PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Darussafaka vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 105-104 (OT)
17-18 17-28 18-23 34-17 19-18
Position#25
Record4-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#9
Record8-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game82.9
EuropeChampions League
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
A07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#8
W
83-72 OT
83
72
+11
no box
H11/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#15
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#26
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
A25/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
no box
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#4
L
59-80
59
80
-21
44avg 69
H01/02
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
87-96
87
96
-9
77avg 69
A15/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
no box
A04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-31
22-19
15-23
34-22
18-24
17-18
20-11
13-15
21-22
21-15
12-22
24-15
21-22
20-30
24-26
14-19
14-18
22-16
16-26
23-25
16-19
14-18
18-29
33-15
15-24
10-19
11-16
23-21
24-13
19-20
19-24
18-26
25-23
24-25
18-21
20-27
18-22
23-15
17-23
16-14
166.9Avg total
80.5Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.777.9152.6-3.236%
Season at home (5)72.280.0152.2-7.840%
Season away (6)76.876.2153.0+0.733%
Last 10 (10)80.586.4166.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)81.688.2169.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.584.9159.4-10.59%
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.279.9161.1+1.363%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#38
W
96-89
96
89
+7
101avg 71
A11/01
Champions League
Barcelona
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
57avg 71
H15/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
88-72
88
72
+16
74avg 71
A21/01
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
52avg 71
A24/01
Champions League
Baskonia
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 71
H29/01
ACB
Bilbao
#26
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 71
H31/01
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 71
A04/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
80-88
80
88
-8
63avg 71
H12/02
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 71
H15/02
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
68-94
68
94
-26
49avg 71
A05/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
25-28
16-22
33-17
13-17
20-20
24-28
15-21
14-23
17-15
25-17
32-17
16-17
18-31
19-15
12-22
19-23
17-18
20-22
24-24
20-13
28-16
26-18
16-25
14-20
15-22
21-23
21-19
20-20
12-20
23-31
25-17
23-25
25-24
21-18
27-20
17-20
19-19
14-27
18-28
165.0Avg total
80.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.682.9167.5+1.773%
Season at home (6)86.579.2165.7+7.3100%
Season away (5)82.487.4169.8-5.040%
Last 10 (10)80.684.4165.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)81.085.0166.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.785.6161.4-9.927%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.782.8165.5-0.160%
vs Weaker (4)90.885.5176.2+5.275%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
DarussafakaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#26
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A25/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H01/02
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A15/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.8Avg total
37.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.180.4-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.141.579.7-3.440%-
Last 30 away (15)40.440.781.1-0.367%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.378.8-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.677.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.643.680.3-7.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.839.780.5+1.163%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#38
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A11/01
Champions League
Barcelona
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/01
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A24/01
Champions League
Baskonia
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/01
ACB
Bilbao
#26
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H31/01
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/02
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H15/02
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/03
ACB
78.7Avg total
37.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.980.2-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.979.4+1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)35.745.381.0-9.614%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.378.7-3.910%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.340.574.8-6.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.242.182.3-1.940%-
vs Weaker (4)42.244.887.0-2.525%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.0
54.4%
51.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.3
28.4%
35.2%18.9
🏀 Free throws15.912.0
75.5%
74.3%12.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.6
46.5%
51.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.8
36.2%
35.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.613.0
73.9%
74.3%13.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
WLLLLLLWWL
Murcia
LWLLWLLWLW
#25
League position
#9
-5.8
Net rating
-5.0
103.4
Offensive rating
104.9
109.2
Defensive rating
109.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
49.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
20.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.4%
3-point %
36.2%
59.7%
Assist %
56.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 104.9Defence109.2 · 109.9Shooting50.1% · 49.6%3-point %28.4% · 36.2%Ball care20.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.2% · 30.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Darussafaka wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
15/02/23Murcia v Darussafaka96-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23APetkim Spor88-85 OT
15/02/23AMurcia87-96
05/02/23HAnadolu Efes80-83
01/02/23HTenerife59-80
29/01/23AMerkezefendi94-97 OT
25/01/23ABilbao75-85
21/01/23HTurk Telekom79-97
15/01/23HGaziantep78-74
11/01/23HBenfica83-72 OT
07/01/23AFenerbahce82-95
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23AJoventut Badalona68-94
15/02/23HDarussafaka96-87
12/02/23HReal Madrid80-88
04/02/23AReal Betis71-84
31/01/23HBilbao90-72
29/01/23HBaskonia80-87
24/01/23ATenerife65-85
21/01/23AFuenlabrada88-72
15/01/23HBarcelona72-86
11/01/23AKarsiyaka96-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Champions League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game74.772.276.8
Allowed / game77.980.076.2
Point differential-3.2-7.8+0.7
Avg total152.6152.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Murcia
Champions League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%100%40%
Points / game84.686.582.4
Allowed / game82.979.287.4
Point differential+1.7+7.3-5.0
Avg total167.5165.7169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja109190%89.071.8+17.2
2 Bonn98189%82.973.2+9.7
3 Tenerife97278%83.968.6+15.3
4 Hapoel Jerusalem97278%78.175.0+3.1
5 Murcia118373%84.682.9+1.7
6 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
7 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
8 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
9 Manresa96367%82.677.6+5.0
10 Strasbourg96367%84.782.7+2.0
11 Benfica117464%79.177.2+1.9
12 AEK Athens117464%76.875.5+1.3
13 Galatasaray85362%85.678.4+7.2
14 Dijon127558%80.180.7-0.6
15 Ludwigsburg95456%83.178.7+4.4
16 Bilbao95456%77.874.2+3.6
17 Hapoel Holon116555%87.684.0+3.6
18 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
19 Rytas126650%82.879.6+3.2
20 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
21 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
22 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
23 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
24 Oostende94544%78.079.7-1.7
25 Peristeri94544%79.284.6-5.3
26 Limoges125742%75.875.9-0.2
27 Bahcesehir Kol.125742%75.179.2-4.1
28 Tofas104640%78.275.5+2.7
29 Igokea83538%78.281.2-3.0
30 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
31 Darussafaka114736%74.777.9-3.2
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 PAOK93633%73.377.7-4.3
34 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
35 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
36 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
37 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
38 Karsiyaka82625%81.085.4-4.4
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Darussafaka1717183419105
Murcia1828231718104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.