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Dinamo Zagreb vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-81
20-26 26-23 12-16 18-16
Position#10
Record5-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
Position#9
Record6-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game77.4
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 14· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar
30 Oct 2026
DINA85
ALKA75
03 Jan 2026
DINA76
ALKA81
01 Mar 2025
DINA96
ALKA86
02 Mar 2024
DINA74
ALKA68
25 Apr 2023
DINA99
ALKA72
01 Oct 2022
DINA91
ALKA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#6
W
97-90
97
90
+7
95avg 80
H14/11
Premijer liga
Gimle
#24
W
81-69
81
69
+12
74avg 80
H19/11
ENBL
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
88-90
88
90
-2
no box
A22/11
Premijer liga
Opava
#8
L
69-94
69
94
-25
54avg 80
A03/12
ENBL
Samobor
#4
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
93avg 80
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 80
A10/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
103-116
103
116
-13
101avg 80
H13/12
Premijer liga
Keila Coolbet
#23
W
98-73
98
73
+25
100avg 80
H16/12
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#5
W
91-58
91
58
+33
91avg 80
H21/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
71avg 80
A27/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
28-18
25-19
23-25
12-15
18-13
31-19
20-22
12-24
20-20
17-24
39-22
14-32
21-20
11-21
23-21
18-29
27-29
31-14
21-25
17-20
37-19
13-22
15-28
20-26
25-29
30-31
28-30
29-14
25-21
30-23
14-15
16-16
24-20
25-15
26-7
18-23
21-14
18-24
25-24
177.1Avg total
89.7Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.485.0171.4+1.438%
Season at home (6)93.888.2182.0+5.750%
Season away (7)80.082.3162.3-2.329%
Last 10 (10)89.787.4177.1+2.340%
Last 5 (5)91.284.2175.4+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.393.2176.5-9.825%
vs Similar (10)85.982.3168.2+3.670%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.074.2162.2+13.862%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#14
L
51-85
51
85
-34
40avg 65
A05/11
ENBL
Samobor
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
55avg 65
H09/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
66-73
66
73
-7
55avg 65
H15/11
Premijer liga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
W
81-65
81
65
+16
75avg 65
H19/11
ENBL
Kvarner
#11
L
63-95
63
95
-32
50avg 65
A24/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
77avg 65
H06/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
49-83
49
83
-34
33avg 65
A14/12
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#10
L
71-90
71
90
-19
60avg 65
A16/12
ENBL
Dubrava
#6
L
64-93
64
93
-29
57avg 65
A21/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
71-64
71
64
+7
62avg 65
H27/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
13-23
12-15
12-26
18-16
14-27
19-14
25-22
16-22
12-18
16-17
22-16
21-17
27-12
15-18
18-18
21-11
15-21
6-29
21-34
17-19
17-25
24-12
22-17
10-23
14-27
12-13
13-20
20-19
14-24
13-26
24-21
16-16
11-24
13-22
24-31
17-18
24-21
11-9
19-16
147.2Avg total
67.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.577.4147.9-6.846%
Season at home (7)74.172.4146.6+1.757%
Season away (6)66.383.2149.5-16.833%
Last 10 (10)67.280.0147.2-12.830%
Last 5 (5)67.080.6147.6-13.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)71.781.1152.8-9.533%
vs Similar (8)73.872.0145.8+1.875%
vs Weaker (1)73.060.0133.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
Dinamo ZagrebAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H14/11
Premijer liga
Gimle
#24
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H19/11
ENBL
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A22/11
Premijer liga
Opava
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A03/12
ENBL
Samobor
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A10/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H13/12
Premijer liga
Keila Coolbet
#23
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H16/12
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A27/12
Premijer liga
85.3Avg total
42.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.784.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.945.388.3-2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.181.3-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.085.3-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.486.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.249.590.8-8.28%-
vs Similar (10)42.843.286.0-0.470%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.835.674.4+3.150%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#14
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A05/11
ENBL
Samobor
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H09/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/11
Premijer liga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H19/11
ENBL
Kvarner
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A24/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H06/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A14/12
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/12
ENBL
Dubrava
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A21/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/12
Premijer liga
73.5Avg total
33.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.876.1-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.635.472.0+1.364%-
Last 30 away (16)36.143.779.8-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)33.140.473.5-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.043.275.2-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.541.076.5-5.538%-
vs Similar (8)39.237.276.5+2.062%-
vs Weaker (1)31.035.066.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.5
51.9%
53.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.4
36.6%
34.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.4
77.0%
74.3%17.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.1
47.8%
53.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.15.9
26.7%
34.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws18.510.5
56.8%
74.3%10.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dinamo Zagreb
LWWLLLLLWW
Alkar
WLLLWLWLLL
#10
League position
#9
+2.5
Net rating
-16.8
110.8
Offensive rating
88.6
108.3
Defensive rating
105.4
53.2%
Effective FG%
45.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
20.0%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.6%
3-point %
26.7%
67.6%
Assist %
61.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 88.6Defence108.3 · 105.4Shooting53.2% · 45.0%3-point %36.6% · 26.7%Ball care17.2% · 20.0%Off. rebounds27.9% · 26.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Dinamo Zagreb   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Dinamo Zagreb wins
3
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-72
02/05/25Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb63-62
01/03/25Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar96-86
08/12/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb88-80
20/04/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb79-100
02/03/24Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar74-68
03/12/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb53-76
25/04/23Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar99-72
29/03/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb75-85
17/12/22Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25ACedevita Junior82-85
21/12/25HDubrovnik91-58
16/12/25HKeila Coolbet98-73
13/12/25HSplit103-116
10/12/25ACibona82-89
07/12/25HSamobor106-110 OT
03/12/25AOpava69-94
22/11/25AGKK Sibenka88-90
19/11/25HGimle81-69
14/11/25HDubrava97-90
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HGKK Sibenka71-64
21/12/25ADubrava64-93
16/12/25ADonar Groningen71-90
14/12/25AZadar49-83
06/12/25HZabok80-73
24/11/25AKvarner63-95
19/11/25HKapfenberg Bulls81-65
15/11/25HCibona66-73
09/11/25HSamobor76-79
05/11/25ATal Tech51-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game86.493.880.0
Allowed / game85.088.282.3
Point differential+1.4+5.7-2.3
Avg total171.4182.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW46%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game70.574.166.3
Allowed / game77.472.483.2
Point differential-6.8+1.7-16.8
Avg total147.9146.6149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Split1211192%94.281.5+12.7
2 Zadar1311285%87.472.2+15.2
3 Zabok138562%82.279.6+2.6
4 Samobor148657%87.087.6-0.6
5 Cibona147750%82.580.1+2.4
6 Kvarner136746%76.178.3-2.2
7 Alkar136746%70.577.4-6.8
8 Dinamo Zagreb135838%86.485.0+1.4
9 Dubrovnik135838%75.580.4-4.9
10 Dubrava135838%79.785.7-6.0
11 Cedevita Junior134931%81.183.8-2.7
12 GKK Sibenka1431121%75.084.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dinamo Zagreb2026121876
Alkar2623161681
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