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Alkar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-84
17-18 21-17 11-21 21-28
Position#11
Record3-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game72.6
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 14· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alkar v Zadar
05 Mar 2027
ALKA v ZAD
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
ALKA58
ZAD69
09 Mar 2026
ALKA54
ZAD77
23 Mar 2025
ALKA44
ZAD63
15 Dec 2024
ALKA61
ZAD71
17 Mar 2024
ALKA65
ZAD73
20 Dec 2023
ALKA70
ZAD84
06 Mar 2023
ALKA83
ZAD100
20 Dec 2022
ALKA70
ZAD97
31 Jan 2022
ALKA88
ZAD86
27 Jan 2021
ALKA55
ZAD75
22 Jan 2020
ALKA93
ZAD84
23 Mar 2019
ALKA62
ZAD103
26 Apr 2018
ALKA81
ZAD103
29 Dec 2016
ALKA89
ZAD83
02 May 2015
ALKA61
ZAD81
04 May 2014
ALKA61
ZAD81
17 Apr 2013
ALKA97
ZAD104
22 Oct 2011
ALKA64
ZAD74
04 Apr 2011
ALKA52
ZAD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#12
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
no box
H21/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
58-85
58
85
-27
47avg 66
A28/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 66
H04/11
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
55avg 66
A13/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
73avg 66
H20/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
80avg 66
A25/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
77avg 66
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
53-76
53
76
-23
41avg 66
H03/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
no box
H09/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
72avg 66
A18/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
21-25
19-21
25-13
12-22
18-19
11-20
17-24
16-18
25-23
18-26
24-28
18-26
14-26
12-21
21-7
14-18
21-22
23-14
15-27
24-13
21-24
18-22
12-19
24-28
18-18
17-19
19-16
12-22
16-15
10-22
15-17
19-15
17-15
15-16
15-20
27-34
23-21
8-20
18-14
155.1Avg total
72.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.784.8158.5-11.223%
Season at home (6)72.781.8154.5-9.233%
Season away (7)74.687.4162.0-12.914%
Last 10 (10)72.582.6155.1-10.120%
Last 5 (5)71.279.4150.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.090.5160.5-20.50%
vs Similar (13)87.283.8171.0+3.354%
vs Weaker (5)82.285.8168.0-3.640%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#8
W
98-59
98
59
+39
99avg 79
H19/11
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
91avg 79
A24/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 79
A26/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#15
W
84-56
84
56
+28
87avg 79
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Dubrava
#9
W
83-58
83
58
+25
82avg 79
H30/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
79-73
79
73
+6
69avg 79
A03/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
79-80
79
80
-1
75avg 79
H08/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 79
H10/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 79
A15/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
81avg 79
H17/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
28-16
25-21
22-9
25-19
27-17
17-27
14-20
24-11
19-28
20-18
15-8
19-15
23-18
23-6
19-17
19-5
20-20
28-18
16-15
18-17
18-14
19-22
24-20
16-19
21-21
29-21
13-19
18-22
18-21
17-25
26-15
23-26
21-22
26-14
22-15
27-20
27-18
11-14
20-16
157.0Avg total
85.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.172.6162.7+17.592%
Season at home (8)90.671.6162.2+19.088%
Season away (5)89.274.2163.4+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.171.9157.0+13.270%
Last 5 (5)82.876.2159.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.592.0165.5-18.50%
vs Similar (8)86.580.5167.0+6.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.272.2161.4+17.089%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
AlkarZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A28/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H04/11
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A13/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H20/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A25/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H03/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H09/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A18/12
Premijer liga
79.8Avg total
37.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.844.684.3-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.641.681.1-2.029%-
Last 30 away (16)39.947.287.1-7.219%-
Last 10 (10)37.442.479.8-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.748.384.0-12.50%-
vs Similar (13)43.540.884.2+2.754%-
vs Weaker (5)38.646.084.6-7.40%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H19/11
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A24/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Dubrava
#9
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H30/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A03/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H10/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A15/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H17/12
Premijer liga
79.6Avg total
43.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.937.481.3+6.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.234.479.6+10.879%-
Last 30 away (16)42.840.082.8+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.436.279.6+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.081.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.545.584.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (8)42.838.080.8+4.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.136.581.6+8.568%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.4
48.9%
53.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.1
31.0%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.211.8
64.8%
73.4%11.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.620.9
64.1%
53.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.1
29.4%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.115.6
70.6%
73.4%15.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWLLLLLLLW
Zadar
WWLLWWWWLW
#11
League position
#1
-20.1
Net rating
+17.5
91.8
Offensive rating
109.7
111.9
Defensive rating
92.2
48.0%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
21.4%
Turnover %
19.5%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.0%
3-point %
29.4%
67.8%
Assist %
70.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 109.7Defence111.9 · 92.2Shooting48.0% · 54.3%3-point %31.0% · 29.4%Ball care21.4% · 19.5%Off. rebounds23.6% · 30.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Alkar   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alkar wins
8
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
11/10/23Zadar v Alkar106-73
06/03/23Alkar v Zadar83-100
20/12/22Alkar v Zadar70-97
04/12/22Zadar v Alkar90-66
31/01/22Alkar v Zadar88-86 OT
29/10/21Zadar v Alkar92-90
13/03/21Zadar v Alkar102-66
27/01/21Alkar v Zadar55-75
06/10/20Zadar v Alkar91-63
22/01/20Alkar v Zadar93-84
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23ACibona76-89
09/12/23HDubrava74-73 OT
03/12/23HDinamo Zagreb53-76
29/11/23AOsijek78-81
25/11/23ADubrovnik75-78
20/11/23HCedevita Junior73-81
13/11/23ASplit65-80
04/11/23HBosco83-95
28/10/23AZabok58-85
21/10/23HSkrljevo90-88 OT
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HGKK Sibenka85-68
15/12/23AFMP Beograd92-77
10/12/23HCibona79-83
08/12/23HBorac Mozzart79-80
03/12/23ACedevita Olimpija79-73
30/11/23HDubrava83-58
29/11/23HDubrovnik84-56
26/11/23ADinamo Zagreb78-65
24/11/23AIgokea94-100 OT
19/11/23HDubrovnik98-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game73.772.774.6
Allowed / game84.881.887.4
Point differential-11.2-9.2-12.9
Avg total158.5154.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %15%33%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW92%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %92%88%100%
Points / game90.190.689.2
Allowed / game72.671.674.2
Point differential+17.5+19.0+15.0
Avg total162.7162.2163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1312192%90.172.6+17.5
2 Split1311285%85.667.6+18.0
3 Cibona1311285%78.973.2+5.7
4 Dinamo Zagreb1410471%84.171.6+12.5
5 Cedevita Junior138562%84.579.7+4.8
6 Dubrovnik137654%79.978.5+1.5
7 GKK Sibenka135838%79.182.8-3.7
8 Zabok145936%82.685.4-2.8
9 Dubrava145936%80.684.1-3.6
10 Alkar1331023%73.784.8-11.2
11 Skrljevo1321115%78.492.2-13.8
12 Bosco141137%74.698.1-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1721112170
Zadar1817212884
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