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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 87-110
18-33 16-27 23-27 30-23
Position#6
Record29-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game122.5
Allowed / game117.2
vs
Position#14
Record15-27
FormLWLWL
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game117.1
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
106-103
106
103
+3
97avg 114
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
108-113
108
113
-5
92avg 114
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
115-127
115
127
-12
106avg 114
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
120avg 114
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 114
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
87-110
87
110
-23
84avg 114
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-104
108
104
+4
97avg 114
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-116
122
116
+6
110avg 114
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-109
118
109
+9
108avg 114
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
121-115
121
115
+6
118avg 114
H18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
31-31
22-25
21-24
24-28
35-34
38-26
11-25
29-33
23-26
32-41
31-27
29-26
29-32
29-35
33-27
31-35
27-23
21-24
35-28
28-30
22-28
25-16
12-36
27-23
35-29
23-22
23-30
32-31
28-34
29-27
33-24
29-23
34-23
25-32
30-31
36-29
26-34
21-23
38-29
225.5Avg total
112.4Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)122.5117.2239.7+5.469%
Season at home (18)122.7116.7239.4+5.967%
Season away (24)122.5117.5240.0+4.971%
Last 10 (10)112.4113.1225.5-0.770%
Last 5 (5)111.2110.8222.0+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)118.2120.0238.2-1.862%
vs Weaker (17)124.6119.2243.8+5.465%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
125-132
125
132
-7
120avg 102
H31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
121-122
121
122
-1
116avg 102
A03/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
112-99
112
99
+13
104avg 102
A04/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
124-97
124
97
+27
129avg 102
A06/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
96-97
96
97
-1
88avg 102
H08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
112-114
112
114
-2
103avg 102
H09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
150-95
150
95
+55
156avg 102
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
109-117
109
117
-8
104avg 102
A13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
135-117
135
117
+18
130avg 102
A16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
116-136
116
136
-20
107avg 102
A18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
34-39
36-29
25-34
38-24
22-27
31-36
30-35
27-39
23-19
32-17
30-24
33-33
34-17
32-21
25-26
22-25
28-20
22-21
24-31
30-33
28-27
29-30
25-24
45-14
32-24
38-26
35-31
26-22
17-23
41-41
25-31
30-39
34-16
40-38
31-24
28-39
29-30
37-43
22-24
232.6Avg total
120.0Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)116.6117.1233.7-0.536%
Season at home (19)115.1117.2232.3-2.137%
Season away (23)117.8117.0234.8+0.735%
Last 10 (10)120.0112.6232.6+7.440%
Last 5 (5)124.4115.8240.2+8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)110.0103.0213.0+7.050%
vs Similar ◀ (16)112.8114.9227.6-2.138%
vs Weaker (12)120.4118.2238.6+2.233%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H18/01
NBA
116.2Avg total
58.7Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.057.2118.2+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (12)61.857.0118.8+4.867%-
Last 30 away (18)60.457.4117.8+3.044%-
Last 10 (10)58.757.5116.2+1.230%-
Last 5 (5)59.456.8116.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.557.9115.4-0.538%-
vs Weaker (17)63.656.7120.4+6.965%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A03/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A04/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A06/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
77-38
77
38
+39
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A18/01
NBA
113.0Avg total
59.0Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.857.1114.9+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.560.9120.5-1.446%-
Last 30 away (17)56.554.1110.6+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)59.054.0113.0+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)59.853.4113.2+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.552.5112.0+7.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.055.5110.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (12)61.259.9121.2+1.342%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.224.5
51.9%
54.8%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.814.5
39.4%
35.8%43.5
🏀 Free throws25.519.9
78.0%
78.1%19.9
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.625.3
54.3%
54.8%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.116.5
39.2%
35.8%49.5
🏀 Free throws21.817.7
81.2%
78.1%17.7
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWLLW
Charlotte Hornets
LWLWLLWWLL
#6
League position
#14
-0.7
Net rating
+4.6
114.0
Offensive rating
118.8
114.7
Defensive rating
114.2
55.1%
Effective FG%
56.4%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
10.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
17.4%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.4%
3-point %
39.2%
63.1%
Assist %
65.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 118.8Defence114.7 · 114.2Shooting55.1% · 56.4%3-point %39.4% · 39.2%Ball care10.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds17.4% · 31.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HWashington Wizards121-115
15/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-109
14/01/26ANew Orleans Pelicans122-116
12/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks108-104
10/01/26HAtlanta Hawks87-110
08/01/26ABoston Celtics114-110
06/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-124 OT
04/01/26ABrooklyn Nets115-127
03/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers108-113
01/01/26AToronto Raptors106-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AGolden State Warriors116-136
16/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers135-117
13/01/26ALos Angeles Clippers109-117
11/01/26AUtah Jazz150-95
09/01/26HIndiana Pacers112-114
08/01/26HToronto Raptors96-97
06/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder124-97
04/01/26AChicago Bulls112-99
03/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks121-122
31/12/25HGolden State Warriors125-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games421824
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game122.5122.7122.5
Allowed / game117.2116.7117.5
Point differential+5.4+5.9+4.9
Avg total239.7239.4240.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%39%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)50% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %10%11%8%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeWLLLL37%
AwayWWLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games421923
Win %36%37%35%
Points / game116.6115.1117.8
Allowed / game117.1117.2117.0
Point differential-0.5-2.1+0.7
Avg total233.7232.3234.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%21%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (8)0% (3)0% (5)
Overtime %7%5%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4134783%121.0108.4+12.5
2 Detroit Pistons40301075%117.7110.2+7.4
3 Denver Nuggets42291369%122.5117.2+5.4
4 San Antonio Spurs40271368%117.7112.7+5.0
5 Boston Celtics41261563%117.0110.1+6.9
6 Minnesota Timberwolves43271663%120.0114.7+5.3
7 Houston Rockets40251562%117.1110.7+6.5
8 Los Angeles Lakers39241562%116.4116.9-0.5
9 Phoenix Suns41251661%115.0111.1+3.9
10 Toronto Raptors42251760%114.3112.2+2.1
11 New York Knicks40231757%118.1115.1+3.0
12 Golden State Warriors43241956%116.2113.3+3.0
13 Cleveland Cavaliers43241956%120.0117.4+2.6
14 Philadelphia 76ers40221855%116.8115.7+1.1
15 Orlando Magic40221855%116.0114.9+1.1
16 Miami Heat41221954%119.8117.9+1.9
17 Portland Trail Blazers43212249%116.2118.4-2.1
18 Chicago Bulls42202248%117.4120.3-2.8
19 Atlanta Hawks44202445%117.6119.2-1.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers41182344%112.5113.4-0.9
21 Memphis Grizzlies41182344%115.1116.0-1.0
22 Milwaukee Bucks41172441%112.4115.8-3.3
23 Dallas Mavericks43172640%114.2117.0-2.9
24 Charlotte Hornets42152736%116.6117.1-0.5
25 Utah Jazz42142833%119.4127.6-8.3
26 Brooklyn Nets40122830%108.8114.0-5.3
27 Sacramento Kings42123029%110.6120.6-10.0
28 Washington Wizards41103124%112.7123.9-11.2
29 Indiana Pacers43103323%110.2118.4-8.2
30 New Orleans Pelicans45103522%114.9122.2-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets1816233087
Charlotte Hornets33272723110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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