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Darussafaka vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-68
17-20 18-11 17-13 29-24
Position#9
Record5-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game79.6
Darussafaka 🏆
vs
Real Madrid
Position#2
Record8-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12
European cup2016
Meetings · Darussafaka v Real Madrid
01 Feb 2019
DAR82
MAD86
28 Apr 2017
DAR78
MAD89
26 Apr 2017
DAR81
MAD88
15 Dec 2016
DAR81
MAD68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H16/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A18/11
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#5
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A25/11
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#14
W
90-65
90
65
+25
A28/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H02/12
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#10
W
82-50
82
50
+32
H05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
L
52-73
52
73
-21
A09/12
Euroleague
Yesilgiresun
#11
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
18-22
17-18
16-17
30-18
19-19
24-20
18-26
21-17
17-20
17-28
26-20
18-15
17-18
23-14
13-15
16-21
18-25
26-18
20-22
25-14
16-19
25-12
24-20
21-24
13-19
17-14
20-20
21-14
27-20
15-8
19-8
9-18
10-19
14-18
19-18
18-18
19-18
22-11
21-14
149.2Avg total
77.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.879.6157.5-1.845%
Season at home (5)78.679.0157.6-0.440%
Season away (6)77.280.2157.3-3.050%
Last 10 (10)77.371.9149.2+5.450%
Last 5 (5)75.065.2140.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.580.5160.0-1.033%
vs Similar (16)77.274.9152.1+2.350%
vs Weaker (8)80.667.4148.0+13.288%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H13/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H16/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
W
102-63
102
63
+39
A18/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A20/11
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A01/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H04/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H08/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A11/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
23-13
20-14
20-13
21-23
32-27
19-18
15-16
29-17
25-14
21-15
27-17
21-17
16-22
18-17
21-12
25-17
15-20
22-18
27-20
25-17
16-19
33-15
22-19
19-23
21-16
17-18
20-21
23-12
24-20
24-19
21-25
25-22
24-27
25-20
22-22
22-13
26-25
17-24
20-15
162.7Avg total
88.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.181.0171.1+9.173%
Season at home (6)88.781.2169.8+7.583%
Season away (5)91.880.8172.6+11.060%
Last 10 (10)88.674.1162.7+14.590%
Last 5 (5)89.278.4167.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)86.577.2163.7+9.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.481.5173.9+10.989%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
DarussafakaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H16/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/11
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A25/11
Euroleague
Usak Sportif
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A28/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H02/12
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
L
19-37
19
37
-18
A09/12
Euroleague
Yesilgiresun
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
75.5Avg total
37.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.075.8-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.436.976.3+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)36.139.275.3-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.875.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.672.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.741.280.8-1.533%-
vs Similar (16)35.737.973.6-2.238%-
vs Weaker (8)40.536.076.5+4.575%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H13/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H16/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A18/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/11
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A01/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H04/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/12
ACB
83.8Avg total
45.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.285.8+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.642.187.8+3.569%-
Last 30 away (14)43.440.183.5+3.464%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.383.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.883.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.641.083.6+1.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.640.986.6+4.767%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.6
47.1%
50.7%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.9
41.4%
37.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
75.6%12.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.3
54.8%
50.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.4
35.6%
37.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.717.0
78.3%
75.6%17.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
WLWLWLWLWL
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#2
-3.0
Net rating
+10.7
105.8
Offensive rating
116.7
108.8
Defensive rating
106.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.9%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
41.4%
3-point %
35.6%
56.7%
Assist %
64.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 116.7Defence108.8 · 106.1Shooting52.9% · 54.2%3-point %41.4% · 35.6%Ball care17.3% · 13.9%Off. rebounds25.5% · 30.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Darussafaka wins
0
Real Madrid wins
No previous meetings.
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/16AYesilgiresun80-61
09/12/16ABaskonia52-73
05/12/16HIstanbul BB82-50
02/12/16HOlympiacos71-77
28/11/16AUsak Sportif90-65
25/11/16APanathinaikos80-86
21/11/16HAnkara Kolejliler71-62
18/11/16AGalatasaray81-85
16/11/16HCSKA Moscow91-83
12/11/16ABesiktas75-77
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16ABilbao85-77
08/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas96-91
04/12/16HFuenlabrada92-76
01/12/16AFenerbahce77-78
27/11/16HManresa96-70
24/11/16HUnics Kazan89-75
20/11/16AGran Canaria76-68
18/11/16ABarcelona102-63
16/11/16HPanathinaikos87-84
13/11/16HTenerife86-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game77.878.677.2
Allowed / game79.679.080.2
Point differential-1.8-0.4-3.0
Avg total157.5157.6157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game90.188.791.8
Allowed / game81.081.280.8
Point differential+9.1+7.5+11.0
Avg total171.1169.8172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1110191%92.082.4+9.6
2 Real Madrid118373%90.181.0+9.1
3 Fenerbahce118373%78.176.9+1.2
4 Baskonia128467%80.878.2+2.7
5 Olympiacos117464%79.975.4+4.5
6 Panathinaikos116555%79.176.5+2.6
7 Anadolu Efes116555%86.086.0+0.0
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv115645%81.582.7-1.3
9 Darussafaka115645%77.879.6-1.8
10 Barcelona115645%70.473.5-3.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas114736%81.883.5-1.6
12 Crvena zvezda114736%73.477.2-3.8
13 Olimpia Milano114736%84.589.5-5.0
14 Bamberg113827%80.581.4-0.9
15 Galatasaray113827%79.587.1-7.6
16 Unics Kazan123925%79.984.2-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1718172981
Real Madrid2011132468
← all games of the day
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