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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 105-118
29-31 19-27 27-34 30-26
Position#24
Record19-27
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game116.5
vs
Position#10
Record28-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game119.0
Allowed / game114.3
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
100-98
100
98
+2
86avg 104
A07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
114-116
114
116
-2
116avg 104
A09/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
107-125
107
125
-18
94avg 104
A11/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
113-105
113
105
+8
107avg 104
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
109-118
109
118
-9
91avg 104
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
144-122
144
122
+22
145avg 104
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
138-120
138
120
+18
136avg 104
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
114-97
114
97
+17
111avg 104
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
123-115
123
115
+8
122avg 104
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
110-116
110
116
-6
94avg 104
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
21-23
30-20
24-20
29-34
26-24
34-30
25-28
28-36
27-30
24-28
28-31
32-23
24-22
28-32
29-28
23-29
23-34
32-25
31-30
35-24
35-26
42-29
32-43
42-29
29-30
35-35
32-26
31-22
44-25
19-24
20-26
24-27
31-23
29-39
39-26
28-37
24-28
35-14
23-37
230.4Avg total
117.2Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)114.3116.5230.8-2.341%
Season at home (26)116.0115.7231.7+0.354%
Season away (20)112.0117.7229.7-5.725%
Last 10 (10)117.2113.2230.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)125.8114.0239.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)116.1116.9233.0-0.850%
vs Similar (8)120.4119.9240.2+0.538%
vs Weaker (4)109.8106.8216.5+3.075%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
131-122
131
122
+9
132avg 110
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
134-146
134
146
-12
132avg 110
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-103
104
103
+1
93avg 110
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
139-106
139
106
+33
142avg 110
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 110
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
123-126
123
126
-3
112avg 110
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
122-127
122
127
-5
109avg 110
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
115-120
115
120
-5
110avg 110
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
85-111
85
111
-26
75avg 110
H25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
108-83
108
83
+25
112avg 110
H27/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
31-36
43-22
25-33
33-29
32-34
26-36
43-47
24-31
18-24
29-30
33-18
38-20
38-25
30-33
33-28
34-29
21-24
27-28
23-29
22-21
22-48
40-27
39-30
34-29
24-30
38-25
26-43
32-26
29-34
29-33
25-27
19-24
27-23
17-38
22-26
21-20
32-18
22-19
33-26
232.0Avg total
116.6Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)119.0114.3233.3+4.660%
Season at home (24)114.3109.0223.2+5.367%
Season away (23)123.9120.0243.8+3.952%
Last 10 (10)116.6115.4232.0+1.240%
Last 5 (5)110.6113.4224.0-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)114.7111.4226.1+3.371%
vs Similar (12)115.9115.2231.2+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)124.0115.4239.4+8.664%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A09/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A11/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
75-47
75
47
+28
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H25/01
NBA
114.2Avg total
58.1Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.259.0117.2-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.556.1114.6+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)57.961.9119.8-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)58.156.1114.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)64.654.2118.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)58.360.0118.3-1.744%-
vs Similar (8)60.658.4119.0+2.262%-
vs Weaker (4)52.855.8108.5-3.050%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
76-45
76
45
+31
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-69
44
69
-25
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBA
111.9Avg total
56.3Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.057.4113.5-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.756.7111.4-2.038%-
Last 30 away (14)57.658.3115.9-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)56.355.6111.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)52.454.6107.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.158.1108.3-8.014%-
vs Similar (12)55.256.6111.8-1.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)60.657.9118.5+2.755%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.130.1
54.6%
54.8%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.913.1
37.5%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws25.017.7
70.8%
78.1%17.7
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.727.8
54.8%
54.8%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.615.1
40.2%
35.8%45.3
🏀 Free throws22.515.7
69.8%
78.1%15.7
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWWWWLWLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLLLWWLW
#24
League position
#10
+3.9
Net rating
+1.2
112.9
Offensive rating
112.7
109.0
Defensive rating
111.5
55.3%
Effective FG%
57.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.5%
3-point %
40.2%
60.9%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 112.7Defence109.0 · 111.5Shooting55.3% · 57.1%3-point %37.5% · 40.2%Ball care13.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds24.0% · 25.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers110-116
23/01/26HGolden State Warriors123-115
19/01/26ANew York Knicks114-97
17/01/26HUtah Jazz138-120
16/01/26HUtah Jazz144-122
15/01/26HDenver Nuggets109-118
13/01/26HBrooklyn Nets113-105
11/01/26AChicago Bulls107-125
09/01/26AUtah Jazz114-116
07/01/26ASacramento Kings100-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/26HGolden State Warriors108-83
25/01/26HGolden State Warriors85-111
23/01/26HChicago Bulls115-120
21/01/26AUtah Jazz122-127
18/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-126
17/01/26AHouston Rockets105-110
14/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks139-106
12/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs104-103
10/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers134-146
09/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers131-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL41%
HomeLWWWL54%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462620
Win %41%54%25%
Points / game114.3116.0112.0
Allowed / game116.5115.7117.7
Point differential-2.3+0.3-5.7
Avg total230.8231.7229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)62% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %9%12%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW60%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWLLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %60%67%52%
Points / game119.0114.3123.9
Allowed / game114.3109.0120.0
Point differential+4.6+5.3+3.9
Avg total233.3223.2243.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%38%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)67% (9)14% (7)
Overtime %6%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4637980%120.3108.0+12.4
2 Detroit Pistons45341176%117.2110.0+7.2
3 Denver Nuggets47311666%120.4116.0+4.3
4 San Antonio Spurs44291566%117.2112.3+4.9
5 Houston Rockets44281664%116.7110.5+6.2
6 Los Angeles Lakers45281762%115.8116.2-0.4
7 Boston Celtics47291862%116.4110.1+6.3
8 Phoenix Suns46281861%114.5111.0+3.5
9 Toronto Raptors48291960%113.8112.0+1.9
10 New York Knicks45271860%117.2112.7+4.5
11 Minnesota Timberwolves47281960%119.0114.3+4.6
12 Cleveland Cavaliers49292059%119.2116.1+3.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers46252154%116.6115.9+0.7
14 Golden State Warriors48262254%116.0113.4+2.6
15 Miami Heat47252253%120.1118.4+1.7
16 Orlando Magic44232152%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks49242549%117.7118.4-0.7
18 Chicago Bulls47232449%117.7119.8-2.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers48232548%115.5117.4-1.9
20 Los Angeles Clippers46222448%112.7112.8-0.1
21 Charlotte Hornets48202842%116.2114.6+1.6
22 Dallas Mavericks46192741%114.3116.5-2.3
23 Memphis Grizzlies45182740%114.8116.3-1.6
24 Milwaukee Bucks45182740%112.1116.0-3.9
25 Utah Jazz47153232%118.7127.5-8.9
26 Brooklyn Nets45123327%107.8114.9-7.1
27 Indiana Pacers48123625%110.3118.3-8.0
28 Sacramento Kings48123625%110.5120.8-10.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans49123724%114.4121.2-6.8
30 Washington Wizards45113424%112.3122.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks29192730105
Minnesota Timberwolves31273426118
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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