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Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 121-123
20-33 38-26 35-34 28-30
Position#24
Record19-28
FormWWWLL
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game116.6
vs
Position#14
Record20-28
FormLWWWW
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game114.6
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Charlotte Hornets
19 Jan 2027
DAL v CHA
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
DAL121
CHA123
27 Feb 2025
DAL103
CHA96
05 Nov 2023
DAL124
CHA118
24 Mar 2023
DAL109
CHA117
13 Dec 2021
DAL120
CHA96
30 Dec 2020
DAL99
CHA118
04 Jan 2020
DAL120
CHA123
06 Feb 2019
DAL99
CHA93
24 Mar 2018
DAL98
CHA102
05 Dec 2016
DAL101
CHA109
05 Nov 2015
DAL94
CHA108
22 Feb 2015
DAL92
CHA81
03 Dec 2013
DAL89
CHA82
03 Nov 2012
DAL126
CHA99
15 Mar 2012
DAL101
CHA96
27 Oct 2010
DAL101
CHA86
12 Dec 2009
DAL98
CHA97
11 Dec 2008
DAL95
CHA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
L
114-116
114
116
-2
116avg 103
A09/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
107-125
107
125
-18
94avg 103
A11/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
113-105
113
105
+8
107avg 103
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
109-118
109
118
-9
91avg 103
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
144-122
144
122
+22
145avg 103
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
138-120
138
120
+18
136avg 103
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
114-97
114
97
+17
111avg 103
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
123-115
123
115
+8
122avg 103
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
110-116
110
116
-6
94avg 103
H25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
105-118
105
118
-13
97avg 103
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-34
26-24
34-30
25-28
28-36
27-30
24-28
28-31
32-23
24-22
28-32
29-28
23-29
23-34
32-25
31-30
35-24
35-26
42-29
32-43
42-29
29-30
35-35
32-26
31-22
44-25
19-24
20-26
24-27
31-23
29-39
39-26
28-37
24-28
35-14
23-37
29-31
19-27
27-34
30-26
232.9Avg total
117.7Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)114.1116.6230.7-2.540%
Season at home (27)115.6115.8231.4-0.152%
Season away (20)112.0117.7229.7-5.725%
Last 10 (10)117.7115.2232.9+2.550%
Last 5 (5)118.0113.2231.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)115.5116.9232.5-1.447%
vs Similar (7)120.7120.6241.3+0.129%
vs Weaker (4)109.8106.8216.5+3.075%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
150-95
150
95
+55
156avg 103
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
109-117
109
117
-8
104avg 103
A13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
135-117
135
117
+18
130avg 103
A16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
116-136
116
136
-20
107avg 103
A18/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-87
110
87
+23
112avg 103
A19/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
67avg 103
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
124-97
124
97
+27
126avg 103
A23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
119-115
119
115
+4
121avg 103
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
130-93
130
93
+37
138avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
112-97
112
97
+15
105avg 103
A29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
45-14
32-24
38-26
35-31
26-22
17-23
41-41
25-31
30-39
34-16
40-38
31-24
28-39
29-30
37-43
22-24
33-18
27-16
27-23
23-30
20-33
12-23
32-20
23-18
35-20
27-21
35-26
27-30
35-34
31-24
27-23
26-34
28-22
41-22
40-15
21-34
36-28
26-27
28-20
22-22
224.0Avg total
119.2Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)116.2114.6230.8+1.642%
Season at home (22)114.7115.0229.6-0.341%
Season away (26)117.5114.3231.8+3.242%
Last 10 (10)119.2104.8224.0+14.470%
Last 5 (5)114.499.2213.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.097.0221.0+27.0100%
vs Similar (15)112.7108.9221.5+3.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)120.6114.0234.6+6.650%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
Dallas MavericksCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A09/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A11/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
75-47
75
47
+28
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H29/01
NBA
114.4Avg total
58.3Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.258.8117.0-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.555.7114.2+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)57.961.9119.8-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)58.356.1114.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)60.255.8116.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)57.859.9117.7-2.142%-
vs Similar (7)62.357.7120.0+4.671%-
vs Weaker (4)52.855.8108.5-3.050%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
77-38
77
38
+39
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A18/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
60-34
60
34
+26
A19/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A29/01
NBA
108.7Avg total
59.2Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.954.4113.3+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.458.5118.9+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)57.851.2109.0+6.659%-
Last 10 (10)59.249.5108.7+9.770%-
Last 5 (5)58.250.8109.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.050.0117.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar (15)54.951.7106.5+3.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)62.757.6120.3+5.157%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.830.5
55.7%
54.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.6
37.1%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws26.818.9
70.5%
78.1%18.9
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.128.0
59.4%
54.8%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.615.0
36.1%
35.8%45.0
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
78.1%15.9
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLWWWWLWLL
Charlotte Hornets
WWWWLWLWLW
#24
League position
#14
+2.4
Net rating
+12.6
113.3
Offensive rating
118.4
110.9
Defensive rating
105.8
55.6%
Effective FG%
56.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.6%
Turnover %
15.4%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.1%
3-point %
36.1%
61.7%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 118.4Defence110.9 · 105.8Shooting55.6% · 56.9%3-point %37.1% · 36.1%Ball care13.6% · 15.4%Off. rebounds24.1% · 33.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves105-118
25/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers110-116
23/01/26HGolden State Warriors123-115
19/01/26ANew York Knicks114-97
17/01/26HUtah Jazz138-120
16/01/26HUtah Jazz144-122
15/01/26HDenver Nuggets109-118
13/01/26HBrooklyn Nets113-105
11/01/26AChicago Bulls107-125
09/01/26AUtah Jazz114-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies112-97
26/01/26HPhiladelphia 76ers130-93
24/01/26HWashington Wizards119-115
23/01/26AOrlando Magic124-97
22/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers87-94
19/01/26ADenver Nuggets110-87
18/01/26AGolden State Warriors116-136
16/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers135-117
13/01/26ALos Angeles Clippers109-117
11/01/26AUtah Jazz150-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeWWWLL52%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472720
Win %40%52%25%
Points / game114.1115.6112.0
Allowed / game116.6115.8117.7
Point differential-2.5-0.1-5.7
Avg total230.7231.4229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)62% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %9%11%5%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW42%
HomeLLLWW41%
AwayWLWWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482226
Win %42%41%42%
Points / game116.2114.7117.5
Allowed / game114.6115.0114.3
Point differential+1.6-0.3+3.2
Avg total230.8229.6231.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%23%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)25% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4637980%120.3108.0+12.4
2 Detroit Pistons45341176%117.2110.0+7.2
3 San Antonio Spurs45301567%117.0112.0+5.0
4 Denver Nuggets47311666%120.4116.0+4.3
5 Houston Rockets46291763%116.1110.0+6.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers45281762%115.8116.2-0.4
7 Boston Celtics47291862%116.4110.1+6.3
8 Phoenix Suns46281861%114.5111.0+3.5
9 Minnesota Timberwolves48291960%119.0114.1+4.8
10 Toronto Raptors48291960%113.8112.0+1.9
11 New York Knicks45271860%117.2112.7+4.5
12 Cleveland Cavaliers49292059%119.2116.1+3.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers47262155%116.5115.8+0.7
14 Golden State Warriors49272255%116.5113.6+2.9
15 Miami Heat48262254%120.0118.3+1.7
16 Orlando Magic44232152%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks50242648%117.1118.1-1.0
18 Portland Trail Blazers48232548%115.5117.4-1.9
19 Chicago Bulls48232548%117.6119.7-2.1
20 Los Angeles Clippers46222448%112.7112.8-0.1
21 Charlotte Hornets48202842%116.2114.6+1.6
22 Dallas Mavericks47192840%114.1116.6-2.5
23 Memphis Grizzlies45182740%114.8116.3-1.6
24 Milwaukee Bucks46182839%111.8115.8-4.0
25 Utah Jazz48153331%118.8127.8-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets45123327%107.8114.9-7.1
27 Washington Wizards46123426%112.2122.3-10.1
28 Indiana Pacers48123625%110.3118.3-8.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans49123724%114.4121.2-6.8
30 Sacramento Kings49123724%110.5120.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks20383528121
Charlotte Hornets33263430123
← all games of the day
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