177.6+10.690%
Last 5 (5)92.482.2174.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker (28)93.181.5174.6+11.586%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
90-75
90
75
+15
117avg 117
A14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
91avg 117
A17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
122avg 117
A19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
111avg 117
H25/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
H27/04
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#10
W
92-75
92
75
+17
no box
A29/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
101-89
101
89
+12
130avg 117
H03/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
113avg 117
H06/05
ACB
Real Betis
#18
W
104-89
104
89
+15
144avg 117
H09/05
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
63-61
63
61
+2
86avg 117
A12/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-13
30-13
20-27
13-26
17-20
14-31
23-18
16-21
20-19
32-21
21-21
17-17
23-17
17-19
24-21
19-14
32-21
27-25
11-22
21-16
23-15
30-20
18-24
25-24
27-20
23-18
26-27
12-22
31-11
31-20
13-22
21-22
28-23
29-21
26-23
18-12
13-13
16-18
16-18
166.0Avg total
86.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)85.780.2165.9+5.465%
Season at home (17)87.477.8165.1+9.676%
Season away (17)84.082.7166.7+1.353%
Last 10 (10)86.379.7166.0+6.690%
Last 5 (5)89.477.8167.2+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)89.487.0176.4+2.440%
vs Weaker (24)86.778.0164.7+8.688%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
CSKA MoscowReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H02/04
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H05/04
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A09/04
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A11/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#8
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H17/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H19/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A25/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A27/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H05/05
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#11
W
64-38
64
38
+26
A12/05
VTB United League
93.1Avg total
48.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.241.688.7+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.140.187.2+7.171%-
Last 30 away (16)47.242.990.1+4.356%-
Last 10 (10)48.844.393.1+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)52.444.096.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)49.035.584.5+13.5100%-
vs Weaker (28)47.042.089.0+5.061%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H27/04
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A29/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H03/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/05
ACB
Real Betis
#18
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H09/05
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A12/05
ACB
78.4Avg total
41.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.681.3+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.239.283.4+5.076%-
Last 30 away (13)40.837.878.6+3.154%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.878.4+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.679.4+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.440.883.2+1.660%-
vs Weaker (24)42.737.880.5+4.867%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.0
55.1%
51.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.9
39.9%
37.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.716.0
81.2%
76.3%16.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.5
57.5%
51.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.7
37.0%
37.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.216.2
73.0%
76.3%16.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWWLWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+7.8
Net rating
+8.7
120.2
Offensive rating
112.1
112.5
Defensive rating
103.4
56.8%
Effective FG%
56.7%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.9%
3-point %
37.0%
59.9%
Assist %
59.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 112.1Defence112.5 · 103.4Shooting56.8% · 56.7%3-point %39.9% · 37.0%Ball care17.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds36.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
CSKA Moscow wins
3
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
01/02/18CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid93-87
19/10/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow82-69
21/05/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow70-94
06/01/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow95-85
11/11/16CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid91-90
02/03/16Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow87-96
07/01/16CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid95-81
20/03/14Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow93-79
23/01/14CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid85-71
28/03/13CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid81-72
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/18AParma Perm111-76
05/05/18HZenit Petersburg100-84
27/04/18AKhimki M.89-88
25/04/18AKhimki M.73-79
19/04/18HKhimki M.89-84
17/04/18HKhimki M.98-95
11/04/18ABC Kalev/Cramo105-95
09/04/18ANizhny Novgorod104-90
05/04/18HCrvena zvezda92-81
02/04/18HUnics Kazan80-63
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/18AMurcia63-61
09/05/18HReal Betis104-89
06/05/18HGipuzkoa87-75
03/05/18HBaskonia101-89
29/04/18AEstudiantes92-75
27/04/18HPanathinaikos89-82
25/04/18HPanathinaikos81-74
19/04/18APanathinaikos89-82
17/04/18APanathinaikos67-95
14/04/18AFuenlabrada90-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %79%94%65%
Points / game89.292.585.9
Allowed / game80.480.880.1
Point differential+8.8+11.8+5.8
Avg total169.7173.3166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %65%76%53%
Points / game85.787.484.0
Allowed / game80.277.882.7
Point differential+5.4+9.6+1.3
Avg total165.9165.1166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%53%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3427779%89.280.4+8.8
2 Fenerbahce35251071%81.475.9+5.5
3 Real Madrid34221265%85.780.2+5.4
4 Zalgiris Kaunas35211460%81.480.0+1.4
5 Panathinaikos34201459%79.478.0+1.5
6 Olympiacos34201459%77.777.6+0.1
7 Baskonia34171750%82.980.1+2.8
8 Khimki M.34171750%78.979.4-0.5
9 Unicaja30131743%79.682.2-2.7
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%81.384.3-3.0
11 Valencia30121840%78.781.6-3.0
12 Barcelona30111937%81.980.1+1.7
13 Bamberg30111937%77.081.5-4.6
14 Crvena zvezda30111937%77.883.8-6.1
15 Olimpia Milano30102033%81.785.8-4.2
16 Anadolu Efes3072323%77.484.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow3016102783
Real Madrid2027162992
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