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Dubrovnik vs Samobor Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.9
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 20· Sportska dvorana Gospino polje
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dubrovnik v Samobor
12 Feb 2027
DUBR v SAMO
upcoming
16 May 2026
DUBR77
SAMO69
10 Oct 2025
DUBR83
SAMO80
11 Dec 2022
DUBR103
SAMO72
13 Nov 2021
DUBR80
SAMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrovnik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
42avg 75
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 75
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 75
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
85avg 75
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
92avg 75
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
81-91
81
91
-10
73avg 75
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
83avg 75
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-105
71
105
-34
60avg 75
H30/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A08/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
H14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
12-20
25-23
7-23
15-25
22-19
18-18
13-19
24-15
16-23
19-22
7-21
23-25
20-21
17-23
25-25
31-14
24-23
19-17
18-25
21-19
20-23
14-19
26-30
19-26
24-10
24-21
17-23
16-14
15-30
18-29
22-32
21-24
14-30
17-23
20-14
28-20
13-25
15-23
15-27
162.7Avg total
74.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.889.5167.2-11.825%
Season at home (5)76.290.2166.4-14.020%
Season away (3)80.388.3168.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)74.788.0162.7-13.320%
Last 5 (5)75.892.4168.2-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.287.5160.7-14.313%
vs Similar (12)84.081.9165.9+2.175%
vs Weaker (3)89.378.3167.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
83-103
83
103
-20
71avg 75
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
45avg 75
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
65-98
65
98
-33
59avg 75
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
74avg 75
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
56avg 75
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 75
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 75
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 75
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
24-24
17-27
17-24
14-24
20-13
15-26
10-18
16-18
19-20
11-29
19-31
17-21
22-16
16-26
29-21
21-23
11-22
21-13
11-15
16-21
14-14
21-13
21-31
27-25
23-16
16-21
12-27
31-20
21-14
20-27
25-28
24-24
15-23
17-18
21-17
21-26
13-28
18-17
23-12
163.3Avg total
76.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.683.9160.5-7.212%
Season at home (4)77.584.8162.2-7.20%
Season away (4)75.883.0158.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)76.187.2163.3-11.110%
Last 5 (5)79.884.4164.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.589.3166.8-11.70%
vs Similar (9)82.681.0163.6+1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
DubrovnikSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A08/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H14/11
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
39.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.183.0-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.440.582.9+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)39.144.283.2-5.146%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.381.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.282.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.544.182.5-5.620%-
vs Similar (12)42.841.283.9+1.675%-
vs Weaker (3)46.036.082.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A14/11
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
39.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.484.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.443.488.8+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)37.441.278.6-3.815%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.081.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.243.684.8-2.527%-
vs Similar (9)41.142.283.3-1.122%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
54.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
34.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
71.7%17.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.6
48.7%
54.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
34.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
71.7%15.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrovnik
LLLWLWLLLL
Samobor
LLWLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#12
-8.2
Net rating
-12.7
90.6
Offensive rating
86.4
98.8
Defensive rating
99.1
47.7%
Effective FG%
47.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.0%
3-point %
31.0%
73.7%
Assist %
61.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 86.4Defence98.8 · 99.1Shooting47.7% · 47.8%3-point %27.0% · 31.0%Ball care16.0% · 18.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Dubrovnik   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Dubrovnik wins
2
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
16/05/26Dubrovnik v Samobor77-69
13/05/26Samobor v Dubrovnik81-86
18/03/26Samobor v Dubrovnik107-76
03/01/26Samobor v Dubrovnik89-84
10/10/25Dubrovnik v Samobor83-80
11/03/23Samobor v Dubrovnik91-92
11/12/22Dubrovnik v Samobor103-72
12/02/22Samobor v Dubrovnik72-78
13/11/21Dubrovnik v Samobor80-66
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCibona71-95
08/11/26AAlkar72-91
30/10/26HZadar71-105
24/10/26ADubrava84-80
17/10/26HKvarner81-91
10/10/26HZabok92-79
03/10/26ADinamo Zagreb85-94
26/09/26HSplit66-81
25/05/26HZadar68-81
22/05/26AZadar57-83
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADinamo Zagreb75-83
07/11/26HSplit77-82
31/10/26ACedevita Junior97-89
23/10/26HSkrljevo78-89
17/10/26AZabok72-79
09/10/26HCibona64-73
04/10/26HAlkar91-95 OT
30/09/26ABC Prievidza65-98
27/09/26AZadar59-81
23/09/26HBC Prievidza83-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game77.876.280.3
Allowed / game89.590.288.3
Point differential-11.8-14.0-8.0
Avg total167.2166.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samobor
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game76.677.575.8
Allowed / game83.984.883.0
Point differential-7.2-7.2-7.2
Avg total160.5162.2158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner74357%88.983.9+5.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar72529%80.782.7-2.0
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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