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CSU Bakersfield vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 79-104
35-56 44-48
Position#356
Record8-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game78.5
CSU Bakersfield
USA
vs
Cal Poly 🏆
USA
Position#266
Record7-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game86.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly
29 Jan 2026
CSU 79
CAL 104
30 Jan 2025
CSU 81
CAL 90
20 Jan 2024
CSU 65
CAL 53
05 Jan 2023
CSU 61
CAL 51
18 Jan 2022
CSU 73
CAL 60
09 Jan 2021
CSU 67
CAL 50
08 Jan 2021
CSU 62
CAL 49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSU Bakersfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#347
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H14/12
NCAA
Nobel Knights
#532
W
97-66
97
66
+31
H19/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H23/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H01/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A03/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A11/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H16/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H17/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
36-37
49-32
48-34
26-23
38-40
34-39
43-42
40-39
41-40
31-35
36-31
36-42
39-39
29-38
40-37
30-38
32-45
30-48
41-50
148.7Avg total
72.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.578.5151.0-6.038%
Season at home (11)73.670.3143.9+3.455%
Season away (10)71.287.6158.8-16.420%
Last 10 (10)72.576.2148.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)68.880.6149.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.681.1149.7-12.521%
vs Similar (6)69.870.8140.7-1.050%
vs Weaker (5)89.067.6156.6+21.4100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#144
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H17/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
87-108
87
108
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H02/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A04/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A09/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H16/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
67-107
67
107
-40
A23/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-40
39-43
45-43
42-65
26-29
47-44
39-42
28-23
26-38
40-36
44-41
46-54
30-40
54-38
36-41
30-45
33-59
34-48
34-46
44-47
163.7Avg total
76.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.886.7166.5-6.933%
Season at home (10)79.582.0161.5-2.540%
Season away (11)80.191.0171.1-10.927%
Last 10 (10)76.587.2163.7-10.720%
Last 5 (5)77.091.8168.8-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.588.2165.7-10.824%
vs Similar (9)87.285.0172.2+2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)91.565.0156.5+26.5100%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -3.9-3.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -3.9-3.9
CSU BakersfieldCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#347
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H14/12
NCAA
Nobel Knights
#532
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H19/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H23/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H09/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H16/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H17/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A23/01
NCAA
69.8Avg total
33.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.535.769.2-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.032.066.0+2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)33.039.472.4-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)33.136.769.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.240.271.4-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.237.868.1-7.616%-
vs Similar (6)34.835.370.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker (5)44.428.072.4+16.4100%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#144
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A04/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H16/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A23/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H25/01
NCAA
77.3Avg total
35.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.979.6-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.838.976.6-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)39.442.882.2-3.344%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.977.3-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.480.8-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.441.477.8-4.935%-
vs Similar (9)40.042.682.6-2.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)49.535.585.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
CSU Bakersfield wins
2
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield98-72
31/01/25CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly81-90
03/03/24Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield56-68
21/01/24CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly65-53
16/02/23Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield62-70
06/01/23CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly61-51
23/02/22Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield60-61
19/01/22CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly73-60
10/01/21CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly67-50
09/01/21CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly62-49
CSU Bakersfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26AHawaii71-98
17/01/26HUC San Diego62-83
16/01/26HUC Santa Barbara69-75
11/01/26ALong Beach State75-81
09/01/26HUC Riverside67-66
03/01/26AUC Davis81-79
01/01/26HUC Irvine77-81
23/12/25HIdaho64-63
19/12/25HNobel Knights97-66
14/12/25HPepperdine62-70
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HCS Fullerton78-93
23/01/26AUC Santa Barbara67-107
16/01/26HHawaii66-86
10/01/26HUC Davis84-78
09/01/26ACS Northridge90-95
04/01/26ALong Beach State66-74
02/01/26HUC San Diego67-65
22/12/25HIdaho80-83 OT
20/12/25AUCLA87-108
17/12/25HMontana State80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game72.573.671.2
Allowed / game78.570.387.6
Point differential-6.0+3.4-16.4
Avg total151.0143.9158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%40%27%
Points / game79.879.580.1
Allowed / game86.782.091.0
Point differential-6.9-2.5-10.9
Avg total166.5161.5171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii1915479%80.464.9+15.5
2 UC San Diego2115671%79.371.0+8.2
3 UC Irvine2114767%77.066.8+10.2
4 UC Santa Barbara2013765%80.073.0+7.0
5 UC Davis2012860%79.775.5+4.2
6 CS Northridge21111052%80.480.1+0.3
7 CS Fullerton22101245%84.883.4+1.5
8 Long Beach State2181338%75.076.6-1.6
9 CSU Bakersfield2181338%72.578.5-6.0
10 UC Riverside2171433%71.577.8-6.2
11 Cal Poly2171433%79.886.7-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
CSU Bakersfield354479
Cal Poly5648104
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