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Duke vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 71-53
33-25 38-28
Position#32
Record16-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game68.4
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#291
Record7-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.9
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Duke v Notre Dame
23 Jan 2027
DUKE v NOTR
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
DUKE86
NOTR78
07 Feb 2024
DUKE71
NOTR53
14 Feb 2023
DUKE68
NOTR64
09 Feb 2021
DUKE89
NOTR93
15 Feb 2020
DUKE94
NOTR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#269
W
106-69
106
69
+37
H30/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H03/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-33
60-36
35-33
51-33
29-27
38-32
48-23
27-30
39-39
45-40
34-38
42-42
45-34
38-35
32-26
40-45
35-29
42-38
35-45
49-48
151.6Avg total
81.0Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.168.4149.6+12.776%
Season at home (13)84.767.6152.3+17.185%
Season away (8)75.469.8145.1+5.662%
Last 10 (10)81.070.6151.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)78.476.0154.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (8)75.568.5144.0+7.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.766.8148.4+14.985%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H30/12
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H04/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H06/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
75-68 OT
75
68
+7
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H13/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-24
35-30
34-26
18-28
27-29
32-38
31-29
35-37
29-33
29-34
36-29
23-34
29-37
32-36
23-23
35-38
23-38
30-27
22-28
38-42
125.3Avg total
61.1Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)61.965.5127.4-3.632%
Season at home (14)63.464.7128.1-1.336%
Season away (8)59.266.9126.1-7.625%
Last 10 (10)61.164.2125.3-3.120%
Last 5 (5)58.266.4124.6-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)61.768.4130.1-6.614%
vs Similar (8)67.964.9132.8+3.062%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -3.7-3.7
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -3.7-3.7
DukeNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#269
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.8Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.030.967.9+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.131.770.8+7.478%-
Last 30 away (12)33.829.863.5+4.067%-
Last 10 (10)37.832.770.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.470.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (8)35.432.467.8+3.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.230.969.2+7.375%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H30/12
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H13/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A03/02
NCAA
59.1Avg total
29.5Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.632.162.7-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.330.562.8+1.841%-
Last 30 away (13)28.334.262.5-5.923%-
Last 10 (10)29.529.659.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)26.631.057.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.733.062.7-3.323%-
vs Similar (8)33.029.862.8+3.262%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Duke wins
1
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Notre Dame v Duke59-67
15/02/23Duke v Notre Dame68-64
01/02/22Notre Dame v Duke43-57
09/02/21Duke v Notre Dame89-93
17/12/20Notre Dame v Duke65-75
15/02/20Duke v Notre Dame94-60
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ANorth Carolina84-93
30/01/24AVirginia Tech77-67
27/01/24HClemson72-71
24/01/24ALouisville83-69
21/01/24HPittsburgh76-80
13/01/24HGeorgia Tech84-79
10/01/24APittsburgh75-53
06/01/24ANotre Dame67-59
03/01/24HSyracuse86-66
30/12/23HQueens Royals106-69
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24APittsburgh60-70
01/02/24AVirginia53-65
27/01/24HBoston College58-61
25/01/24HMiami (FL)61-73
16/01/24ABoston College59-63
13/01/24HFlorida State58-67
10/01/24AGeorgia Tech75-68 OT
06/01/24HDuke59-67
04/01/24HNC State52-54
30/12/23HVirginia76-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL76%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %76%85%62%
Points / game81.184.775.4
Allowed / game68.467.669.8
Point differential+12.7+17.1+5.6
Avg total149.6152.3145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %32%36%25%
Points / game61.963.459.2
Allowed / game65.564.766.9
Point differential-3.6-1.3-7.6
Avg total127.4128.1126.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %14%7%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina2318578%82.870.3+12.4
2 Virginia2318578%65.156.9+8.2
3 Duke2116576%81.168.4+12.7
4 SMU Mustangs2316770%76.464.4+12.0
5 Wake Forest2215768%80.770.0+10.7
6 Clemson2215768%79.072.4+6.6
7 Pittsburgh2315865%75.366.7+8.6
8 NC State2315865%75.270.0+5.2
9 Syracuse2315865%76.074.4+1.6
10 Miami (FL)2415962%78.371.7+6.6
11 Virginia Tech2213959%74.369.2+5.1
12 Boston College2213959%75.772.1+3.6
13 Florida State2213959%76.674.1+2.5
14 Stanford21111052%78.175.9+2.2
15 Georgia Tech23101343%72.076.2-4.2
16 California2291341%75.376.5-1.2
17 Notre Dame2271532%61.965.5-3.6
18 Louisville2371630%73.778.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke333871
Notre Dame252853
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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