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Real Madrid vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-75
16-24 20-13 25-16 22-22
Position#2
Record23-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#9
Record16-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final
European cup2016
Meetings · Real Madrid v Darussafaka
11 Oct 2018
MAD109
DAR93
21 Apr 2017
MAD80
DAR84
19 Apr 2017
MAD83
DAR75
24 Feb 2017
MAD101
DAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A16/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A18/03
ACB
Barcelona
#11
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H22/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A24/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
104-76
104
76
+28
H26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H31/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
101-99
101
99
+2
A02/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H07/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H09/04
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H15/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-22
17-15
24-30
28-21
10-16
24-31
21-22
22-13
19-14
23-24
21-18
19-20
18-17
21-17
21-19
23-20
23-19
27-22
31-15
20-16
9-16
19-11
13-13
22-26
28-30
30-24
21-19
16-21
21-15
25-24
35-20
16-18
24-19
25-22
21-23
25-14
21-19
17-22
24-21
165.4Avg total
86.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.278.4164.6+7.777%
Season at home (15)89.277.6166.8+11.693%
Season away (15)83.179.3162.4+3.960%
Last 10 (10)86.578.9165.4+7.680%
Last 5 (5)86.478.6165.0+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)81.379.9161.2+1.478%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.279.5167.7+8.880%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H17/03
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
88-57
88
57
+31
A19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A22/03
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H24/03
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#14
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
A30/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#10
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H07/04
Euroleague
Yesilgiresun
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H10/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#8
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A14/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
32-9
10-20
14-14
26-14
26-18
20-12
16-13
19-24
16-23
27-21
23-27
16-18
21-21
24-13
12-15
15-23
17-18
24-14
22-15
14-22
15-18
26-18
29-26
20-28
13-23
31-25
30-17
25-14
18-18
12-17
23-13
24-23
19-18
19-19
25-17
18-25
11-17
28-26
38-22
160.8Avg total
84.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.178.9158.0+0.253%
Season at home (15)77.572.7150.2+4.773%
Season away (15)80.785.0165.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)84.476.4160.8+8.090%
Last 5 (5)90.683.8174.4+6.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.391.7173.0-10.30%
vs Similar (15)78.174.4152.5+3.773%
vs Weaker (11)86.581.0167.5+5.573%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +5.3+5.3
Real MadridDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/03
ACB
Barcelona
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H22/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A24/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H31/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A02/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H07/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H09/04
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H15/04
ACB
78.2Avg total
40.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.781.4+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.281.0+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)41.640.281.8+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.778.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.879.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)39.139.378.4-0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.339.682.9+3.665%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H17/03
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A22/03
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H24/03
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#14
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A30/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#10
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/04
Euroleague
Yesilgiresun
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H10/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A14/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.3Avg total
37.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.979.1-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.735.975.6+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.843.482.2-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.776.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.276.6-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.746.083.7-8.333%-
vs Similar (15)37.837.975.7-0.140%-
vs Weaker (11)41.941.583.4+0.555%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.8
60.3%
50.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.4
39.8%
37.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.310.9
76.2%
75.6%10.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.3
47.5%
50.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.5
35.1%
37.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.613.2
67.3%
75.6%13.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLL
Darussafaka
WWWWWWWLWW
#2
League position
#9
+12.9
Net rating
+0.8
118.8
Offensive rating
106.5
105.9
Defensive rating
105.7
60.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
19.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.8%
3-point %
35.1%
68.6%
Assist %
51.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 106.5Defence105.9 · 105.7Shooting60.1% · 49.5%3-point %39.8% · 35.1%Ball care19.5% · 14.7%Off. rebounds35.4% · 30.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Real Madrid wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
24/02/17Real Madrid v Darussafaka101-83
15/12/16Darussafaka v Real Madrid81-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/17HReal Betis87-76
09/04/17HBaskonia86-82
07/04/17HAnadolu Efes97-80
02/04/17AFuenlabrada101-99
31/03/17HFenerbahce61-56
26/03/17HBilbao104-76
24/03/17AOlympiacos79-73
22/03/17HBarcelona85-69
18/03/17AObradoiro CAB83-90
16/03/17APanathinaikos82-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/17AKarsiyaka95-90
10/04/17HYesilgiresun87-77
07/04/17HCrvena zvezda78-62
02/04/17AIstanbul BB94-93
30/03/17ABamberg99-97 OT
27/03/17HUsak Sportif78-70
24/03/17HGalatasaray73-67
22/03/17ACSKA Moscow85-95
19/03/17AAnkara Kolejliler88-57
17/03/17HBarcelona67-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %77%93%60%
Points / game86.289.283.1
Allowed / game78.477.679.3
Point differential+7.7+11.6+3.9
Avg total164.6166.8162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)83% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW53%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%73%33%
Points / game79.177.580.7
Allowed / game78.972.785.0
Point differential+0.2+4.7-4.3
Avg total158.0150.2165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3023777%86.278.4+7.7
2 CSKA Moscow3123874%87.679.9+7.7
3 Olympiacos31201165%78.274.2+4.1
4 Panathinaikos31191261%76.974.4+2.5
5 Fenerbahce31191261%76.074.3+1.8
6 Baskonia31171455%81.879.8+2.0
7 Anadolu Efes31171455%83.683.8-0.2
8 Darussafaka30161453%79.178.9+0.2
9 Crvena zvezda30161453%73.673.5+0.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas30141647%78.379.7-1.4
11 Barcelona30121840%71.474.7-3.4
12 Galatasaray30111937%78.282.5-4.3
13 Bamberg30102033%79.981.0-1.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%78.083.6-5.6
15 Unics Kazan3082227%76.680.8-4.2
16 Olimpia Milano3082227%80.787.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1620252283
Darussafaka2413162275
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