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Murcia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-87
19-23 17-18 20-22 24-24
Position#9
Record8-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#2
Record13-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game82.6
SpainACBRound 18
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Murcia v Baskonia
14 Mar 2027
MUR v BAS
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
MUR89
BAS84
12 Apr 2025
MUR82
BAS91
27 Sep 2023
MUR88
BAS76
29 Jan 2023
MUR80
BAS87
24 Oct 2021
MUR80
BAS79
11 Apr 2021
MUR92
BAS87
07 Apr 2019
MUR75
BAS86
31 Dec 2017
MUR78
BAS67
22 Jan 2017
MUR71
BAS92
31 Jan 2016
MUR68
BAS66
21 Dec 2014
MUR93
BAS88
06 Apr 2014
MUR89
BAS80
05 May 2013
MUR95
BAS98
11 Dec 2011
MUR67
BAS75
11 Oct 2009
MUR66
BAS88
29 Mar 2009
MUR85
BAS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
92avg 71
H17/12
ACB
Tofas
#27
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 71
A21/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#4
L
66-82
66
82
-16
53avg 71
A28/12
ACB
Karsiyaka
#38
W
97-92
97
92
+5
91avg 71
H03/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
85-64
85
64
+21
76avg 71
H06/01
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
81-99
81
99
-18
65avg 71
A08/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#38
W
96-89
96
89
+7
101avg 71
A11/01
Champions League
Barcelona
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
57avg 71
H15/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
88-72
88
72
+16
74avg 71
A21/01
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
52avg 71
A24/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
18-24
31-22
25-24
22-14
18-21
25-19
22-23
20-21
17-15
11-24
18-22
26-13
25-31
27-25
19-23
13-18
16-12
29-19
27-15
21-27
19-23
20-27
21-22
22-22
25-28
16-22
33-17
13-17
20-20
24-28
15-21
14-23
17-15
25-17
32-17
16-17
18-31
19-15
12-22
166.7Avg total
83.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.982.9162.8-3.047%
Season at home (9)83.180.3163.4+2.856%
Season away (8)76.285.8162.0-9.538%
Last 10 (10)83.683.1166.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)80.486.2166.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.984.8159.7-9.933%
vs Similar (15)80.482.0162.4-1.653%
vs Weaker (6)88.883.2172.0+5.767%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 79
H29/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
90avg 79
A03/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
L
84-85
84
85
-1
73avg 79
A05/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
85-79
85
79
+6
77avg 79
H08/01
ACB
Bayern
#16
L
79-92
79
92
-13
73avg 79
A10/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
65-83
65
83
-18
58avg 79
A13/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H15/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 79
H19/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 79
A22/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
114-111 OT
114
111
+3
no box
H27/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
35-15
14-26
19-17
25-20
16-18
30-20
24-26
20-27
28-27
19-23
17-8
15-15
25-23
18-23
27-18
24-34
20-18
16-23
19-17
17-29
19-18
14-20
15-16
25-17
14-21
28-26
17-19
28-28
12-19
23-17
15-21
19-11
14-24
23-26
30-30
29-28
19-23
22-26
28-21
174.1Avg total
86.2Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.682.6173.2+7.976%
Season at home (9)93.983.3177.2+10.689%
Season away (8)86.981.9168.8+5.062%
Last 10 (10)86.287.9174.1-1.750%
Last 5 (5)85.490.6176.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)87.085.7172.7+1.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.280.3167.6+7.070%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
MurciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/12
ACB
Tofas
#27
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A21/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/12
ACB
Karsiyaka
#38
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H03/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H06/01
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A08/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#38
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A11/01
Champions League
Barcelona
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/01
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A24/01
Champions League
79.2Avg total
38.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.680.0-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.038.978.9+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)36.644.681.3-8.021%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.779.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.681.6-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.440.875.2-6.333%-
vs Similar (15)39.341.881.1-2.540%-
vs Weaker (6)42.242.284.3+0.033%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H29/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A05/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/01
ACB
Bayern
#16
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A10/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A13/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H19/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H27/01
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
42.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.083.7+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.937.782.6+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.384.8+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.387.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)46.444.290.6+2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.437.980.2+4.565%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.3
46.4%
52.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.3
33.6%
34.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.817.9
82.1%
73.9%17.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.0
52.5%
52.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.9
37.2%
34.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
73.9%13.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLWLWWLWW
Baskonia
WLLWLLWLWW
#9
League position
#2
+0.1
Net rating
-1.5
107.8
Offensive rating
113.8
107.7
Defensive rating
115.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.6%
3-point %
37.2%
59.8%
Assist %
63.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 113.8Defence107.7 · 115.3Shooting48.1% · 54.0%3-point %33.6% · 37.2%Ball care16.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds32.4% · 28.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
04/12/22Baskonia v Murcia102-73
13/04/22Baskonia v Murcia93-83
24/10/21Murcia v Baskonia80-79
11/04/21Murcia v Baskonia92-87 OT
04/10/20Baskonia v Murcia75-83
07/04/19Murcia v Baskonia75-86
21/10/18Baskonia v Murcia93-49
29/04/18Baskonia v Murcia87-85
31/12/17Murcia v Baskonia78-67
22/01/17Murcia v Baskonia71-92
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/23ATenerife65-85
21/01/23AFuenlabrada88-72
15/01/23HBarcelona72-86
11/01/23AKarsiyaka96-89
08/01/23ABilbao81-99
06/01/23HTenerife85-64
03/01/23HKarsiyaka97-92
28/12/22AUnicaja66-82
21/12/22ATofas87-77
17/12/22HGran Canaria99-85
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23HAnadolu Efes114-111 OT
22/01/23AObradoiro CAB86-91
19/01/23HBarcelona78-85
15/01/23HJoventut Badalona84-83
13/01/23APartizan65-83
10/01/23ABayern79-92
08/01/23HValencia85-79
05/01/23AAlba Berlin84-85
03/01/23AGranada95-84
29/12/22HReal Madrid92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game79.983.176.2
Allowed / game82.980.385.8
Point differential-3.0+2.8-9.5
Avg total162.8163.4162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%89%62%
Points / game90.693.986.9
Allowed / game82.683.381.9
Point differential+7.9+10.6+5.0
Avg total173.2177.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1815383%88.075.2+12.8
2 Barcelona1815383%84.173.2+10.8
3 Tenerife1814478%83.171.9+11.2
4 Baskonia1713476%90.682.6+7.9
5 Unicaja1813572%87.676.4+11.2
6 Joventut Badalona1811761%82.278.3+3.8
7 Gran Canaria1710759%83.879.4+4.4
8 Obradoiro CAB179853%80.382.6-2.3
9 Valencia189950%86.285.3+0.9
10 Breogan189950%77.378.3-0.9
11 Murcia178947%79.982.9-3.0
12 Bilbao1881044%77.079.3-2.3
13 Basquet Girona1871139%75.879.3-3.4
14 Granada1851328%77.188.7-11.6
15 Basket Zaragoza1741324%76.581.2-4.6
16 Real Betis1731418%74.985.5-10.5
17 Manresa1831517%82.492.9-10.5
18 Fuenlabrada1831517%77.491.6-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1917202480
Baskonia2318222487
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