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Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 102-131
21-27 27-31 30-39 24-34
Position#19
Record43-48
FormLWLLW
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game102.3
vs
Position#4
Record60-29
FormLWLWL
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game102.0
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Oklahoma City Thunder
18 Jan 2027
DAL v OKC
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
DAL120
OKC96
01 Mar 2026
DAL87
OKC100
27 Oct 2025
DAL94
OKC101
06 Oct 2025
DAL106
OKC89
17 Jan 2025
DAL106
OKC98
20 Jul 2024
DAL79
OKC88
18 May 2024
DAL117
OKC116
13 May 2024
DAL96
OKC100
11 May 2024
DAL105
OKC101
10 Feb 2024
DAL146
OKC111
02 Dec 2023
DAL120
OKC126
12 Dec 2022
DAL121
OKC114
29 Oct 2022
DAL111
OKC117
02 Feb 2022
DAL114
OKC120
17 Jan 2022
DAL104
OKC102
03 Mar 2021
DAL87
OKC78
15 Apr 2020
DAL v OKC
upcoming
14 Oct 2019
DAL107
OKC70
30 Dec 2018
DAL105
OKC103
10 Nov 2018
DAL111
OKC96
28 Feb 2018
DAL110
OKC111
25 Nov 2017
DAL97
OKC81
27 Mar 2017
DAL91
OKC92
05 Mar 2017
DAL104
OKC89
11 Oct 2016
DAL114
OKC109
02 Jul 2016
DAL85
OKC86
23 Apr 2016
DAL108
OKC119
21 Apr 2016
DAL102
OKC131
24 Feb 2016
DAL103
OKC116
22 Jan 2016
DAL106
OKC109
16 Mar 2015
DAL119
OKC115
28 Dec 2014
DAL112
OKC107
10 Oct 2014
DAL109
OKC118
25 Mar 2014
DAL128
OKC119
17 Mar 2013
DAL101
OKC107
18 Jan 2013
DAL114
OKC117
05 May 2012
DAL97
OKC103
03 May 2012
DAL79
OKC95
01 Feb 2012
DAL86
OKC95
02 Jan 2012
DAL100
OKC87
18 Dec 2011
DAL92
OKC106
25 May 2011
DAL100
OKC96
19 May 2011
DAL100
OKC106
17 May 2011
DAL121
OKC112
06 Jan 2011
DAL95
OKC99
03 Apr 2010
DAL116
OKC121
15 Jan 2010
DAL99
OKC98
27 Feb 2009
DAL110
OKC108
13 Dec 2008
DAL103
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#23
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A01/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A10/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
101-92
101
92
+9
A12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H14/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A17/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A19/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
27-18
16-26
24-15
25-25
26-11
20-25
27-28
22-27
19-13
27-23
20-15
18-22
34-22
18-27
18-15
18-21
28-28
28-19
29-25
21-23
26-26
12-27
32-22
22-20
28-26
21-18
30-28
27-20
25-14
15-31
24-31
11-26
22-33
18-34
19-15
24-20
21-23
14-19
26-22
181.9Avg total
90.6Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (91)100.8102.3203.0-1.547%
Season at home (44)103.0101.5204.5+1.552%
Season away (47)98.6103.0201.6-4.443%
Last 10 (10)90.691.3181.9-0.770%
Last 5 (5)87.695.6183.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)96.7106.4203.1-9.720%
vs Similar (19)106.4103.5209.9+2.958%
vs Weaker (1)129.0103.0232.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
119-117
119
117
+2
H01/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
110-118
110
118
-8
A03/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
124-102
124
102
+22
A06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
115-120
115
120
-5
A07/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
112-114
112
114
-2
A10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
112-79
112
79
+33
H12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
A13/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
108-70
108
70
+38
H17/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H19/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
27-21
9-25
25-17
37-30
28-39
28-28
26-20
26-31
27-21
29-28
28-38
32-30
36-21
39-26
17-25
26-33
33-39
24-27
32-21
30-22
22-34
32-27
28-31
27-21
31-27
31-13
23-18
32-21
21-22
19-31
21-19
26-11
33-22
34-18
15-19
20-24
23-21
19-14
22-26
205.9Avg total
106.4Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)109.6102.0211.6+7.667%
Season at home (45)108.898.4207.2+10.478%
Season away (44)110.5105.7216.1+4.857%
Last 10 (10)106.499.5205.9+6.940%
Last 5 (5)102.890.0192.8+12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)105.2108.0213.2-2.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)111.3101.1212.4+10.262%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
Dallas MavericksOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#23
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A01/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A10/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H14/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A17/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/04
NBA
91.6Avg total
46.8Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.952.0103.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.952.9107.8+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)48.451.099.4-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)46.844.891.6+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.291.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)50.852.8103.6-2.040%-
vs Similar (19)51.751.5103.2+0.353%-
vs Weaker (1)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H01/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A03/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A07/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A13/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H17/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H19/04
NBA
107.3Avg total
55.8Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.150.8107.9+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.549.2104.8+6.369%-
Last 30 away (17)58.451.9110.3+6.482%-
Last 10 (10)55.851.5107.3+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)53.045.098.0+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)56.452.4108.9+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)57.450.0107.5+7.481%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.023.4
46.8%
49.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.2
31.6%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.216.2
73.0%
75.5%16.2
They take 79.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.928.9
50.8%
49.0%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.7
32.8%
35.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws25.919.5
75.3%
75.5%19.5
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWLWWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLWLLWLWL
#19
League position
#4
-0.8
Net rating
+7.0
98.5
Offensive rating
107.7
99.3
Defensive rating
100.7
47.0%
Effective FG%
50.2%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
13.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.6%
3-point %
32.8%
54.9%
Assist %
55.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 107.7Defence99.3 · 100.7Shooting47.0% · 50.2%3-point %31.6% · 32.8%Ball care13.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds23.1% · 34.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/16AOklahoma City Thunder85-84
17/04/16AOklahoma City Thunder70-108
14/04/16HSan Antonio Spurs91-96
12/04/16AUtah Jazz101-92
10/04/16ALos Angeles Clippers91-98
09/04/16HMemphis Grizzlies103-93
07/04/16HHouston Rockets88-86
03/04/16AMinnesota Timberwolves88-78
01/04/16ADetroit Pistons98-89
31/03/16HNew York Knicks91-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/16HDallas Mavericks84-85
17/04/16HDallas Mavericks108-70
13/04/16ASan Antonio Spurs98-102 OT
12/04/16HLos Angeles Lakers112-79
10/04/16ASacramento Kings112-114
07/04/16APortland Trail Blazers115-120
06/04/16ADenver Nuggets124-102
03/04/16AHouston Rockets110-118
01/04/16HLos Angeles Clippers119-117
29/03/16ADetroit Pistons82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWWWWL52%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games914447
Win %47%52%43%
Points / game100.8103.098.6
Allowed / game102.3101.5103.0
Point differential-1.5+1.5-4.4
Avg total203.0204.5201.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (26)31% (13)46% (13)
Overtime %13%16%11%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894544
Win %67%78%57%
Points / game109.6108.8110.5
Allowed / game102.098.4105.7
Point differential+7.6+10.4+4.8
Avg total211.6207.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%53%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (29)50% (12)47% (17)
Overtime %6%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors91781386%113.9103.9+10.0
2 San Antonio Spurs90711979%102.892.6+10.2
3 Toronto Raptors91622968%101.997.4+4.5
4 Oklahoma City Thunder89602967%109.6102.0+7.6
5 Cleveland Cavaliers91603166%103.698.5+5.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers90583264%104.1100.1+4.1
7 Charlotte Hornets92553760%102.9100.1+2.8
8 Atlanta Hawks91543759%101.998.5+3.4
9 Miami Heat92543859%100.198.2+1.9
10 Boston Celtics89523758%104.9101.8+3.1
11 Indiana Pacers91514056%102.0100.1+1.9
12 Memphis Grizzlies90474352%97.799.9-2.2
13 Portland Trail Blazers91474452%104.7104.2+0.4
14 Chicago Bulls90464451%101.6103.3-1.7
15 Detroit Pistons92474551%101.9101.0+0.9
16 Washington Wizards88444450%104.4104.6-0.2
17 Utah Jazz89434648%97.796.0+1.7
18 Houston Rockets92444848%106.3106.6-0.3
19 Dallas Mavericks91434847%100.8102.3-1.5
20 Orlando Magic89404945%102.0103.3-1.4
21 Sacramento Kings88385043%106.2108.3-2.0
22 Denver Nuggets89375242%101.7104.3-2.6
23 New York Knicks87355240%98.3100.8-2.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks88355340%99.2103.3-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans89335637%102.8106.6-3.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves89315835%101.8105.9-4.1
27 Phoenix Suns88276131%101.0107.0-6.0
28 Brooklyn Nets87236426%98.6105.6-6.9
29 Los Angeles Lakers89197021%97.2106.7-9.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers89127713%97.3107.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks21273024102
Oklahoma City Thunder27313934131
← all games of the day
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