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Duke vs California Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#87
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game57.0
vs
Position#84
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Duke v California
02 Jan 2027
DUKE v CALI
upcoming
12 Feb 2025
DUKE78
CALI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
California win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H15/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H19/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H21/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H27/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H29/03
NCAA
Army
#201
W
84-50
84
50
+34
H02/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#230
W
113-52
113
52
+61
H06/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
90-47
90
47
+43
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-22
32-39
38-36
36-34
32-43
39-22
38-34
43-24
39-40
41-35
44-29
28-44
33-18
51-32
54-18
59-34
25-34
48-45
43-20
47-27
144.1Avg total
81.1Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.057.0147.0+33.075%
Season at home (4)90.057.0147.0+33.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.163.0144.1+18.180%
Last 5 (5)86.460.2146.6+26.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)68.063.0131.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)81.063.2144.1+17.890%
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
56-72
56
72
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A05/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A11/03
NCAA
Adams State
#412
W
115-86
115
86
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Houston
#147
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#62
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H12/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
35-36
26-34
30-38
32-36
44-29
37-29
36-51
32-46
57-49
66-37
49-49
45-37
39-33
43-32
43-36
30-39
35-38
32-41
47-32
155.1Avg total
79.6Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.874.8160.6+11.080%
Season at home (5)85.874.8160.6+11.080%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.675.5155.1+4.160%
Last 5 (5)85.874.8160.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.579.2149.7-8.733%
vs Similar (12)75.174.7149.8+0.450%
vs Weaker (11)81.070.4151.4+10.691%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.3+9.31st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +8.8+8.82nd half: +2.4+2.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.3+9.31st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +8.8+8.82nd half: +2.4+2.4
DukeCalifornia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H19/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H21/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H27/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/03
NCAA
Army
#201
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H02/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#230
W
54-18
54
18
+36
H06/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H11/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H14/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
38.7Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.630.870.4+8.877%-
Last 30 at home (21)39.030.769.7+8.276%-
Last 30 away (9)41.031.072.0+10.078%-
Last 10 (10)38.729.468.1+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.823.863.6+16.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)35.033.068.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)39.730.770.4+9.076%-
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A07/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A11/03
NCAA
Adams State
#412
W
66-37
66
37
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H05/11
NCAA
Houston
#147
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#62
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H12/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H14/11
NCAA
74.5Avg total
38.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.834.571.3+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.433.470.8+4.055%-
Last 30 away (10)35.536.872.3-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.474.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.280.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.840.576.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (12)34.832.867.6+1.958%-
vs Weaker (11)36.832.869.6+4.045%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Duke wins
0
California wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26California v Duke56-71
13/02/25Duke v California78-57
22/11/19California v Duke52-87
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSiu Edwardsville90-47
11/11/26HMichigan State73-79
06/11/26HCoastal Carolina113-52
02/11/26HArmy84-50
29/03/26HUconn72-73
27/03/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)80-75
21/03/26HTCU81-58
19/03/26HSiena71-65
15/03/26HVirginia74-70
14/03/26HClemson73-61
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUtah Tech79-73
12/11/26HUSC65-77
09/11/26HHouston86-68
05/11/26HRadford84-70
03/11/26HAdams State115-86
11/03/26AFlorida State89-95
07/03/26AWake Forest73-80
05/03/26AGeorgia Tech76-65
28/02/26HPittsburgh56-72
26/02/26HSMU Mustangs73-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game57.057.0-
Point differential+33.0+33.0-
Avg total147.0147.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
California
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWLW80%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %80%80%-
Points / game85.885.8-
Allowed / game74.874.8-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total160.6160.6-
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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