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Darussafaka vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-89
21-24 17-21 20-27 20-17
Position#9
Record17-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#2
Record25-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final
European cup2016
Meetings · Darussafaka v Real Madrid
01 Feb 2019
DAR82
MAD86
28 Apr 2017
DAR78
MAD89
26 Apr 2017
DAR81
MAD88
15 Dec 2016
DAR81
MAD68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#12
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H24/03
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#14
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
A30/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#10
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H07/04
Euroleague
Yesilgiresun
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H10/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#8
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A14/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A19/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A21/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H26/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
21-21
24-13
12-15
15-23
17-18
24-14
22-15
14-22
15-18
26-18
29-26
20-28
13-23
31-25
30-17
25-14
18-18
12-17
23-13
24-23
19-18
19-19
25-17
18-25
11-17
28-26
38-22
24-16
13-20
16-25
22-22
22-19
22-19
22-30
18-12
17-26
16-20
25-24
23-18
165.1Avg total
84.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.279.3158.5-0.152%
Season at home (16)77.773.7151.4+4.069%
Season away (17)80.684.6165.2-4.035%
Last 10 (10)84.480.7165.1+3.780%
Last 5 (5)84.483.6168.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.787.7168.3-7.017%
vs Similar (14)77.574.6152.1+2.971%
vs Weaker (9)84.880.3165.1+4.478%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A24/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
104-76
104
76
+28
H26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H31/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
101-99
101
99
+2
A02/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H07/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H09/04
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H15/04
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H19/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H21/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A26/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
18-17
21-17
21-19
23-20
23-19
27-22
31-15
20-16
9-16
19-11
13-13
22-26
28-30
30-24
21-19
16-21
21-15
25-24
35-20
16-18
24-19
25-22
21-23
25-14
21-19
17-22
24-21
16-24
20-13
25-16
22-22
19-22
19-22
30-22
12-18
26-17
20-16
24-25
18-23
164.8Avg total
86.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.978.6164.5+7.476%
Season at home (17)88.377.8166.1+10.588%
Season away (16)83.479.4162.8+4.162%
Last 10 (10)86.678.2164.8+8.490%
Last 5 (5)84.879.6164.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)81.379.9161.2+1.478%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.079.2167.2+8.875%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
DarussafakaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H24/03
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#14
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A30/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#10
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/04
Euroleague
Yesilgiresun
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H10/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A14/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A21/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H26/04
Euroleague
76.6Avg total
36.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.678.5-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.536.675.1+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.242.281.5-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)36.040.676.6-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.677.8-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.843.080.8-5.250%-
vs Similar (14)37.837.775.5+0.143%-
vs Weaker (9)41.740.882.4+0.956%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A24/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H31/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A02/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H07/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H09/04
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H15/04
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/04
Euroleague
78.9Avg total
40.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.381.7+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.281.3+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)42.639.482.1+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.478.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.878.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)39.139.378.4-0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.239.183.4+5.165%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.5
48.5%
50.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.3
35.6%
37.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.112.7
70.2%
75.6%12.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.6
58.2%
50.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.3
40.1%
37.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.711.0
74.8%
75.6%11.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LWLWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#2
-1.8
Net rating
+11.0
108.2
Offensive rating
117.5
110.0
Defensive rating
106.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
59.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.6%
3-point %
40.1%
46.8%
Assist %
64.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 117.5Defence110.0 · 106.5Shooting50.3% · 59.0%3-point %35.6% · 40.1%Ball care14.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.4% · 34.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Darussafaka wins
3
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/17HReal Madrid81-88
21/04/17AReal Madrid84-80
19/04/17AReal Madrid75-83
14/04/17AKarsiyaka95-90
10/04/17HYesilgiresun87-77
07/04/17HCrvena zvezda78-62
02/04/17AIstanbul BB94-93
30/03/17ABamberg99-97 OT
27/03/17HUsak Sportif78-70
24/03/17HGalatasaray73-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/17ADarussafaka88-81
21/04/17HDarussafaka80-84
19/04/17HDarussafaka83-75
15/04/17HReal Betis87-76
09/04/17HBaskonia86-82
07/04/17HAnadolu Efes97-80
02/04/17AFuenlabrada101-99
31/03/17HFenerbahce61-56
26/03/17HBilbao104-76
24/03/17AOlympiacos79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL52%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLLWLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %52%69%35%
Points / game79.277.780.6
Allowed / game79.373.784.6
Point differential-0.1+4.0-4.0
Avg total158.5151.4165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)50% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %76%88%62%
Points / game85.988.383.4
Allowed / game78.677.879.4
Point differential+7.4+10.5+4.1
Avg total164.5166.1162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)71% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3325876%87.680.2+7.4
2 Real Madrid3325876%85.978.6+7.4
3 Fenerbahce33211264%76.273.9+2.4
4 Olympiacos33201361%77.573.8+3.6
5 Panathinaikos33191458%76.474.7+1.7
6 Anadolu Efes33191458%82.782.7+0.0
7 Crvena zvezda30161453%73.673.5+0.2
8 Baskonia33171652%82.080.2+1.7
9 Darussafaka33171652%79.279.3-0.1
10 Zalgiris Kaunas30141647%78.379.7-1.4
11 Barcelona30121840%71.474.7-3.4
12 Galatasaray30111937%78.282.5-4.3
13 Bamberg30102033%79.981.0-1.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%78.083.6-5.6
15 Unics Kazan3082227%76.680.8-4.2
16 Olimpia Milano3082227%80.787.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka2117202078
Real Madrid2421271789
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