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Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 61-56
20-16 9-16 19-11 13-13
Position#2
Record21-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game79.2
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Fenerbahce
Position#3
Record17-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game75.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2016
Meetings · Real Madrid v Fenerbahce
29 Oct 2026
MAD95
FEN76
30 Oct 2025
MAD84
FEN58
05 Dec 2024
MAD70
FEN82
07 Mar 2024
MAD79
FEN89
29 Mar 2023
MAD90
FEN75
21 Oct 2021
MAD70
FEN69
20 Nov 2020
MAD94
FEN74
07 Mar 2019
MAD101
FEN86
20 May 2018
MAD85
FEN80
02 Mar 2018
MAD83
FEN86
31 Mar 2017
MAD61
FEN56
19 Apr 2016
MAD63
FEN75
03 Dec 2015
MAD80
FEN73
15 May 2015
MAD96
FEN87
30 Nov 2012
MAD77
FEN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
H26/02
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
L
84-87
84
87
-3
113avg 118
A02/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A04/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
136avg 118
H10/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
H12/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
A16/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
A18/03
ACB
Barcelona
#11
W
85-69
85
69
+16
116avg 118
H22/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
104avg 118
A24/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
104-76
104
76
+28
no box
H26/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-23
24-21
25-20
23-29
20-25
26-24
14-24
24-14
24-26
13-17
15-14
12-18
38-24
25-20
17-13
18-11
23-23
24-13
15-21
14-18
19-21
22-22
17-15
24-30
28-21
10-16
24-31
21-22
22-13
19-14
23-24
21-18
19-20
18-17
21-17
21-19
23-20
23-19
27-22
31-15
163.0Avg total
83.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.779.2165.9+7.575%
Season at home (13)90.879.1169.8+11.792%
Season away (15)83.179.3162.4+3.960%
Last 10 (10)83.679.4163.0+4.250%
Last 5 (5)86.679.2165.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.482.6165.0-0.167%
vs Weaker (20)85.879.0164.8+6.870%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#8
W
85-73 OT
85
73
+12
no box
A26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
76-67
76
67
+9
104avg 103
A02/03
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
L
74-79
74
79
-5
94avg 103
H09/03
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
83-78
83
78
+5
107avg 103
A16/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
89-68
89
68
+21
no box
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
109avg 103
H21/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
102avg 103
A23/03
Euroleague
Best Balikesir
#15
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
A26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
14-16
16-15
13-16
19-17
11-14
25-17
21-19
15-19
23-22
19-16
22-19
18-19
17-24
20-18
19-18
15-19
13-22
22-15
29-19
27-21
15-17
26-18
15-22
21-22
20-12
18-20
30-14
25-15
16-23
18-18
20-25
14-21
21-23
19-21
23-15
22-15
19-21
17-6
21-26
154.5Avg total
80.0Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.275.6152.9+1.661%
Season at home (14)77.973.7151.6+4.271%
Season away (14)76.577.6154.1-1.150%
Last 10 (10)80.074.5154.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)81.475.0156.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.772.3144.0-0.733%
vs Weaker (18)84.876.4161.2+8.394%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
Real MadridFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H26/02
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A02/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H10/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H12/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/03
ACB
Barcelona
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H22/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A24/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H26/03
ACB
82.8Avg total
42.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.881.3+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.641.284.8+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)39.838.878.6+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.982.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.677.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.040.380.3-0.344%-
vs Weaker (20)42.539.481.9+3.165%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A02/03
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H09/03
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A16/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/03
Euroleague
Best Balikesir
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
74.7Avg total
36.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.276.6+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.778.3+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.774.9-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.074.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.078.0+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.576.5-4.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.838.874.6-3.022%-
vs Weaker (18)39.937.677.6+2.372%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.122.2
61.5%
50.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.9
38.1%
37.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws15.612.1
77.6%
75.6%12.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.2
53.1%
50.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.2
37.6%
37.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.314.3
78.1%
75.6%14.3
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWLLWWLLL
Fenerbahce
WLLWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#3
+10.1
Net rating
+2.6
120.8
Offensive rating
110.7
110.7
Defensive rating
108.1
59.7%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.1%
3-point %
37.6%
66.7%
Assist %
63.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 110.7Defence110.7 · 108.1Shooting59.7% · 54.5%3-point %38.1% · 37.6%Ball care18.3% · 16.3%Off. rebounds36.3% · 24.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid wins
5
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
01/12/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid78-77
19/04/16Real Madrid v Fenerbahce63-75
14/04/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid100-78
12/04/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid75-69
03/12/15Real Madrid v Fenerbahce80-73
30/10/15Fenerbahce v Real Madrid77-66
15/05/15Real Madrid v Fenerbahce96-87
30/11/12Real Madrid v Fenerbahce77-61
25/10/12Fenerbahce v Real Madrid75-83
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/17HBilbao104-76
24/03/17AOlympiacos79-73
22/03/17HBarcelona85-69
18/03/17AObradoiro CAB83-90
16/03/17APanathinaikos82-88
12/03/17HBarcelona76-75
10/03/17HCrvena zvezda98-68
04/03/17ATenerife64-75
02/03/17AGalatasaray84-87
26/02/17HGran Canaria81-93
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/17ABest Balikesir79-68
23/03/17AAnadolu Efes77-80
21/03/17HMaccabi Tel Aviv79-81
18/03/17HBuyukcekmece89-68
16/03/17ABamberg83-78
12/03/17AGalatasaray79-75
09/03/17HBaskonia74-79
06/03/17HDarussafaka79-76
02/03/17AZalgiris Kaunas76-67
26/02/17AKarsiyaka85-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %75%92%60%
Points / game86.790.883.1
Allowed / game79.279.179.3
Point differential+7.5+11.7+3.9
Avg total165.9169.8162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%54%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL61%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%71%50%
Points / game77.277.976.5
Allowed / game75.673.777.6
Point differential+1.6+4.2-1.1
Avg total152.9151.6154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)67% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2821775%86.779.2+7.5
2 CSKA Moscow2921872%87.279.3+7.9
3 Olympiacos29191066%77.773.7+4.0
4 Panathinaikos29181162%77.474.9+2.5
5 Fenerbahce28171161%77.275.6+1.6
6 Baskonia29171259%81.679.0+2.6
7 Anadolu Efes29171259%84.283.3+0.9
8 Crvena zvezda29161355%74.073.3+0.7
9 Darussafaka29151452%79.179.4-0.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas29131645%78.179.7-1.6
11 Barcelona29121741%71.675.0-3.4
12 Bamberg29101934%79.980.9-1.0
13 Galatasaray29101934%78.082.6-4.7
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv29101934%78.683.7-5.1
15 Olimpia Milano2982128%81.287.2-6.1
16 Unics Kazan2972224%76.181.3-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid209191361
Fenerbahce1616111356
← all games of the day
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