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Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 120-113
32-22 32-32 29-32 27-27
Position#6
Record38-24
FormLWLLW
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game116.1
vs
Position#7
Record37-23
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game114.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Los Angeles Lakers
26 Feb 2027
DEN v LAL
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
DEN v LAL
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
DEN120
LAL113
20 Jan 2026
DEN107
LAL115
14 Mar 2025
DEN131
LAL126
22 Feb 2025
DEN100
LAL123
29 Apr 2024
DEN108
LAL106
22 Apr 2024
DEN101
LAL99
20 Apr 2024
DEN114
LAL103
24 Oct 2023
DEN119
LAL107
18 May 2023
DEN108
LAL103
16 May 2023
DEN132
LAL126
09 Jan 2023
DEN122
LAL109
26 Oct 2022
DEN110
LAL99
10 Apr 2022
DEN141
LAL146
15 Jan 2022
DEN133
LAL96
14 Feb 2021
DEN122
LAL105
24 Sep 2020
DEN108
LAL114
22 Sep 2020
DEN114
LAL106
12 Feb 2020
DEN116
LAL120
03 Dec 2019
DEN96
LAL105
27 Nov 2018
DEN117
LAL85
09 Mar 2018
DEN125
LAL116
02 Dec 2017
DEN115
LAL100
13 Mar 2017
DEN129
LAL101
02 Mar 2016
DEN117
LAL107
22 Dec 2015
DEN107
LAL111
08 Apr 2015
DEN119
LAL101
30 Dec 2014
DEN103
LAL111
07 Mar 2014
DEN134
LAL126
13 Nov 2013
DEN111
LAL99
25 Feb 2013
DEN119
LAL108
26 Dec 2012
DEN126
LAL114
10 May 2012
DEN113
LAL96
06 May 2012
DEN88
LAL92
04 May 2012
DEN99
LAL84
03 Feb 2012
DEN89
LAL93
01 Jan 2012
DEN99
LAL90
21 Jan 2011
DEN97
LAL107
11 Nov 2010
DEN118
LAL112
08 Apr 2010
DEN98
LAL96
13 Nov 2009
DEN105
LAL79
29 May 2009
DEN92
LAL119
25 May 2009
DEN120
LAL101
23 May 2009
DEN97
LAL103
27 Feb 2009
DEN90
LAL79
01 Nov 2008
DEN97
LAL104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Los Angeles Lakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-120
136
120
+16
138avg 112
A08/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
117-119
117
119
-2
110avg 112
H10/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
122-116
122
116
+6
123avg 112
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
114-115
114
115
-1
109avg 112
A20/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
157-103
157
103
+54
168avg 112
A21/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
117-128
117
128
-11
108avg 112
A22/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
103-84
103
84
+19
97avg 112
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
121-127 OT
121
127
-6
108avg 112
A28/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
108-117
108
117
-9
99avg 112
H01/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
128-125
128
125
+3
128avg 112
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-36
20-29
38-39
39-16
30-26
29-28
33-33
25-32
30-28
30-26
33-27
29-35
24-25
28-20
25-33
37-37
41-27
41-26
43-32
32-18
27-39
40-37
34-19
16-33
21-24
26-24
30-19
26-17
33-19
26-31
24-27
24-30
31-22
19-36
32-32
26-27
33-34
33-33
34-26
28-32
237.7Avg total
122.3Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)120.5116.1236.5+4.461%
Season at home (28)117.8114.4232.2+3.457%
Season away (34)122.6117.5240.1+5.165%
Last 10 (10)122.3115.4237.7+6.950%
Last 5 (5)115.4116.2231.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)116.0124.0240.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)109.1112.3221.4-3.129%
vs Weaker (14)120.4113.4233.7+7.086%
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Los Angeles LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLakers
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
110-119
110
119
-9
101avg 105
H10/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
108-136
108
136
-28
96avg 105
H11/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
124-104
124
104
+20
128avg 105
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
125-122
125
122
+3
119avg 105
H21/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
89-111
89
111
-22
71avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
109-110
109
110
-1
100avg 105
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
110-113
110
113
-3
105avg 105
A27/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
129-101
129
101
+28
127avg 105
A01/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
128-104
128
104
+24
121avg 105
H02/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
110-101
110
101
+9
110avg 105
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
28-36
33-26
19-26
30-47
25-37
26-31
27-21
36-31
28-32
32-19
28-22
41-30
31-35
27-30
26-27
28-28
22-32
21-24
18-27
33-25
23-28
24-26
29-31
27-22
22-27
31-31
30-33
33-20
32-27
34-25
30-29
36-18
28-31
32-27
32-28
31-33
23-18
22-27
34-23
226.3Avg total
114.2Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)115.8114.9230.7+0.862%
Season at home (29)117.6115.5233.0+2.162%
Season away (31)114.1114.4228.5-0.361%
Last 10 (10)114.2112.1226.3+2.150%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.8223.0+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)99.6117.0216.6-17.40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)115.3114.2229.5+1.254%
vs Weaker (12)120.5110.3230.8+10.283%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
Denver NuggetsLos Angeles Lakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A08/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H10/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A20/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
82-53
82
53
+29
A21/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A22/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H01/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A03/03
NBA
117.1Avg total
60.1Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.256.2113.4+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.355.2110.5+0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)58.657.1115.7+1.641%-
Last 10 (10)60.157.0117.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)57.859.8117.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.056.0113.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.655.7109.4-2.136%-
vs Weaker (14)60.856.8117.6+4.050%-
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Los Angeles LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H10/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
55-84
55
84
-29
H11/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H21/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H22/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A27/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A01/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H02/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H04/03
NBA
117.5Avg total
58.7Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.257.6115.8+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.059.8117.8-1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)58.455.0113.4+3.443%-
Last 10 (10)58.758.8117.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)57.649.8107.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.462.2114.6-9.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.358.2115.5-0.838%-
vs Weaker (12)61.655.0116.6+6.667%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 122.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.029.3
56.3%
54.8%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.6
37.9%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws29.422.9
77.9%
78.1%22.9
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Los Angeles Lakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Los Angeles Lakers: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.929.6
56.0%
54.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.5
38.7%
35.8%37.5
🏀 Free throws22.917.5
76.4%
78.1%17.5
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLWLWLW
Los Angeles Lakers
WWWLLLWWLL
#6
League position
#7
+6.6
Net rating
+2.1
117.5
Offensive rating
114.3
110.9
Defensive rating
112.2
56.5%
Effective FG%
56.7%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
12.8%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.9%
3-point %
38.7%
66.9%
Assist %
63.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 114.3Defence110.9 · 112.2Shooting56.5% · 56.7%3-point %37.9% · 38.7%Ball care13.6% · 12.8%Off. rebounds26.7% · 20.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Los Angeles Lakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26AUtah Jazz128-125
01/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves108-117
28/02/26AOklahoma City Thunder121-127 OT
26/02/26HBoston Celtics103-84
22/02/26AGolden State Warriors117-128
21/02/26APortland Trail Blazers157-103
20/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers114-115
12/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies122-116
10/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers117-119
08/02/26AChicago Bulls136-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans110-101
02/03/26HSacramento Kings128-104
01/03/26AGolden State Warriors129-101
27/02/26APhoenix Suns110-113
25/02/26HOrlando Magic109-110
22/02/26HBoston Celtics89-111
21/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers125-122
13/02/26HDallas Mavericks124-104
11/02/26HSan Antonio Spurs108-136
10/02/26HOklahoma City Thunder110-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW61%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLWLLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games622834
Win %61%57%65%
Points / game120.5117.8122.6
Allowed / game116.1114.4117.5
Point differential+4.4+3.4+5.1
Avg total236.5232.2240.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%32%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)44% (9)54% (13)
Overtime %10%7%12%
Los Angeles Lakers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWLWLW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games602931
Win %62%62%61%
Points / game115.8117.6114.1
Allowed / game114.9115.5114.4
Point differential+0.8+2.1-0.3
Avg total230.7233.0228.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)60% (5)86% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder62481477%118.7108.0+10.7
2 Detroit Pistons61451674%117.0109.6+7.3
3 San Antonio Spurs60431772%118.1111.3+6.8
4 Boston Celtics62412166%114.5107.1+7.3
5 Minnesota Timberwolves63402363%119.0114.4+4.7
6 New York Knicks61382362%116.6110.8+5.8
7 Houston Rockets61382362%114.7109.5+5.2
8 Cleveland Cavaliers63392462%119.1114.9+4.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers60372362%115.8114.9+0.8
10 Denver Nuggets62382461%120.5116.1+4.4
11 Toronto Raptors61352657%113.8112.0+1.8
12 Phoenix Suns61352657%112.4110.7+1.7
13 Miami Heat62342855%120.2116.6+3.6
14 Philadelphia 76ers62342855%115.8115.9-0.1
15 Orlando Magic59322754%114.6114.2+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors62323052%115.3114.1+1.3
17 Charlotte Hornets63323151%116.1112.3+3.8
18 Atlanta Hawks63323151%117.6117.3+0.3
19 Los Angeles Clippers61303149%112.4112.0+0.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers63303348%115.3118.3-2.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks61263543%111.4115.8-4.4
22 Chicago Bulls63263741%115.5119.7-4.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies61233838%115.6117.7-2.1
24 Dallas Mavericks62214134%113.5117.6-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans63194430%114.9120.2-5.3
26 Utah Jazz63194430%117.7125.2-7.6
27 Washington Wizards62164626%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Indiana Pacers62154724%111.3119.7-8.4
29 Brooklyn Nets62154724%106.9115.7-8.9
30 Sacramento Kings63144922%110.2121.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets32322927120
Los Angeles Lakers22323227113
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