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Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 133-128
29-27 30-41 40-26 34-34
Position#13
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#27
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Chicago Bulls
11 Feb 2027
DEN v CHI
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
DEN133
CHI128
17 Nov 2025
DEN127
CHI130
24 Mar 2025
DEN119
CHI129
04 Nov 2023
DEN123
CHI101
08 Mar 2023
DEN96
CHI117
19 Nov 2021
DEN108
CHI114
19 Mar 2021
DEN131
CHI127
03 Apr 2020
DEN v CHI
upcoming
17 Jan 2019
DEN135
CHI105
30 Nov 2017
DEN111
CHI110
22 Nov 2016
DEN110
CHI107
05 Feb 2016
DEN115
CHI110
25 Nov 2014
DEN114
CHI109
21 Nov 2013
DEN97
CHI87
07 Feb 2013
DEN128
CHI96
26 Nov 2010
DEN98
CHI97
21 Nov 2009
DEN112
CHI93
23 Nov 2008
DEN114
CHI101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago Bulls winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
137-132 OT
137
132
+5
134avg 116
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
136-119
136
119
+17
140avg 116
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
127-107
127
107
+20
124avg 116
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
128-118
128
118
+10
126avg 116
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-105
116
105
+11
112avg 116
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 116
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-113
96
113
-17
75avg 116
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-112
96
112
-16
80avg 116
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
123avg 116
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
90avg 116
A01/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
27-37
29-29
38-24
37-33
31-39
39-22
29-25
34-27
25-24
31-34
37-22
37-34
33-22
31-35
27-27
23-33
39-29
29-17
25-26
39-25
25-39
29-26
21-29
11-25
28-36
29-27
28-25
23-22
31-28
24-32
18-30
34-29
26-22
37-24
28-38
30-29
20-28
24-25
24-28
232.1Avg total
117.3Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)117.3114.8232.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)105.8113.4219.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)124.7121.0245.7+3.733%
vs Similar (17)116.4115.8232.2+0.659%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)129.4118.3247.7+11.190%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
113-131
113
131
-18
100avg 109
A28/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
124-125
124
125
-1
123avg 109
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
114-129
114
129
-15
99avg 109
A31/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
126-145
126
145
-19
104avg 109
H02/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
96-136
96
136
-40
78avg 109
A03/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
110-120
110
120
-10
97avg 109
H05/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
129-98
129
98
+31
122avg 109
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
119-108
119
108
+11
112avg 109
A09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
103-127
103
127
-24
84avg 109
H11/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
128-149
128
149
-21
93avg 109
A13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
35-33
21-33
25-36
30-28
28-28
30-42
36-27
28-29
19-35
35-38
32-27
33-39
33-44
26-34
34-28
16-38
25-40
31-30
24-28
30-30
26-33
28-23
26-34
38-18
28-19
34-26
29-35
32-24
20-27
35-23
32-34
26-28
27-36
26-35
24-28
34-45
22-35
32-39
40-30
243.0Avg total
116.2Scored
126.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)116.2126.8243.0-10.620%
Last 5 (5)117.8120.4238.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)112.0125.5237.4-13.514%
vs Similar (5)126.0124.6250.6+1.440%
vs Weaker (4)118.2113.8232.0+4.550%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Denver NuggetsChicago Bulls
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A01/05
NBA
118.0Avg total
58.4Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.358.7117.9+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)60.158.4118.6+1.744%-
Last 30 away (12)58.059.0117.0-1.042%-
Last 10 (10)58.459.6118.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.456.6110.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.355.7115.0+3.767%-
vs Similar (17)56.357.9114.2-1.641%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)64.360.8125.1+3.540%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A28/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A31/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H02/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
41-78
41
78
-37
A03/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H05/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
66-37
66
37
+29
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H11/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A13/04
NBA
120.0Avg total
56.2Scored
63.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.961.3116.1-6.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.160.7115.9-5.627%-
Last 30 away (15)54.661.8116.4-7.240%-
Last 10 (10)56.263.8120.0-7.640%-
Last 5 (5)56.659.0115.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)53.961.1115.0-7.229%-
vs Similar (5)58.468.4126.8-10.040%-
vs Weaker (4)55.853.2109.0+2.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.430.2
55.5%
54.0%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.8
34.7%
35.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws26.121.5
82.4%
77.1%21.5
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.531.3
58.5%
54.0%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.312.1
30.0%
35.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.518.6
75.9%
77.1%18.6
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLWWWWW
Chicago Bulls
LLWWLLLLLL
#13
League position
#27
+2.4
Net rating
-10.8
114.0
Offensive rating
101.6
111.5
Defensive rating
112.4
54.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
11.8%
Turnover %
13.0%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
13.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.7%
3-point %
30.0%
65.0%
Assist %
62.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 101.6Defence111.5 · 112.4Shooting54.2% · 52.7%3-point %34.7% · 30.0%Ball care11.8% · 13.0%Off. rebounds26.4% · 13.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Chicago Bulls
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Chicago Bulls wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/26AMinnesota Timberwolves98-110
28/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves125-113
26/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-112
24/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-113
21/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves114-119
18/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves116-105
13/04/26ASan Antonio Spurs128-118
11/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder127-107
09/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies136-119
07/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers137-132 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/26ADallas Mavericks128-149
11/04/26HOrlando Magic103-127
09/04/26AWashington Wizards119-108
07/04/26AWashington Wizards129-98
05/04/26HPhoenix Suns110-120
03/04/26ANew York Knicks96-136
02/04/26HIndiana Pacers126-145
31/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs114-129
29/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies124-125
28/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder113-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Chicago Bulls
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29304034133
Chicago Bulls27412634128
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