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Duke vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 78-57
38-23 40-34
Position#7
Record20-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game60.5
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#268
Record12-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Duke v California
02 Jan 2027
DUKE v CALI
upcoming
12 Feb 2025
DUKE78
CALI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
88-63
88
63
+25
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A25/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H28/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
83-54
83
54
+29
A06/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-32
48-30
34-24
42-23
44-36
42-42
50-26
39-28
40-34
48-29
35-22
28-34
33-37
41-27
47-25
40-45
37-23
46-31
41-35
30-42
143.1Avg total
80.6Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.060.5140.6+19.587%
Season at home (15)81.360.3141.6+21.187%
Season away (8)77.661.0138.6+16.688%
Last 10 (10)80.662.5143.1+18.190%
Last 5 (5)75.664.2139.8+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)72.559.2131.8+13.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.061.8140.7+17.281%
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H11/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A16/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A18/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
H26/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H02/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
40-29
23-42
45-29
29-39
24-40
31-29
34-33
37-33
40-35
47-39
32-40
29-39
36-37
23-40
43-35
34-30
40-32
29-31
37-45
143.1Avg total
70.7Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.875.0149.8-0.250%
Season at home (15)79.273.1152.3+6.167%
Season away (9)67.678.1145.7-10.622%
Last 10 (10)70.772.4143.1-1.750%
Last 5 (5)73.876.6150.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.982.1151.0-13.29%
vs Similar (17)75.571.4146.9+4.165%
vs Weaker (2)88.081.5169.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: +1.6+1.6
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: +1.6+1.6
DukeCalifornia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A25/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A06/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A08/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
40.2Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.728.966.5+8.883%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.628.467.0+10.280%-
Last 30 away (10)35.829.865.6+6.090%-
Last 10 (10)40.229.469.6+10.890%-
Last 5 (5)38.628.467.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)33.829.062.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)38.328.867.1+9.485%-
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H11/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H02/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H08/02
NCAA
67.1Avg total
31.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.536.571.0-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.235.170.3+0.261%-
Last 30 away (12)33.538.772.2-5.225%-
Last 10 (10)31.735.467.1-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.868.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.439.371.6-6.918%-
vs Similar (17)35.235.170.3+0.159%-
vs Weaker (2)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Duke wins
0
California wins
DateGameScore
22/11/19California v Duke52-87
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AClemson71-77
06/02/25ASyracuse83-54
01/02/25HNorth Carolina87-70
28/01/25HNC State74-64
25/01/25AWake Forest63-56
19/01/25ABoston College88-63
15/01/25HMiami (FL)89-54
11/01/25HNotre Dame86-78
08/01/25HPittsburgh76-47
04/01/25ASMU Mustangs89-62
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HWake Forest66-76
06/02/25HNC State74-62
02/02/25HSyracuse66-75
30/01/25ASMU Mustangs65-76
26/01/25HMiami (FL)98-94 OT
23/01/25HFlorida State77-68
18/01/25ANC State65-62
16/01/25ANorth Carolina53-79
11/01/25HVirginia Tech68-71
09/01/25HVirginia75-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL87%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %87%87%88%
Points / game80.081.377.6
Allowed / game60.560.361.0
Point differential+19.5+21.1+16.6
Avg total140.6141.6138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%73%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
California
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %50%67%22%
Points / game74.879.267.6
Allowed / game75.073.178.1
Point differential-0.2+6.1-10.6
Avg total149.8152.3145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2320387%80.060.5+19.5
2 Clemson2520580%77.667.2+10.4
3 SMU Mustangs2419579%82.871.1+11.7
4 Louisville2519676%79.769.3+10.4
5 Wake Forest2518772%70.466.7+3.6
6 Stanford2516964%74.870.5+4.3
7 Florida State2415962%76.570.9+5.7
8 Pittsburgh24141058%77.471.3+6.0
9 North Carolina25141156%80.076.6+3.4
10 California24121250%74.875.0-0.2
11 Virginia24121250%64.264.7-0.5
12 Georgia Tech25121348%74.072.9+1.0
13 Virginia Tech24111346%70.072.6-2.6
14 Syracuse25111444%74.678.2-3.6
15 Notre Dame23101343%72.769.7+3.0
16 Boston College23101343%71.176.6-5.4
17 NC State2491538%69.368.8+0.5
18 Miami (FL)2461825%75.780.1-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke384078
California233457
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