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CSKA Sofia vs Rilski Sportist Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game98.6
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Rilski Sportist
Bulgaria
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game74.3
BulgariaNBLRound 15· Hall Sofia
Other2026-27
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist
30 Jan 2027
CSKA v RSP
upcoming
10 Apr 2024
CSKA78
RSP88
17 Jan 2024
CSKA85
RSP86
28 May 2023
CSKA86
RSP72
16 Jan 2023
CSKA76
RSP82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
70-102
70
102
-32
no box
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
105-99
105
99
+6
no box
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
100-95
100
95
+5
42avg 46
H10/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-114
76
114
-38
58avg 46
A17/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
62-95
62
95
-33
35avg 46
H24/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
48avg 46
A30/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
27-25
11-25
15-39
27-24
29-20
19-20
30-35
26-18
13-29
25-26
12-18
26-16
21-18
21-20
14-23
4-31
24-19
21-22
25-22
25-24
23-24
26-23
26-24
19-28
15-32
26-27
16-27
20-18
13-23
13-25
16-29
14-35
19-17
20-21
12-21
21-23
25-26
20-26
23-20
175.5Avg total
79.9Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.498.6177.0-20.220%
Season at home (3)83.795.0178.7-11.333%
Season away (2)70.5104.0174.5-33.50%
Last 10 (10)79.995.6175.5-15.730%
Last 5 (5)78.498.6177.0-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.091.1167.1-15.10%
vs Similar (9)78.383.9162.2-5.633%
vs Weaker (7)94.088.4182.4+5.686%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Yambol
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
93avg 86
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
62-94
62
94
-32
49avg 86
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
114-76
114
76
+38
112avg 86
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 86
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#34
L
86-103
86
103
-17
84avg 86
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
88-79
88
79
+9
76avg 86
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
70-92
70
92
-22
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
A07/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#28
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-11
29-15
25-16
20-25
13-31
11-13
18-25
28-19
32-15
27-26
27-16
22-26
20-16
15-22
13-22
16-16
17-21
22-37
31-29
25-14
20-25
20-17
23-23
17-24
22-20
12-28
19-20
27-16
21-10
25-22
22-17
23-18
25-16
23-23
15-19
16-14
17-22
21-23
28-17
166.0Avg total
84.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.874.3165.2+16.583%
Season at home (2)101.077.5178.5+23.5100%
Season away (4)85.872.8158.5+13.075%
Last 10 (10)84.981.1166.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)84.277.6161.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.888.8164.6-13.020%
vs Similar (4)91.886.2178.0+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.279.7172.9+13.580%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
CSKA SofiaRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H10/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A17/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H24/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A30/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H07/11
NBL
87.1Avg total
40.8Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.385.7-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.143.187.2+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.045.484.4-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.387.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.850.088.8-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.544.884.4-5.331%-
vs Similar (9)40.644.084.6-3.433%-
vs Weaker (7)47.345.392.6+2.057%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A07/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#28
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/11
NBL
80.4Avg total
42.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.785.1+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.942.488.4+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)43.039.282.2+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.180.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.878.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.442.880.2-5.420%-
vs Similar (4)47.040.087.0+7.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.939.585.4+6.465%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.7
48.8%
55.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.4
30.3%
29.8%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.014.9
62.1%
71.2%14.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.2
56.8%
55.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
29.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
71.2%18.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
LLLLWLWLWL
Rilski Sportist
WWWLWLLWLW
#10
League position
#3
-25.0
Net rating
+3.2
87.3
Offensive rating
100.6
112.3
Defensive rating
97.3
47.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
19.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.3%
3-point %
32.1%
76.1%
Assist %
62.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence87.3 · 100.6Defence112.3 · 97.3Shooting47.6% · 53.4%3-point %30.3% · 32.1%Ball care19.5% · 14.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CSKA Sofia wins
7
Rilski Sportist wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia114-76
10/04/24CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist78-88
06/03/24Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia92-84
17/01/24CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist85-86
13/11/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia79-78
28/05/23CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist86-72
26/05/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia71-88
29/03/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia86-89
16/01/23CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist76-82
29/10/22Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia84-72
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HShumen89-95
30/10/26ABalkan65-94
24/10/26HCherno More62-95
17/10/26ARilski Sportist76-114
10/10/26HPolytechnica100-95
03/05/24ABalkan74-94
01/05/24HBalkan82-77
29/04/24ABalkan76-91
22/04/24HCherno More105-99
19/04/24ASpartak Pleven70-102
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABeroe82-76
11/11/26HSporting CP86-76
07/11/26APolytechnica95-65
03/11/26HKolossos Rhodes70-92
31/10/26HLok. Plovdiv88-79
28/10/26ASCM Craiova86-103
25/10/26ASpartak Pleven70-86
17/10/26HCSKA Sofia114-76
14/10/26HEsenler Erokspor62-94
11/10/26AYambol96-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game78.483.770.5
Allowed / game98.695.0104.0
Point differential-20.2-11.3-33.5
Avg total177.0178.7174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game90.8101.085.8
Allowed / game74.377.572.8
Point differential+16.5+23.5+13.0
Avg total165.2178.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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