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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-88
27-22 13-19 23-27 15-20
Position#26
Record25-51
FormWLWLL
Points / game101.8
Allowed / game105.8
vs
Position#16
Record38-38
FormLLWWW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game103.6
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
104-107
104
107
-3
94avg 94
A15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
114-108
114
108
+6
116avg 94
A17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
111-116
111
116
-5
105avg 94
A19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
104-109
104
109
-5
96avg 94
H22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
113-104
113
104
+9
111avg 94
H24/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
132-129 OT
132
129
+3
129avg 94
A25/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
84-93
84
93
-9
70avg 94
H27/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
121-116
121
116
+5
113avg 94
H29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
79-99
79
99
-20
68avg 94
H31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
85-98
85
98
-13
77avg 94
A02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
32-20
21-29
26-31
42-25
22-30
26-23
24-30
23-31
29-23
26-34
33-28
29-27
29-34
31-28
15-20
28-29
22-19
34-24
29-32
27-29
35-33
23-27
24-20
10-18
24-17
25-25
25-33
40-37
26-24
33-23
22-32
17-27
17-20
19-32
26-20
24-25
25-26
19-26
17-21
212.6Avg total
104.7Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)101.8105.8207.6-4.033%
Season at home (38)100.9105.1206.0-4.134%
Season away (38)102.7106.6209.3-3.932%
Last 10 (10)104.7107.9212.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)100.2107.0207.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)100.9107.5208.5-6.631%
vs Similar ◀ (16)109.1111.6220.6-2.544%
vs Weaker (1)115.0119.0234.0-4.00%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
107-96
107
96
+11
103avg 92
A14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
98-99
98
99
-1
90avg 92
A16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
112-130
112
130
-18
103avg 92
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
132-120 OT
132
120
+12
134avg 92
H20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
103-109
103
109
-6
90avg 92
A24/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
120-128
120
128
-8
115avg 92
A26/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
111-133
111
133
-22
100avg 92
A27/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
97-88
97
88
+9
82avg 92
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 92
H31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
98-89
98
89
+9
90avg 92
A01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
30-15
19-32
36-31
28-31
23-26
17-27
30-15
36-42
31-31
18-21
27-36
25-36
33-19
32-27
23-31
26-28
27-29
20-26
30-26
33-40
25-32
31-30
31-26
20-25
26-38
33-39
32-31
28-24
22-22
22-20
25-22
24-30
27-18
16-26
24-15
25-25
26-11
20-25
27-28
215.0Avg total
106.9Scored
108.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)103.0103.6206.5-0.650%
Season at home (38)105.1102.8207.9+2.455%
Season away (38)100.8104.3205.2-3.545%
Last 10 (10)106.9108.1215.0-1.250%
Last 5 (5)103.4105.4208.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)102.1117.1219.2-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)108.5106.5215.0+2.050%
vs Weaker (4)100.887.5188.2+13.2100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H24/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A25/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H27/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A02/04
NBA
104.7Avg total
52.6Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.555.7108.2-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.355.9108.1-3.636%-
Last 30 away (16)52.755.6108.2-2.919%-
Last 10 (10)52.652.1104.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)49.051.2100.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)51.254.5105.6-3.323%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)53.656.1109.7-2.431%-
vs Weaker (1)52.066.0118.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A24/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A26/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A27/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A01/04
NBA
107.7Avg total
53.7Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.353.6105.9-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.153.6106.8-0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)51.253.5104.8-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)53.754.0107.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.253.0104.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)49.960.1110.0-10.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)52.651.7104.3+0.850%-
vs Weaker (4)56.049.0105.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.032.2
49.5%
49.0%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.5
33.5%
35.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.519.3
78.8%
75.5%19.3
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 106.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.030.4
49.8%
49.0%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.2
37.0%
35.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.415.5
84.2%
75.5%15.5
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLWWLLWL
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLLLWLLW
#26
League position
#16
-3.5
Net rating
-1.2
103.1
Offensive rating
107.9
106.6
Defensive rating
109.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.2%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.5%
3-point %
37.0%
64.6%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 107.9Defence106.6 · 109.1Shooting49.7% · 51.6%3-point %33.5% · 37.0%Ball care14.5% · 12.2%Off. rebounds22.3% · 22.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/16AUtah Jazz85-98
31/03/16HLos Angeles Clippers79-99
29/03/16HPhoenix Suns121-116
27/03/16HUtah Jazz84-93
25/03/16AWashington Wizards132-129 OT
24/03/16HSacramento Kings113-104
22/03/16HGolden State Warriors104-109
19/03/16AHouston Rockets111-116
17/03/16AMemphis Grizzlies114-108
15/03/16APhoenix Suns104-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/16ADetroit Pistons98-89
31/03/16HNew York Knicks91-89
29/03/16ADenver Nuggets97-88
27/03/16ASacramento Kings111-133
26/03/16AGolden State Warriors120-128
24/03/16APortland Trail Blazers103-109
20/03/16HPortland Trail Blazers132-120 OT
19/03/16HGolden State Warriors112-130
16/03/16ACleveland Cavaliers98-99
14/03/16ACharlotte Hornets107-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLWLWL34%
AwayLWLWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %33%34%32%
Points / game101.8100.9102.7
Allowed / game105.8105.1106.6
Point differential-4.0-4.1-3.9
Avg total207.6206.0209.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%8%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (30)53% (15)27% (15)
Overtime %8%3%13%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLLWW55%
AwayLLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game103.0105.1100.8
Allowed / game103.6102.8104.3
Point differential-0.6+2.4-3.5
Avg total206.5207.9205.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%32%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (22)27% (11)45% (11)
Overtime %16%18%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7668889%115.0104.1+10.9
2 San Antonio Spurs76641284%104.292.6+11.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers76542271%104.098.0+6.0
4 Oklahoma City Thunder76532370%110.1102.7+7.4
5 Toronto Raptors76512567%102.898.5+4.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers75472863%104.6100.8+3.8
7 Charlotte Hornets75443159%103.1100.5+2.6
8 Atlanta Hawks77453258%102.999.2+3.8
9 Boston Celtics76443258%105.6102.4+3.3
10 Miami Heat76443258%99.798.5+1.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies76413554%99.1100.8-1.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers77413653%104.7103.8+0.9
13 Detroit Pistons77413653%101.9101.2+0.7
14 Indiana Pacers76403653%101.8100.6+1.2
15 Utah Jazz76383850%97.896.1+1.8
16 Dallas Mavericks76383850%103.0103.6-0.6
17 Chicago Bulls76383850%101.3102.9-1.6
18 Houston Rockets76373949%105.8106.6-0.8
19 Washington Wizards76373949%103.5104.5-1.0
20 Orlando Magic76324442%101.7103.2-1.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks76324442%99.2102.9-3.7
22 Denver Nuggets78324641%102.2104.9-2.7
23 Sacramento Kings77314640%107.0109.0-2.1
24 New York Knicks77314640%98.6101.2-2.5
25 New Orleans Pelicans76294738%102.6105.7-3.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves76255133%101.8105.8-4.0
27 Brooklyn Nets77215627%98.4105.3-6.9
28 Phoenix Suns76205626%100.5107.7-7.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers75165921%97.7106.9-9.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers7796812%97.0107.5-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves2713231578
Dallas Mavericks2219272088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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