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Duke vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-78
44-36 42-42
Position#7
Record13-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game58.4
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Notre Dame
USA
Position#241
Record7-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Duke v Notre Dame
23 Jan 2027
DUKE v NOTR
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
DUKE86
NOTR78
07 Feb 2024
DUKE71
NOTR53
14 Feb 2023
DUKE68
NOTR64
09 Feb 2021
DUKE89
NOTR93
15 Feb 2020
DUKE94
NOTR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H30/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A08/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
72-46
72
46
+26
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
82-56
82
56
+26
A21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-41
33-34
37-25
33-23
43-36
41-42
33-37
43-28
28-21
44-25
25-16
43-31
41-36
41-20
37-27
51-38
41-32
48-30
34-24
42-23
136.6Avg total
77.7Scored
58.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.058.4138.4+21.687%
Season at home (11)80.458.0138.4+22.482%
Season away (4)79.059.5138.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)77.758.9136.6+18.890%
Last 5 (5)80.655.4136.0+25.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)72.559.2131.8+13.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)78.361.1139.4+17.281%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A28/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A04/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-34
34-35
31-39
23-26
30-40
46-40
22-34
26-35
30-26
39-38
39-28
38-37
49-30
42-32
24-43
51-43
32-39
41-35
33-26
32-40
142.8Avg total
71.2Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.970.5145.4+4.347%
Season at home (10)79.770.9150.6+8.860%
Season away (5)65.269.8135.0-4.620%
Last 10 (10)71.271.6142.8-0.430%
Last 5 (5)76.270.6146.8+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.270.2133.5-7.025%
vs Similar (12)76.469.9146.3+6.558%
vs Weaker (2)88.569.5158.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +12.5+12.52nd half: +1.1+1.1
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +12.5+12.52nd half: +1.1+1.1
DukeNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H08/01
NCAA
65.3Avg total
35.8Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.628.264.8+8.487%-
Last 30 at home (21)36.827.163.9+9.786%-
Last 30 away (9)36.330.867.1+5.689%-
Last 10 (10)35.829.565.3+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)35.627.062.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)33.829.062.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.128.165.2+9.088%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A09/01
NCAA
66.4Avg total
32.5Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.234.868.0-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.233.970.1+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)29.336.065.3-6.723%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.966.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.268.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.836.266.0-6.46%-
vs Similar (12)36.033.069.0+3.083%-
vs Weaker (2)43.535.078.5+8.550%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Duke wins
1
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
08/02/24Duke v Notre Dame71-53
06/01/24Notre Dame v Duke59-67
15/02/23Duke v Notre Dame68-64
01/02/22Notre Dame v Duke43-57
09/02/21Duke v Notre Dame89-93
17/12/20Notre Dame v Duke65-75
15/02/20Duke v Notre Dame94-60
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HPittsburgh76-47
04/01/25ASMU Mustangs89-62
31/12/24HVirginia Tech88-65
21/12/24AGeorgia Tech82-56
18/12/24HGeorge Mason68-47
11/12/24HIncarnate Word72-46
08/12/24ALouisville76-65
05/12/24HAuburn84-78
30/11/24HSeattle70-48
27/11/24HKansas72-75
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25ANC State65-66
04/01/25HNorth Carolina73-74
31/12/24AGeorgia Tech75-86
22/12/24HLe Moyne91-62
12/12/24HDartmouth77-65
07/12/24HSyracuse69-64
04/12/24AGeorgia48-69
30/11/24HCreighton76-80
28/11/24AHouston54-65
27/11/24HRutgers84-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %87%82%100%
Points / game80.080.479.0
Allowed / game58.458.059.5
Point differential+21.6+22.4+19.5
Avg total138.4138.4138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%73%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %47%60%20%
Points / game74.979.765.2
Allowed / game70.570.969.8
Point differential+4.3+8.8-4.6
Avg total145.4150.6135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1513287%80.058.4+21.6
2 Pittsburgh1512380%81.668.9+12.7
3 Clemson1612475%77.667.3+10.3
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%84.172.7+11.4
5 Florida State1511473%79.169.2+9.9
6 Wake Forest1511473%69.164.9+4.1
7 Louisville1611569%77.669.8+7.8
8 Stanford1510567%76.471.1+5.3
9 North Carolina1610662%84.478.4+6.0
10 NC State159660%72.366.7+5.6
11 Boston College159660%71.372.3-1.1
12 California158753%77.675.8+1.8
13 Virginia158753%61.362.4-1.1
14 Georgia Tech168850%75.971.9+4.0
15 Notre Dame157847%74.970.5+4.3
16 Syracuse157847%75.778.1-2.4
17 Virginia Tech156940%70.373.3-2.9
18 Miami (FL)1541127%77.575.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke444286
Notre Dame364278
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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