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Donar Groningen vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 85-78
17-19 19-25 27-17 22-17
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#3
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 4· MartiniPlaza
Other2025-26
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Okapi Aalst
24 Apr 2027
DGR v OKAP
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
DGR85
OKAP78
16 Feb 2025
DGR91
OKAP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-105
72
105
-33
60avg 72
A20/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
59avg 72
H22/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
63avg 72
A24/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
77-108
77
108
-31
no box
A14/09
Supercup
Valmiera Glass Via
#9
L
88-92
88
92
-4
84avg 72
H23/09
ENBL
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
87avg 72
A27/09
BNXT League
Tal Tech
#14
W
93-71
93
71
+22
92avg 72
H01/10
ENBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
85-61
85
61
+24
79avg 72
H04/10
BNXT League
Bristol Flyers
#19
W
70-69
70
69
+1
62avg 72
A08/10
ENBL
Oostende
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
70avg 72
A11/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
21-35
23-28
8-20
12-21
18-23
28-23
14-29
26-24
15-29
13-25
14-18
14-21
25-23
21-33
17-31
14-22
20-21
19-21
35-28
19-22
21-18
28-32
25-15
27-14
29-24
20-16
17-17
17-24
17-10
22-17
29-10
23-16
21-21
11-13
15-19
25-22
15-24
16-20
20-20
166.5Avg total
79.4Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.778.0162.7+6.767%
Season at home (1)85.061.0146.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)84.586.5171.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)79.487.1166.5-7.740%
Last 5 (5)83.474.8158.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.386.0160.3-11.728%
vs Similar (4)86.273.2159.5+13.075%
vs Weaker (7)84.975.6160.4+9.371%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 76
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 76
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
70avg 76
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 76
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 76
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
56avg 76
A07/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
88-99
88
99
-11
81avg 76
A10/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 76
A28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 76
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
78avg 76
A11/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-26
12-19
25-20
19-24
10-16
28-22
9-18
20-28
17-17
13-23
25-22
22-23
22-20
17-20
18-15
32-16
32-25
23-23
13-14
11-26
16-23
13-19
21-12
18-31
16-26
25-25
29-17
20-18
19-21
22-21
28-25
18-24
23-18
21-15
31-17
22-22
23-20
16-20
24-21
165.0Avg total
81.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.080.7169.7+8.3100%
Season at home (1)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)87.084.0171.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.683.4165.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)83.284.2167.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.986.3159.2-13.430%
vs Similar (10)80.783.0163.7-2.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.677.6166.1+11.089%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
Donar GroningenOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A20/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H22/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A24/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/09
Supercup
Valmiera Glass Via
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/09
ENBL
Belfius Mons
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/09
BNXT League
Tal Tech
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H01/10
ENBL
BAL Weert
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/10
BNXT League
Bristol Flyers
#19
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/10
ENBL
Oostende
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A11/10
BNXT League
83.5Avg total
39.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.681.2-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.839.378.2-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)38.445.183.5-6.829%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.683.5-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.081.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.244.982.1-7.733%-
vs Similar (4)40.040.280.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (7)41.137.979.0+3.343%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A07/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A10/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/10
BNXT League
84.9Avg total
40.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.281.8-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.441.485.7+3.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.241.178.3-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.684.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.883.0-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.842.479.2-5.620%-
vs Similar (10)40.842.883.6-2.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.138.382.4+5.867%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.8
50.6%
54.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.0
31.2%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.612.7
76.5%
72.4%12.7
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.4
51.2%
54.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
72.4%16.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
LWWWWLLLLL
Okapi Aalst
WWWLLWWLLL
#7
League position
#3
-5.6
Net rating
-3.3
99.8
Offensive rating
109.1
105.4
Defensive rating
112.4
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
21.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.2%
3-point %
35.9%
63.7%
Assist %
61.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 109.1Defence105.4 · 112.4Shooting48.7% · 52.4%3-point %31.2% · 35.9%Ball care21.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.6% · 29.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Donar Groningen wins
1
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25Donar Groningen v Okapi Aalst91-84
05/10/24Okapi Aalst v Donar Groningen93-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AOostende76-86
08/10/25ABristol Flyers70-69
04/10/25HBAL Weert85-61
01/10/25HTal Tech93-71
27/09/25ABelfius Mons93-87
23/09/25HValmiera Glass Via88-92
14/09/25ADen Bosch77-108
24/05/25ADen Bosch68-96
22/05/25HDen Bosch72-96
20/05/25ADen Bosch72-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ADen Helder85-83
04/10/25HKortrijk93-74
28/09/25ABrussels Basketball89-85
10/05/25ALWD Basket88-99
07/05/25ADen Bosch61-80
03/05/25HBAL Weert100-78
30/04/25AMechelen79-78
26/04/25ALeuven Bears75-90
18/04/25ALimburg66-80
12/04/25HZwolle80-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game84.785.084.5
Allowed / game78.061.086.5
Point differential+6.7+24.0-2.0
Avg total162.7146.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.093.087.0
Allowed / game80.774.084.0
Point differential+8.3+19.0+3.0
Avg total169.7167.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden330100%93.764.0+29.7
2 Mechelen330100%78.767.0+11.7
3 Oostende440100%89.078.8+10.2
4 Den Bosch220100%86.576.5+10.0
5 Okapi Aalst330100%89.080.7+8.3
6 Antwerp Giants43175%89.869.0+20.8
7 Donar Groningen32167%84.778.0+6.7
8 Brussels Basketball32167%85.080.3+4.7
9 Belfius Mons32167%90.088.7+1.3
10 Limburg42250%86.279.8+6.5
11 Spirou Charleroi42250%79.283.8-4.5
12 Zwolle31233%75.072.3+2.7
13 Kortrijk41325%78.589.8-11.2
14 Den Helder3030%79.088.3-9.3
15 LWD Basket3030%85.397.3-12.0
16 Leuven Bears4040%71.888.5-16.8
17 BAL Weert3030%62.386.7-24.3
18 Rotterdam4040%69.594.0-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen1719272285
Okapi Aalst1925171778
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