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Duke vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-64
31-23 37-41
Position#39
Record17-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game64.3
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#302
Record10-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Duke v Notre Dame
23 Jan 2027
DUKE v NOTR
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
DUKE86
NOTR78
07 Feb 2024
DUKE71
NOTR53
14 Feb 2023
DUKE68
NOTR64
09 Feb 2021
DUKE89
NOTR93
15 Feb 2020
DUKE94
NOTR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
86-43
86
43
+43
A28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
28-31
32-43
45-26
34-30
30-42
38-38
30-28
38-45
37-33
43-25
43-18
41-34
34-39
33-32
30-25
26-40
33-41
27-25
31-33
136.6Avg total
69.4Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.564.3135.8+7.268%
Season at home (13)77.159.8136.8+17.3100%
Season away (12)65.569.2134.8-3.833%
Last 10 (10)69.467.2136.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)69.064.6133.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)67.670.2137.8-2.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)75.862.9138.7+12.884%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-41
36-40
30-29
35-36
40-36
33-42
29-39
42-45
35-36
37-48
42-39
40-46
46-24
30-38
26-27
38-54
37-38
31-32
40-43
47-50
152.0Avg total
73.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.072.7143.7-1.740%
Season at home (18)71.771.3143.1+0.456%
Season away (7)69.176.3145.4-7.10%
Last 10 (10)73.079.0152.0-6.020%
Last 5 (5)75.478.2153.6-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.074.8146.8-2.842%
vs Similar (14)70.971.3142.1-0.443%
vs Weaker (4)74.268.2142.5+6.050%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -6.2-6.2
DukeNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A11/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
34.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.468.4+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.430.669.0+7.883%-
Last 30 away (12)32.535.167.6-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.934.569.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.031.265.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)32.436.068.4-3.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.230.368.5+7.884%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.368.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.031.465.5+2.660%-
Last 30 away (10)36.237.073.2-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)35.335.270.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.272.4+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.032.567.5+2.558%-
vs Similar (14)34.134.868.9-0.650%-
vs Weaker (4)36.230.566.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Duke wins
1
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
01/02/22Notre Dame v Duke43-57
09/02/21Duke v Notre Dame89-93
17/12/20Notre Dame v Duke65-75
15/02/20Duke v Notre Dame94-60
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23AVirginia62-69 OT
07/02/23AMiami (FL)59-81
04/02/23HNorth Carolina63-57
01/02/23HWake Forest75-73
28/01/23AGeorgia Tech86-43
24/01/23AVirginia Tech75-78
21/01/23HMiami (FL)68-66
14/01/23AClemson64-72
12/01/23HPittsburgh77-69
07/01/23ABoston College65-64
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HVirginia Tech87-93
09/02/23AGeorgia Tech68-70
04/02/23HWake Forest64-81
28/01/23HLouisville76-62
25/01/23ANC State82-85
21/01/23HBoston College72-84
18/01/23HFlorida State71-84
15/01/23ASyracuse73-78
11/01/23HGeorgia Tech73-72 OT
07/01/23ANorth Carolina64-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%100%33%
Points / game71.577.165.5
Allowed / game64.359.869.2
Point differential+7.2+17.3-3.8
Avg total135.8136.8134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeLLWLL56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25187
Win %40%56%0%
Points / game71.071.769.1
Allowed / game72.771.376.3
Point differential-1.7+0.4-7.1
Avg total143.7143.1145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%28%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2319483%70.060.4+9.5
2 NC State2620677%78.969.0+9.9
3 Pittsburgh2518772%74.967.8+7.1
4 Clemson2518772%73.768.0+5.6
5 Duke2517868%71.564.3+7.2
6 Wake Forest2617965%77.773.1+4.6
7 North Carolina26161062%78.272.5+5.7
8 Virginia Tech25151060%74.768.8+5.9
9 Syracuse25151060%74.670.3+4.3
10 Miami (FL)51292257%76.572.7+3.7
11 Boston College26121446%66.370.5-4.2
12 Stanford25111444%69.266.9+2.3
13 Notre Dame25101540%71.072.7-1.7
14 Georgia Tech2591636%67.371.0-3.7
15 SMU Mustangs2691735%70.274.7-4.6
16 Florida State2681831%70.275.6-5.4
17 California2532212%59.268.7-9.5
18 Louisville2532212%64.076.1-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke313768
Notre Dame234164
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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