PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

CSKA Sofia vs Academic Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-74
19-25 29-21 22-10 23-18
Position#5
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game77.1
CSKA Sofia 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Academic Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Position#8
Record3-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game84.2
BulgariaNBLRound 13· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Academic Plovdiv
22 Dec 2023
CSKA93
ACAD74
17 Dec 2022
CSKA82
ACAD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academic Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Minyor
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 82
H21/10
NBL
Levski
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 82
A30/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
99-64
99
64
+35
96avg 82
H04/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 82
A13/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 82
H19/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 82
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 82
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 82
A03/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
99-86
99
86
+13
97avg 82
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 82
A17/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
20-13
23-21
20-28
20-14
18-15
21-22
26-21
20-17
24-16
37-13
18-18
12-24
16-12
20-24
30-19
23-17
21-20
19-18
20-24
16-26
13-19
30-28
23-22
15-22
21-20
36-17
18-13
26-19
17-25
23-26
29-16
27-20
29-25
16-23
27-18
26-23
26-15
23-21
15-16
167.2Avg total
87.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.277.1164.2+10.175%
Season at home (6)88.274.7162.8+13.583%
Season away (6)86.279.5165.7+6.767%
Last 10 (10)87.979.3167.2+8.670%
Last 5 (5)91.282.8174.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.081.6163.6+0.455%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.177.8164.9+9.389%
vs Weaker (9)87.677.9165.4+9.767%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 66
H20/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
68avg 66
A27/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
76-78
76
78
-2
65avg 66
H06/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
86-87
86
87
-1
74avg 66
A12/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
69-65
69
65
+4
63avg 66
H20/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
73avg 66
A25/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
66-79
66
79
-13
48avg 66
H29/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
87-93
87
93
-6
74avg 66
A03/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
58avg 66
H09/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 66
H18/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
23-20
19-26
24-26
20-17
22-22
24-18
14-21
16-17
16-15
26-24
18-22
20-26
9-13
33-27
24-21
17-15
13-16
16-15
23-19
19-19
20-20
24-25
20-29
18-22
19-14
16-21
13-22
19-32
17-30
25-16
26-15
20-15
17-30
16-20
22-8
17-23
19-20
18-20
12-22
160.4Avg total
77.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.584.2160.8-7.825%
Season at home (7)73.080.4153.4-7.429%
Season away (5)81.489.6171.0-8.220%
Last 10 (10)77.782.7160.4-5.030%
Last 5 (5)75.484.6160.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.784.3159.0-9.526%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.786.7168.4-5.029%
vs Weaker (4)86.084.2170.2+1.850%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
CSKA SofiaAcademic Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/10
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H04/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A13/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/12
NBL
79.0Avg total
40.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.181.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.938.281.2+4.762%-
Last 30 away (14)40.740.080.7+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.579.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.886.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.539.679.2-0.145%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.737.881.4+5.956%-
vs Weaker (9)43.640.684.1+3.067%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/10
NBL
Levski
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H06/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A12/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H20/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H09/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/12
NBL
77.4Avg total
36.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.380.2-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.040.178.1-2.135%-
Last 30 away (13)37.845.282.9-7.415%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.077.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.082.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.140.979.0-2.926%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.443.682.0-5.129%-
vs Weaker (4)36.246.582.8-10.225%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.6
58.4%
54.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.8
29.5%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.215.7
74.1%
71.1%15.7
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.8
51.0%
54.3%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.5
23.9%
31.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws22.415.4
68.8%
71.1%15.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
WWWWLWLWWL
Academic Plovdiv
LWLLLWLLWL
#5
League position
#8
+11.9
Net rating
-5.5
115.2
Offensive rating
101.6
103.3
Defensive rating
107.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
45.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.5%
3-point %
23.9%
69.4%
Assist %
51.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 101.6Defence103.3 · 107.1Shooting52.3% · 45.9%3-point %29.5% · 23.9%Ball care15.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds34.2% · 30.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Academic Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CSKA Sofia wins
1
Academic Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Academic Plovdiv v CSKA Sofia70-87
26/04/23Academic Plovdiv v CSKA Sofia99-74
16/02/23Academic Plovdiv v CSKA Sofia73-100
17/12/22CSKA Sofia v Academic Plovdiv82-75
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23AYambol90-75
09/12/23HBeroe99-86
03/12/23ABalkan95-86
29/11/23HShumen90-72
26/11/23AChernomorets82-95
19/11/23HSpartak Pleven83-79
13/11/23ARilski Sportist78-79
04/11/23HCherno More99-64
30/10/23ALevski85-72
21/10/23HMinyor78-85
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23HSpartak Pleven66-85
09/12/23HBalkan75-73
03/12/23ACherno More87-93
29/11/23HChernomorets66-79
25/11/23AMinyor83-93
20/11/23HRilski Sportist69-65
12/11/23ABeroe86-87
06/11/23HLevski76-78
27/10/23AShumen80-78
20/10/23HYambol89-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game87.288.286.2
Allowed / game77.174.779.5
Point differential+10.1+13.5+6.7
Avg total164.2162.8165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLWLWL29%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%29%20%
Points / game76.573.081.4
Allowed / game84.280.489.6
Point differential-7.8-7.4-8.2
Avg total160.8153.4171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets12120100%85.572.5+13.0
2 CSKA Sofia129375%87.277.1+10.1
3 Spartak Pleven128467%87.078.9+8.1
4 Rilski Sportist127558%81.774.8+6.8
5 Balkan127558%82.079.4+2.6
6 Yambol125742%79.284.9-5.7
7 Minyor125742%75.686.2-10.6
8 Shumen124833%83.285.8-2.5
9 Levski124833%76.078.9-2.9
10 Beroe124833%81.585.8-4.2
11 Cherno More124833%77.884.7-6.9
12 Academic Plovdiv123925%76.584.2-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia1929222393
Academic Plovdiv2521101874
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.