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Drake vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-90
44-41 57-49
Position#271
Record9-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game71.7
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Position#102
Record16-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game77.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Drake v Murray State
24 Jan 2027
DRAK v MURR
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
DRAK101
MURR90
05 Jan 2025
DRAK59
MURR66
18 Feb 2024
DRAK95
MURR72
03 Mar 2023
DRAK74
MURR62
07 Jan 2023
DRAK82
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#99
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H06/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H13/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A19/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
56-73
56
73
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
37-41
41-55
53-44
30-36
42-45
29-27
37-38
27-31
29-42
33-39
41-33
19-40
47-53
44-25
32-53
26-37
41-30
22-34
45-40
149.8Avg total
71.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.971.7147.6+4.347%
Season at home (12)78.470.0148.4+8.442%
Season away (7)71.774.6146.3-2.957%
Last 10 (10)71.678.2149.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)71.878.0149.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.477.1148.6-5.70%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.969.9138.8-1.055%
vs Weaker (11)74.760.0134.7+14.7100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#279
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
115-100
115
100
+15
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
34-34
47-42
68-58
36-30
45-42
36-39
49-40
47-34
37-47
36-40
45-37
50-32
36-34
42-30
37-39
45-36
47-43
47-37
38-44
164.1Avg total
86.9Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.877.3165.1+10.584%
Season at home (12)89.273.2162.3+16.0100%
Season away (7)85.484.3169.7+1.157%
Last 10 (10)86.977.2164.1+9.7100%
Last 5 (5)84.674.4159.0+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.879.7156.5-2.833%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.373.5153.9+6.873%
vs Weaker (9)81.468.3149.8+13.189%
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +1.8+1.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +1.8+1.8
DrakeMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H06/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H13/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A08/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A17/01
NCAA
66.0Avg total
30.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.065.3+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.231.967.1+3.344%-
Last 30 away (12)30.432.162.5-1.758%-
Last 10 (10)30.335.766.0-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)28.835.063.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.036.369.3-3.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)29.533.963.4-4.536%-
vs Weaker (11)36.627.764.4+8.982%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#279
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A08/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H17/01
NCAA
78.7Avg total
43.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.134.271.3+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.631.871.3+7.883%-
Last 30 away (12)33.437.871.2-4.342%-
Last 10 (10)43.335.478.7+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.035.079.0+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.336.769.0-4.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.234.972.1+2.353%-
vs Weaker (9)40.131.371.4+8.889%-
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Drake wins
2
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
19/12/25Murray State v Drake81-72
05/02/25Murray State v Drake45-55
05/01/25Drake v Murray State59-66
18/02/24Drake v Murray State95-72
04/03/23Drake v Murray State74-62
08/02/23Murray State v Drake68-92
07/01/23Drake v Murray State82-64
27/11/19Murray State v Drake53-63
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)67-74
15/01/26ASouthern Illinois76-73 OT
10/01/26HBelmont76-78
08/01/26ABradley66-93
04/01/26HIndiana State74-72
30/12/25HIllinois State56-73
21/12/25AEvansville66-65
19/12/25AMurray State72-81
13/12/25HNorth Dakota St94-99
06/12/25HUAB69-74
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HIndiana State85-81
10/01/26HValparaiso92-79
08/01/26AEvansville79-69
04/01/26HBradley86-66
02/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)81-77
30/12/25HSouthern Illinois84-81
21/12/25AValparaiso85-79
19/12/25HDrake81-72
13/12/25AAkron115-100
06/12/25HBellarmine81-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL47%
HomeLLLWL42%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %47%42%57%
Points / game75.978.471.7
Allowed / game71.770.074.6
Point differential+4.3+8.4-2.9
Avg total147.6148.4146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)17% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %11%8%14%
Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %84%100%57%
Points / game87.889.285.4
Allowed / game77.373.284.3
Point differential+10.5+16.0+1.1
Avg total165.1162.3169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%58%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1916384%87.877.3+10.5
2 Belmont2117481%81.171.2+9.9
3 Illinois State1913668%79.367.1+12.2
4 Bradley2013765%78.273.0+5.2
5 Northern Iowa1912763%67.859.7+8.1
6 Illinois (Chi.)20101050%75.069.9+5.0
7 Drake1991047%75.971.7+4.3
8 Indiana State1991047%76.675.1+1.5
9 Valparaiso1991047%70.970.1+0.9
10 Southern Illinois1981142%76.173.5+2.6
11 Evansville2051525%67.273.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake4457101
Murray State414990
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