PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olympiacos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-79
20-19 17-18 17-21 19-21
Position#4
Record19-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game73.4
Olympiacos
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#2
Record20-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2016
Meetings · Olympiacos v Real Madrid
20 Nov 2026
OLY v MAD
upcoming
24 May 2026
OLY92
MAD85
07 Apr 2026
OLY102
MAD88
25 Apr 2025
OLY77
MAD71
23 Apr 2025
OLY84
MAD72
29 Oct 2024
OLY79
MAD69
05 Dec 2023
OLY71
MAD77
21 May 2023
OLY78
MAD79
20 Jan 2023
OLY73
MAD60
08 Oct 2021
OLY74
MAD68
18 Dec 2020
OLY82
MAD86
22 Nov 2018
OLY88
MAD83
08 Dec 2017
OLY92
MAD83
24 Mar 2017
OLY73
MAD79
25 Mar 2016
OLY99
MAD84
23 Apr 2014
OLY71
MAD62
21 Apr 2014
OLY78
MAD76
12 May 2013
OLY100
MAD88
18 Oct 2010
OLY82
MAD66
26 Mar 2009
OLY79
MAD73
24 Mar 2009
OLY88
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
69-55
69
55
+14
no box
H15/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
64-67
64
67
-3
87avg 105
A23/02
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
A27/02
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
82-71
82
71
+11
110avg 105
A02/03
Euroleague
Lavrio
#8
W
84-52
84
52
+32
no box
H05/03
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
110avg 105
H10/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
A13/03
Basket League
Galatasaray
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
102avg 105
H17/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#10
W
79-61
79
61
+18
no box
H19/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
66-64 OT
66
64
+2
no box
A22/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
20-12
14-20
15-14
22-22
12-18
22-7
8-20
26-15
22-25
22-13
17-17
17-13
23-19
18-13
24-26
25-8
19-21
21-13
19-10
25-18
23-15
21-25
12-15
16-19
19-18
17-10
18-16
27-14
21-21
11-22
12-23
19-11
18-19
22-11
20-20
17-9
13-8
12-26
16-15
140.9Avg total
75.3Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.173.4151.5+4.870%
Season at home (14)78.469.4147.7+9.079%
Season away (13)77.977.7155.6+0.262%
Last 10 (10)75.365.6140.9+9.780%
Last 5 (5)73.468.2141.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.966.8139.6+6.175%
vs Weaker (22)79.769.4149.1+10.482%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
97-95
97
95
+2
no box
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Darussafaka
#9
W
101-83
101
83
+18
136avg 118
H24/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
H26/02
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
L
84-87
84
87
-3
113avg 118
A02/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A04/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
136avg 118
H10/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
H12/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
A16/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
A18/03
ACB
Barcelona
#11
W
85-69
85
69
+16
116avg 118
H22/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
25-29
27-26
23-24
30-14
23-23
22-23
26-23
9-23
24-21
25-20
23-29
20-25
26-24
14-24
24-14
24-26
13-17
15-14
12-18
38-24
25-20
17-13
18-11
23-23
24-13
15-21
14-18
19-21
22-22
17-15
24-30
28-21
10-16
24-31
21-22
22-13
19-14
23-24
21-18
167.4Avg total
85.1Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.079.4166.4+7.674%
Season at home (13)90.879.1169.8+11.792%
Season away (14)83.479.7163.1+3.757%
Last 10 (10)85.182.3167.4+2.850%
Last 5 (5)84.878.0162.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.983.8166.6-0.962%
vs Weaker (21)86.377.9164.1+8.471%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
OlympiacosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H15/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A23/02
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A27/02
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A02/03
Euroleague
Lavrio
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H05/03
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H10/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A13/03
Basket League
Galatasaray
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H17/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#10
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H19/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
30-17
30
17
+13
A22/03
Euroleague
71.8Avg total
40.4Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.933.374.1+7.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.530.072.5+12.588%-
Last 30 away (14)39.037.076.0+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.431.471.8+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.470.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.130.169.2+9.075%-
vs Weaker (22)41.534.475.9+7.168%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Darussafaka
#9
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H24/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H26/02
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A02/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H10/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H12/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/03
ACB
Barcelona
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H22/03
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
44.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.481.3+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.040.184.1+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.038.978.9+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.585.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.037.483.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.440.881.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker (21)42.938.881.6+4.167%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.0
52.2%
50.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.3
34.3%
37.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.414.1
72.7%
75.6%14.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.321.4
60.6%
50.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.4
38.1%
37.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.511.7
75.5%
75.6%11.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWLWWWWWLW
Real Madrid
WLLWWLLLWW
#4
League position
#2
+7.5
Net rating
+11.7
111.0
Offensive rating
120.6
103.5
Defensive rating
108.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
59.1%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.3%
3-point %
38.1%
54.8%
Assist %
70.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 120.6Defence103.5 · 108.9Shooting52.0% · 59.1%3-point %34.3% · 38.1%Ball care16.9% · 17.9%Off. rebounds36.0% · 35.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olympiacos wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
12/10/16Real Madrid v Olympiacos83-65
25/03/16Olympiacos v Real Madrid99-84
28/01/16Real Madrid v Olympiacos84-72
17/05/15Real Madrid v Olympiacos78-59
25/04/14Real Madrid v Olympiacos83-69
23/04/14Olympiacos v Real Madrid71-62
21/04/14Olympiacos v Real Madrid78-76
17/04/14Real Madrid v Olympiacos82-77
15/04/14Real Madrid v Olympiacos88-71
12/05/13Olympiacos v Real Madrid100-88
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/17ACrvena zvezda66-64 OT
19/03/17HTrikala79-61
17/03/17HGalatasaray71-80
13/03/17AAEK Athens70-63
10/03/17HDarussafaka81-73
05/03/17HLavrio84-52
02/03/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-71
27/02/17AApollon Patras87-70
23/02/17AFenerbahce64-67
15/02/17HAris69-55
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/17HBarcelona85-69
18/03/17AObradoiro CAB83-90
16/03/17APanathinaikos82-88
12/03/17HBarcelona76-75
10/03/17HCrvena zvezda98-68
04/03/17ATenerife64-75
02/03/17AGalatasaray84-87
26/02/17HGran Canaria81-93
24/02/17HDarussafaka101-83
19/02/17HValencia97-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%79%62%
Points / game78.178.477.9
Allowed / game73.469.477.7
Point differential+4.8+9.0+0.2
Avg total151.5147.7155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)-67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %74%92%57%
Points / game87.090.883.4
Allowed / game79.479.179.7
Point differential+7.6+11.7+3.7
Avg total166.4169.8163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%54%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2821775%87.579.1+8.3
2 Real Madrid2720774%87.079.4+7.6
3 Olympiacos2719870%78.173.4+4.8
4 Panathinaikos28171161%77.174.8+2.4
5 Fenerbahce28171161%77.275.6+1.6
6 Baskonia28161257%80.879.0+1.8
7 Anadolu Efes28161257%84.483.8+0.6
8 Crvena zvezda27151256%74.473.9+0.6
9 Darussafaka28141450%78.478.8-0.4
10 Zalgiris Kaunas28131546%77.979.4-1.5
11 Barcelona27101737%71.675.9-4.3
12 Bamberg28101836%79.380.2-0.9
13 Galatasaray28101836%77.981.9-4.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv28101836%78.984.0-5.1
15 Unics Kazan2872125%76.581.2-4.7
16 Olimpia Milano2872125%80.987.4-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2017171973
Real Madrid1918212179
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.