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Dubai vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 98-82
30-26 21-13 22-25 25-18
Position#1
Record13-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game73.0
Dubai 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record5-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game87.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16· Coca-Cola Arena
Domestic2025
Meetings · Dubai v FMP Beograd
26 Jan 2026
DUB98
FBE82
29 Mar 2025
DUB84
FBE61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
82-61
82
61
+21
89avg 83
H26/12
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
L
93-107
93
107
-14
83avg 83
A02/01
Euroleague
Split
#18
W
92-78
92
78
+14
92avg 83
A04/01
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
60-85
60
85
-25
45avg 83
A06/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
92-81
92
81
+11
90avg 83
H08/01
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
95avg 83
H12/01
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
110-93
110
93
+17
no box
A17/01
ABA League
Barcelona
#8
L
89-91
89
91
-2
85avg 83
A20/01
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 83
A22/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
19-15
24-14
12-16
24-27
34-17
16-29
19-34
26-15
20-25
24-14
22-24
24-17
17-19
13-33
6-16
24-20
27-22
22-20
19-19
19-23
22-14
27-15
22-27
23-23
14-18
16-19
19-20
31-26
25-26
22-22
32-19
22-18
19-31
26-30
22-12
27-18
25-14
22-23
25-24
171.3Avg total
87.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.873.0160.8+14.8100%
Season at home (6)84.069.0153.0+15.0100%
Season away (7)91.076.4167.4+14.6100%
Last 10 (10)87.983.4171.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)92.084.4176.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)93.0107.0200.0-14.00%
vs Similar (14)89.288.5177.7+0.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.678.7164.3+6.973%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 69
A03/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
82-61
82
61
+21
76avg 69
H08/11
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
91-107
91
107
-16
78avg 69
H17/11
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
98-104
98
104
-6
93avg 69
H22/11
ABA League
Split
#18
W
96-80
96
80
+16
91avg 69
H07/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
69avg 69
H14/12
ABA League
Igokea
#14
L
69-85
69
85
-16
60avg 69
H20/12
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
65-93
65
93
-28
49avg 69
A03/01
ABA League
Split
#18
W
85-76
85
76
+9
77avg 69
A12/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A15/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
16-21
23-12
20-19
25-20
18-18
23-9
16-14
19-25
22-27
26-27
24-28
27-27
27-26
26-26
18-25
22-25
25-19
22-23
27-13
21-19
23-20
16-28
19-24
17-19
15-14
22-22
15-30
13-27
19-28
14-18
19-20
23-20
18-18
23-14
21-24
19-26
14-21
11-16
27-18
167.1Avg total
81.9Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.487.2171.5-2.838%
Season at home (7)86.086.9172.9-0.943%
Season away (6)82.587.5170.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)81.985.2167.1-3.340%
Last 5 (5)73.885.2159.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.394.9174.2-15.60%
vs Similar (12)81.679.3160.9+2.258%
vs Weaker (9)88.378.9167.2+9.478%
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
DubaiFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H26/12
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A02/01
Euroleague
Split
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A04/01
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/01
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H12/01
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/01
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A17/01
ABA League
Barcelona
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A20/01
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A22/01
Euroleague
87.3Avg total
46.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.241.486.6+3.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.342.487.6+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)45.240.585.7+4.781%-
Last 10 (10)46.940.487.3+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.287.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.044.0102.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar (14)46.844.190.9+2.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.938.681.5+4.380%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/11
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H17/11
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H22/11
ABA League
Split
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H07/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/12
ABA League
Igokea
#14
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H20/12
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A03/01
ABA League
Split
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A12/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A15/01
ABA League
84.9Avg total
40.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.383.2-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.040.883.8+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)38.943.782.6-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.284.9-3.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.478.8-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.845.785.4-5.922%-
vs Similar (12)40.342.282.6-1.958%-
vs Weaker (9)42.938.981.8+4.056%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.5
59.9%
54.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.4
39.2%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
75.3%15.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.5
56.2%
54.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.9
31.5%
35.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws26.618.8
70.7%
75.3%18.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubai
WLWLWWLWLW
FMP Beograd
LWLLLWLLWW
#1
League position
#10
+7.0
Net rating
-2.9
114.6
Offensive rating
108.1
107.6
Defensive rating
111.0
59.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.43
39.2%
3-point %
31.5%
62.8%
Assist %
54.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 108.1Defence107.6 · 111.0Shooting59.4% · 53.1%3-point %39.2% · 31.5%Ball care15.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds27.5% · 30.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Dubai   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dubai wins
1
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
17/11/25FMP Beograd v Dubai91-107
29/03/25Dubai v FMP Beograd84-61
29/11/24FMP Beograd v Dubai86-84
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26AParis99-79
20/01/26ABarcelona89-91
17/01/26ACluj-Napoca110-93
15/01/26HVirtus Bologna72-80
12/01/26HBorac Mozzart90-79
08/01/26HFenerbahce92-81
06/01/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv60-85
04/01/26ASplit92-78
02/01/26AReal Madrid93-107
26/12/25HKK Krka Novo mesto82-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto71-81
12/01/26ASplit85-76
03/01/26ACluj-Napoca65-93
20/12/25HIgokea69-85
14/12/25HPartizan79-91
07/12/25HSplit96-80
22/11/25HCluj-Napoca98-104
17/11/25HDubai91-107
08/11/25HKK Krka Novo mesto82-61
03/11/25ABorac Mozzart83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubai
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.884.091.0
Allowed / game73.069.076.4
Point differential+14.8+15.0+14.6
Avg total160.8153.0167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%67%86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLWLL43%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game84.486.082.5
Allowed / game87.286.987.5
Point differential-2.8-0.9-5.0
Avg total171.5172.9170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai13130100%87.873.0+14.8
2 Partizan1413193%92.681.6+11.1
3 Buducnost1412286%90.179.3+10.9
4 Crvena zvezda1310377%90.580.2+10.4
5 Cedevita Olimpija1511473%89.381.0+8.3
6 Cluj-Napoca149564%94.087.6+6.4
7 Spartak Subotica147750%83.583.6-0.1
8 KK Bosna147750%83.485.0-1.6
9 Igokea147750%85.689.6-3.9
10 FMP Beograd135838%84.487.2-2.8
11 Borac Mozzart145936%78.983.9-5.0
12 Mega Basket145936%83.992.1-8.2
13 Vienna Basket134931%83.490.7-7.3
14 KK Krka Novo mesto1441029%77.281.6-4.4
15 Zadar1541127%81.185.3-4.2
16 Studentski Centar1431121%78.082.9-4.9
17 Perspektiva Ilirija1431121%79.287.4-8.2
18 Split1431121%81.091.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubai3021222598
FMP Beograd2613251882
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