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CSKA Sofia vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-88
20-26 23-13 18-22 17-27
Position#5
Record14-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.1
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
vs
Rilski Sportist 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#1
Record21-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game75.6
BulgariaNBLRound 7· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist
30 Jan 2027
CSKA v RSP
upcoming
10 Apr 2024
CSKA78
RSP88
17 Jan 2024
CSKA85
RSP86
28 May 2023
CSKA86
RSP72
16 Jan 2023
CSKA76
RSP82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 77
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 77
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
94avg 77
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 77
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
60avg 77
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
50avg 77
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 77
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
46avg 77
A28/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
99-91
99
91
+8
88avg 77
A31/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
74avg 77
H06/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
16-21
24-15
20-20
25-24
16-25
19-14
18-25
30-20
22-29
22-23
24-20
23-20
21-28
18-27
22-17
18-20
19-18
12-29
19-11
19-12
12-22
12-27
23-31
20-26
22-21
14-23
22-12
23-23
13-23
15-26
8-14
28-25
20-18
25-28
26-20
25-24
24-25
18-17
13-26
165.9Avg total
78.6Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.081.1165.1+2.950%
Season at home (13)84.878.5163.4+6.354%
Season away (15)83.383.3166.5+0.047%
Last 10 (10)78.687.3165.9-8.720%
Last 5 (5)76.488.6165.0-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.982.7162.6-2.820%
vs Similar (10)83.079.3162.3+3.760%
vs Weaker (9)89.980.2170.1+9.778%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 78
A10/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 78
H15/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
69avg 78
H03/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 78
H06/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
88-80
88
80
+8
87avg 78
H10/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
75avg 78
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets
#1
L
73-75
73
75
-2
60avg 78
A16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More
#11
W
107-60
107
60
+47
114avg 78
A23/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
75avg 78
A31/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
87-88
87
88
-1
84avg 78
A07/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
19-14
26-19
16-16
20-20
25-22
20-23
23-22
20-25
18-18
17-16
25-19
20-23
28-21
27-18
17-22
22-19
24-19
22-23
20-19
24-18
20-14
16-26
24-20
22-20
8-17
19-17
24-21
19-14
23-13
29-9
36-24
26-23
20-22
22-20
11-21
19-17
24-20
20-22
24-29
165.6Avg total
86.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.575.6160.1+8.975%
Season at home (14)83.973.1157.0+10.793%
Season away (14)85.278.1163.3+7.157%
Last 10 (10)86.579.1165.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)86.077.4163.4+8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)75.276.8152.0-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.175.4161.5+10.779%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
CSKA SofiaRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A28/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A31/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H06/04
NBL
86.0Avg total
41.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.082.5+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.340.683.9+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.481.2-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.886.0-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.885.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.241.380.5-2.140%-
vs Similar (10)42.141.083.1+1.140%-
vs Weaker (9)44.341.685.9+2.867%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A10/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H03/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H06/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H10/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A23/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A31/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A07/04
NBL
81.2Avg total
42.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.136.979.0+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.733.877.5+9.987%-
Last 30 away (15)40.640.080.6+0.660%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.581.2+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.676.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.037.067.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (4)36.533.269.8+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.537.781.2+5.879%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.5
54.0%
54.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.3
28.2%
31.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.110.4
64.6%
71.1%10.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.3
55.7%
54.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.7
33.3%
31.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
71.1%15.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
LWLLLLLWLL
Rilski Sportist
LLWLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-12.6
Net rating
+9.5
101.8
Offensive rating
112.9
114.4
Defensive rating
103.4
49.5%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.2%
3-point %
33.3%
59.1%
Assist %
60.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 112.9Defence114.4 · 103.4Shooting49.5% · 53.7%3-point %28.2% · 33.3%Ball care17.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.2% · 31.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CSKA Sofia wins
5
Rilski Sportist wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia92-84
17/01/24CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist85-86
13/11/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia79-78
28/05/23CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist86-72
26/05/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia71-88
29/03/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia86-89
16/01/23CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist76-82
29/10/22Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia84-72
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HBalkan80-92
31/03/24ACherno More99-91
28/03/24ABalkan59-86
24/03/24HSpartak Pleven78-82
15/03/24AChernomorets66-92
09/03/24AChernomorets68-78
06/03/24ARilski Sportist84-92
16/02/24ABeroe98-92
12/02/24HBalkan78-88
07/02/24ASpartak Pleven76-80
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AChernomorets87-88
31/03/24ABalkan79-86
23/03/24ACherno More107-60
16/03/24AChernomorets73-75
15/03/24HAcademic Plovdiv84-78
10/03/24HSpartak Pleven88-80
06/03/24HCSKA Sofia92-84
03/03/24HChernomorets80-78
15/02/24HSpartak Pleven88-87
10/02/24AYambol87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeLLLLL54%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %50%54%47%
Points / game84.084.883.3
Allowed / game81.178.583.3
Point differential+2.9+6.3+0.0
Avg total165.1163.4166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%93%57%
Points / game84.583.985.2
Allowed / game75.673.178.1
Point differential+8.9+10.7+7.1
Avg total160.1157.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%36%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2823582%85.175.7+9.4
2 Rilski Sportist2821775%84.575.6+8.9
3 Spartak Pleven2820871%87.679.6+7.9
4 Balkan28181064%82.678.4+4.2
5 CSKA Sofia28141450%84.081.1+2.9
6 Yambol28121643%80.584.8-4.2
7 Shumen29121741%84.583.3+1.2
8 Levski28111739%74.477.1-2.8
9 Cherno More28111739%82.288.5-6.3
10 Academic Plovdiv29101934%80.784.8-4.1
11 Minyor2891932%75.482.4-7.0
12 Beroe2882029%81.091.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia2023181778
Rilski Sportist2613222788
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