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Circus Brussels vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-98
21-28 24-25 18-20 27-25
Position#5
Record11-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#13
Record9-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek
Other2024-25
Meetings · Circus Brussels v Okapi Aalst
17 Jan 2025
CIRC90
OKAP98
13 Apr 2024
CIRC75
OKAP71
04 Feb 2024
CIRC76
OKAP83
22 Oct 2023
CIRC85
OKAP66
25 Nov 2022
CIRC68
OKAP78
21 Jan 2022
CIRC79
OKAP70
26 Sep 2021
CIRC78
OKAP72
13 Dec 2019
CIRC79
OKAP83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
W
73-61
73
61
+12
66avg 72
H27/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
66-82
66
82
-16
50avg 72
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 72
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
68avg 72
H17/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
90avg 72
A29/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
59avg 72
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
78avg 72
H15/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
67avg 72
A21/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
59-71
59
71
-12
50avg 72
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
74-63
74
63
+11
60avg 72
A11/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
9-14
25-8
20-25
9-26
23-20
24-14
10-22
15-21
19-24
21-20
21-24
18-17
16-21
25-19
15-16
17-33
23-23
30-17
19-22
14-21
19-14
23-16
17-20
19-10
24-20
20-10
16-21
17-18
21-20
21-13
12-15
25-22
6-13
18-20
10-16
24-21
8-16
21-14
21-12
146.6Avg total
73.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.674.5150.2+1.165%
Season at home (8)71.071.4142.4-0.462%
Season away (9)79.877.3157.1+2.467%
Last 10 (10)73.473.2146.6+0.260%
Last 5 (5)71.266.4137.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.177.7154.8-0.658%
vs Weaker (16)79.073.4152.4+5.669%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
73avg 73
A28/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
64avg 73
H01/12
BNXT League
Avanti Brugge
#12
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
A04/12
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 73
A08/12
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
64-82
64
82
-18
57avg 73
H14/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
66-61
66
61
+5
61avg 73
A21/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
84-83
84
83
+1
74avg 73
H26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
69-112
69
112
-43
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 73
H11/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
26-17
11-21
20-20
16-15
18-18
20-23
22-24
26-21
17-19
28-15
15-17
27-21
9-13
18-18
26-22
23-17
4-21
22-25
15-19
17-14
14-17
13-20
22-10
25-24
24-14
15-20
20-25
15-25
15-30
22-34
17-23
18-17
20-21
17-20
25-19
29-16
31-17
20-22
13-25
160.1Avg total
78.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.977.9157.8+2.153%
Season at home (9)81.279.2160.4+2.056%
Season away (8)78.576.4154.9+2.150%
Last 10 (10)78.581.6160.1-3.160%
Last 5 (5)78.482.6161.0-4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.481.4156.8-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.677.9155.5-0.330%
vs Weaker (11)85.673.6159.3+12.082%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
Circus BrusselsOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H27/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A29/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/01
BNXT League
73.3Avg total
34.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.878.1+0.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.437.076.4+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)39.240.479.6-1.125%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.873.3-4.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.070.4+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.042.573.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.240.079.2-0.842%-
vs Weaker (16)40.437.477.8+2.938%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A28/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/12
BNXT League
Avanti Brugge
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/12
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A08/12
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H14/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H11/01
BNXT League
77.6Avg total
39.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.777.9+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.136.277.3+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.278.5+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.977.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.080.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.137.376.4+1.850%-
vs Weaker (11)42.935.878.7+7.164%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.7
53.1%
52.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.1
29.0%
34.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.612.7
68.3%
71.9%12.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.0
51.4%
52.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.1
30.9%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.518.5
72.5%
71.9%18.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
WLWWWLWLLW
Okapi Aalst
WWLWWLWWLL
#5
League position
#13
+0.0
Net rating
+4.9
99.1
Offensive rating
106.8
99.1
Defensive rating
101.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
49.3%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
29.0%
3-point %
30.9%
60.8%
Assist %
49.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 106.8Defence99.1 · 101.9Shooting49.8% · 49.3%3-point %29.0% · 30.9%Ball care18.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds24.0% · 30.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Circus Brussels wins
6
Okapi Aalst wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AFeyenoord74-63
26/12/24HSpirou Charleroi59-71
21/12/24ALeiden71-66
15/12/24HBAL Weert79-61
08/12/24ADonar Groningen73-71
29/11/24ALimburg89-95
17/11/24HDen Bosch74-73
11/11/24AAntwerp Giants76-89
03/11/24HLWD Basket66-82
27/10/24HFeyenoord73-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HBelfius Mons93-80
05/01/25AKortrijk80-77
03/01/25HKortrijk69-112
26/12/24HKortrijk84-83
21/12/24ABAL Weert66-61
14/12/24HLWD Basket64-82
08/12/24AQSTA Utd80-74
04/12/24AAvanti Brugge86-72
01/12/24HLimburg76-80
28/11/24AAntwerp Giants87-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%62%67%
Points / game75.671.079.8
Allowed / game74.571.477.3
Point differential+1.1-0.4+2.4
Avg total150.2142.4157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW53%
HomeLLLWW56%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game79.981.278.5
Allowed / game77.979.276.4
Point differential+2.1+2.0+2.1
Avg total157.8160.4154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1715288%91.677.1+14.5
2 Kortrijk1713476%95.879.1+16.8
3 Limburg1712571%82.173.9+8.1
4 Mechelen1712571%80.675.0+5.6
5 Circus Brussels1711665%75.674.5+1.1
6 Antwerp Giants159660%79.378.5+0.9
7 Leuven Bears1710759%79.073.0+6.0
8 LWD Basket1710759%81.880.9+0.9
9 Spirou Charleroi169756%80.474.2+6.2
10 Okapi Aalst179853%79.977.9+2.1
11 Belfius Mons168850%80.679.2+1.3
12 Leiden1881044%76.480.7-4.3
13 Den Bosch167944%79.681.8-2.2
14 Zwolle1771041%81.885.7-3.9
15 Donar Groningen1551033%75.081.3-6.3
16 Feyenoord1751229%81.089.2-8.2
17 Den Helder1851328%71.283.9-12.7
18 QSTA Utd1721512%77.387.8-10.5
19 BAL Weert1721512%68.883.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels2124182790
Okapi Aalst2825202598
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