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Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 80-88
20-20 12-20 23-31 25-17
Position#9
Record8-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#3
Record16-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game75.3
SpainACBRound 20
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Murcia v Real Madrid
31 Jan 2027
MUR v MAD
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
MUR80
MAD91
03 Nov 2024
MUR64
MAD85
12 Jun 2024
MUR73
MAD84
14 Jan 2024
MUR73
MAD61
12 Feb 2023
MUR80
MAD88
19 Dec 2021
MUR71
MAD80
07 Mar 2021
MUR58
MAD74
02 May 2019
MUR80
MAD82
12 May 2018
MUR61
MAD63
05 Feb 2017
MUR61
MAD89
29 May 2016
MUR91
MAD87
03 Apr 2016
MUR99
MAD104
22 Mar 2015
MUR86
MAD79
27 Oct 2013
MUR81
MAD88
04 Nov 2012
MUR64
MAD79
08 Jan 2012
MUR60
MAD91
07 Feb 2010
MUR67
MAD96
15 Mar 2009
MUR77
MAD88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#38
W
97-92
97
92
+5
91avg 71
H03/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
85-64
85
64
+21
76avg 71
H06/01
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
81-99
81
99
-18
65avg 71
A08/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#38
W
96-89
96
89
+7
101avg 71
A11/01
Champions League
Barcelona
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
57avg 71
H15/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
88-72
88
72
+16
74avg 71
A21/01
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
52avg 71
A24/01
Champions League
Baskonia
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 71
H29/01
ACB
Bilbao
#26
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 71
H31/01
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 71
A04/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
25-31
27-25
19-23
13-18
16-12
29-19
27-15
21-27
19-23
20-27
21-22
22-22
25-28
16-22
33-17
13-17
20-20
24-28
15-21
14-23
17-15
25-17
32-17
16-17
18-31
19-15
12-22
19-23
17-18
20-22
24-24
20-13
28-16
26-18
16-25
14-20
15-22
21-23
21-19
165.5Avg total
82.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.483.2162.6-3.742%
Season at home (10)82.881.0163.8+1.850%
Season away (9)75.785.6161.2-9.933%
Last 10 (10)82.583.0165.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)78.880.0158.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.184.4160.6-8.333%
vs Similar (16)81.081.4162.4-0.456%
vs Weaker (5)87.083.8170.8+3.260%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
79-59
79
59
+20
78avg 80
A10/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 80
A12/01
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
82-62
82
62
+20
76avg 80
A15/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
53avg 80
A20/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
87avg 80
H22/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
no box
H26/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
96avg 80
A29/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
83-68
83
68
+15
78avg 80
H01/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
95-91
95
91
+4
95avg 80
A03/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 80
H05/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
13-18
19-17
22-8
25-12
21-23
20-24
18-18
19-14
13-10
25-22
25-16
15-19
13-17
16-18
16-19
24-11
22-26
28-9
17-27
16-20
16-19
18-20
23-14
32-22
25-14
19-13
18-20
26-14
22-16
20-27
15-11
24-20
26-26
20-25
25-20
28-20
22-16
20-23
18-18
158.2Avg total
84.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.075.3163.3+12.784%
Season at home (10)91.775.7167.4+16.090%
Season away (9)83.974.9158.8+9.078%
Last 10 (10)84.773.5158.2+11.290%
Last 5 (5)90.278.2168.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)86.580.0166.5+6.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.574.0160.5+12.685%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
MurciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#38
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H03/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H06/01
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A08/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#38
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A11/01
Champions League
Barcelona
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/01
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A24/01
Champions League
Baskonia
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/01
ACB
Bilbao
#26
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H31/01
Champions League
Real Betis
#17
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/02
ACB
78.7Avg total
37.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.179.1-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.977.7+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)36.144.780.8-8.621%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.978.7-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.675.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.340.875.1-6.433%-
vs Similar (16)39.440.880.1-1.444%-
vs Weaker (5)40.442.883.2-2.420%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/01
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A15/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H22/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H26/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A29/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H01/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A03/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H05/02
ACB
78.0Avg total
42.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.936.980.8+7.180%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.036.583.5+10.593%-
Last 30 away (15)40.937.278.1+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)42.735.378.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)47.437.484.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)44.040.584.5+3.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.935.078.9+8.985%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.7
47.8%
52.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.9
33.2%
34.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.315.4
79.8%
73.9%15.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.7
58.0%
52.1%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.7
33.3%
34.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
73.9%15.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLLWLWLWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWWW
#9
League position
#3
-0.7
Net rating
+16.7
106.7
Offensive rating
115.1
107.3
Defensive rating
98.4
48.6%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.2%
3-point %
33.3%
56.3%
Assist %
61.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 115.1Defence107.3 · 98.4Shooting48.6% · 54.7%3-point %33.2% · 33.3%Ball care16.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.9% · 35.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Murcia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murcia wins
10
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
20/11/22Real Madrid v Murcia93-57
11/05/22Real Madrid v Murcia90-69
19/12/21Murcia v Real Madrid71-80
07/03/21Murcia v Real Madrid58-74
02/02/21Real Madrid v Murcia98-87
02/05/19Murcia v Real Madrid80-82
23/12/18Real Madrid v Murcia80-74
12/05/18Murcia v Real Madrid61-63
10/12/17Real Madrid v Murcia87-85 OT
05/02/17Murcia v Real Madrid61-89
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23AReal Betis71-84
31/01/23HBilbao90-72
29/01/23HBaskonia80-87
24/01/23ATenerife65-85
21/01/23AFuenlabrada88-72
15/01/23HBarcelona72-86
11/01/23AKarsiyaka96-89
08/01/23ABilbao81-99
06/01/23HTenerife85-64
03/01/23HKarsiyaka97-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23HTenerife88-77
03/02/23AMonaco95-91
01/02/23HPanathinaikos83-68
29/01/23AManresa94-69
26/01/23HBarcelona91-86 OT
22/01/23HBreogan91-73
20/01/23AOlympiacos60-73
15/01/23AGranada82-62
12/01/23AAlba Berlin84-77
10/01/23ACrvena zvezda79-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game79.482.875.7
Allowed / game83.281.085.6
Point differential-3.7+1.8-9.9
Avg total162.6163.8161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%90%78%
Points / game88.091.783.9
Allowed / game75.375.774.9
Point differential+12.7+16.0+9.0
Avg total163.3167.4158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%90%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2017385%83.872.3+11.4
2 Real Madrid1916384%88.075.3+12.7
3 Baskonia1915479%90.482.3+8.1
4 Tenerife1914574%82.872.8+10.0
5 Unicaja1913668%86.777.1+9.6
6 Joventut Badalona2013765%81.277.1+4.0
7 Gran Canaria2012860%83.278.5+4.7
8 Valencia20101050%85.584.7+0.8
9 Breogan20101050%76.978.0-1.1
10 Obradoiro CAB20101050%79.381.8-2.5
11 Bilbao2091145%77.078.8-1.9
12 Murcia1981142%79.483.2-3.7
13 Basquet Girona2081240%76.479.8-3.4
14 Basket Zaragoza2061430%77.781.2-3.5
15 Granada2061430%77.287.8-10.7
16 Real Betis2041620%75.384.2-8.8
17 Manresa1931616%81.591.8-10.4
18 Fuenlabrada2031715%76.890.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2012232580
Real Madrid2020311788
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