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Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game114.7
vs
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game108.2
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Memphis Grizzlies
04 Apr 2027
DEN v MEM
upcoming
14 Jan 2027
DEN v MEM
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
DEN136
MEM119
11 Feb 2026
DEN122
MEM116
11 Apr 2025
DEN117
MEM109
25 Mar 2024
DEN128
MEM103
28 Dec 2023
DEN142
MEM105
03 Mar 2023
DEN113
MEM97
20 Dec 2022
DEN105
MEM91
07 Apr 2022
DEN122
MEM109
21 Jan 2022
DEN118
MEM122
26 Apr 2021
DEN120
MEM96
19 Apr 2021
DEN139
MEM137
07 Apr 2020
DEN v MEM
upcoming
28 Dec 2019
DEN119
MEM110
10 Dec 2018
DEN105
MEM99
12 Jan 2018
DEN87
MEM78
24 Nov 2017
DEN104
MEM92
26 Feb 2017
DEN98
MEM105
01 Feb 2017
DEN99
MEM119
29 Feb 2016
DEN96
MEM103
21 Jan 2016
DEN101
MEM102
03 Jan 2015
DEN114
MEM85
31 Mar 2014
DEN92
MEM94
03 Jan 2014
DEN111
MEM108
15 Mar 2013
DEN87
MEM80
14 Dec 2012
DEN99
MEM94
11 Mar 2012
DEN91
MEM94
22 Feb 2011
DEN120
MEM107
05 Dec 2010
DEN108
MEM107
12 Apr 2010
DEN123
MEM101
01 Nov 2009
DEN133
MEM123
09 Nov 2008
DEN100
MEM90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Memphis Grizzlies win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#21
L
97-109
97
109
-12
H04/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
117-106
117
106
+11
A07/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
133-128
133
128
+5
H12/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
110-122
110
122
-12
A15/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
121-106
121
106
+15
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-134
114
134
-20
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
127-120
127
120
+7
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
26-27
25-25
20-21
24-31
41-28
30-22
22-25
29-27
30-41
40-26
34-34
24-24
31-34
26-38
29-26
36-22
26-33
26-28
33-23
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
229.5Avg total
114.8Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Season at home (4)121.2126.5247.8-5.250%
Season away (6)110.5106.8217.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)114.0115.2229.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)126.2123.2249.5+3.075%
vs Similar (15)111.0111.7222.7-0.753%
vs Weaker (11)129.6118.7248.4+10.991%
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis GrizzliesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
101-132
101
132
-31
A13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
132-123
132
123
+9
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
118-122
118
122
-4
H08/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
104-100
104
100
+4
A10/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
116-98
116
98
+18
H17/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
123-103
123
103
+20
H22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
111-108
111
108
+3
A24/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
123-112
123
112
+11
A26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
110-105
110
105
+5
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
124-103
124
103
+21
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
19-34
26-34
30-32
32-35
49-26
29-37
22-25
26-36
35-28
26-30
31-28
30-27
30-23
25-32
19-18
23-20
27-18
29-24
37-36
29-31
35-20
34-28
25-24
33-34
27-22
24-34
27-18
25-28
42-31
29-31
27-22
30-21
28-31
31-24
21-29
25-25
33-33
33-25
33-20
226.8Avg total
116.2Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)117.9108.2226.1+9.789%
Season at home (3)119.0107.7226.7+11.367%
Season away (6)117.3108.5225.8+8.8100%
Last 10 (10)116.2110.6226.8+5.680%
Last 5 (5)118.2106.2224.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)111.8128.9240.7-17.17%
vs Similar (7)114.1126.1240.3-12.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)117.1108.9226.0+8.288%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
Denver NuggetsMemphis Grizzlies
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#21
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H04/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A07/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H12/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A15/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
117.4Avg total
58.2Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.258.9119.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.261.4122.6-0.235%-
Last 30 away (13)58.955.6114.5+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)58.259.2117.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.8115.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)62.559.8122.2+2.850%-
vs Similar (15)56.656.8113.4-0.253%-
vs Weaker (11)64.361.5125.7+2.845%-
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis GrizzliesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H08/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A10/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H17/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A24/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A30/10
NBA
115.9Avg total
60.4Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.661.0118.6-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.659.5115.1-3.921%-
Last 30 away (16)59.262.4121.6-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)60.455.5115.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)61.455.2116.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)55.763.8119.5-8.120%-
vs Similar (7)55.763.3119.0-7.60%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)62.653.9116.5+8.888%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.928.5
56.0%
54.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.4
32.8%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws28.020.7
73.9%
76.2%20.7
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Memphis Grizzliestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Memphis Grizzlies: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.825.1
51.4%
54.0%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.114.4
37.8%
34.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws23.619.7
83.5%
76.2%19.7
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWLWWL
Memphis Grizzlies
WWWWWWWLWL
#7
League position
#2
-4.0
Net rating
+2.3
103.4
Offensive rating
105.0
107.4
Defensive rating
102.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
13.2%
Turnover %
14.4%
11.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
37.8%
68.9%
Assist %
68.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 105.0Defence107.4 · 102.6Shooting53.4% · 53.7%3-point %32.8% · 37.8%Ball care13.2% · 14.4%Off. rebounds11.0% · 28.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Memphis Grizzlies
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
17/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers121-106
15/10/26ALos Angeles Clippers110-122
12/10/26HChicago Bulls133-128
07/10/26AUtah Jazz117-106
04/10/26HUtah Jazz97-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26APortland Trail Blazers124-103
27/10/26AUtah Jazz110-105
26/10/26ASacramento Kings123-112
24/10/26AGolden State Warriors111-108
22/10/26HUtah Jazz123-103
17/10/26HCharlotte Hornets116-98
10/10/26AChicago Bulls104-100
08/10/26HOrlando Magic118-122
05/10/26AAtlanta Hawks132-123
13/04/26AHouston Rockets101-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game114.8121.2110.5
Allowed / game114.7126.5106.8
Point differential+0.1-5.2+3.7
Avg total229.5247.8217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
Memphis Grizzlies
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %89%67%100%
Points / game117.9119.0117.3
Allowed / game108.2107.7108.5
Point differential+9.7+11.3+8.8
Avg total226.1226.7225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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