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Notre Dame vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 59-67
27-29 32-38
Position#291
Record6-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game64.8
Notre Dame
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#32
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Notre Dame v Duke
24 Feb 2026
NOTR56
DUKE100
06 Jan 2024
NOTR59
DUKE67
31 Jan 2022
NOTR43
DUKE57
16 Dec 2020
NOTR65
DUKE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H23/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A29/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A10/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
H16/12
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
45-65
45
65
-20
H19/12
NCAA
Marist
#143
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H23/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H30/12
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-22
37-33
28-31
25-34
26-33
23-29
40-34
46-31
24-52
35-26
35-33
27-29
29-32
16-33
24-25
36-31
41-24
35-30
34-26
18-28
124.9Avg total
62.3Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)62.864.8127.6-2.043%
Season at home (10)65.263.8129.0+1.450%
Season away (4)56.867.2124.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)62.362.6124.9-0.340%
Last 5 (5)60.260.2120.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)64.170.6134.7-6.517%
vs Similar (10)69.668.8138.4+0.850%
vs Weaker (2)73.573.0146.5+0.550%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#270
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H17/11
NCAA
La Salle
#222
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H24/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A30/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H09/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H13/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
106-69
106
69
+37
H30/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-29
46-31
39-29
56-37
31-35
49-27
32-33
43-47
31-35
37-37
45-27
35-29
44-39
45-29
34-32
44-38
46-33
60-36
35-33
51-33
151.6Avg total
84.7Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.566.6150.2+16.977%
Season at home (10)86.964.9151.8+22.090%
Season away (3)72.372.3144.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)84.766.9151.6+17.880%
Last 5 (5)87.865.8153.6+22.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (10)72.065.9137.9+6.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.365.2146.6+16.183%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +12.2+12.2
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +12.2+12.2
Notre DameDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H23/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A02/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A10/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Marist
#143
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H23/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H30/12
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H04/01
NCAA
63.1Avg total
31.9Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.965.6-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.730.764.4+3.150%-
Last 30 away (12)31.236.267.4-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)31.931.263.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.628.060.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.233.864.9-2.628%-
vs Similar (10)34.631.566.1+3.160%-
vs Weaker (2)37.531.569.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#270
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H17/11
NCAA
La Salle
#222
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H09/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
38.1Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.430.667.0+5.877%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.130.970.1+8.289%-
Last 30 away (12)32.230.162.3+2.258%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.570.6+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.873.6+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (10)34.631.666.2+3.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.030.768.7+7.378%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Notre Dame wins
4
Duke wins
DateGameScore
15/02/23Duke v Notre Dame68-64
01/02/22Notre Dame v Duke43-57
09/02/21Duke v Notre Dame89-93
17/12/20Notre Dame v Duke65-75
15/02/20Duke v Notre Dame94-60
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HNC State52-54
30/12/23HVirginia76-54
23/12/23HMarist60-56
19/12/23HCitadel45-65
16/12/23HGeorgetown68-72 OT
10/12/23AMarquette59-78
06/12/23HWestern Michigan86-65
02/12/23AMiami (FL)49-62
29/11/23ASouth Carolina53-65
23/11/23HMd.-East. Shore75-55
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24HSyracuse86-66
30/12/23HQueens Royals106-69
21/12/23HBaylor78-70
13/12/23HHofstra89-68
09/12/23HCharlotte80-56
02/12/23AGeorgia Tech68-72
30/11/23AArkansas75-80
24/11/23HSouthern Indiana80-62
22/11/23HLa Salle95-66
17/11/23HBucknell90-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %43%50%25%
Points / game62.865.256.8
Allowed / game64.863.867.2
Point differential-2.0+1.4-10.5
Avg total127.6129.0124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %14%10%25%
Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %77%90%33%
Points / game83.586.972.3
Allowed / game66.664.972.3
Point differential+16.9+22.0+0.0
Avg total150.2151.8144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1411379%83.670.8+12.8
2 Wake Forest1411379%81.969.6+12.2
3 Clemson1411379%80.370.7+9.6
4 NC State1411379%77.768.1+9.6
5 Duke1310377%83.566.6+16.9
6 Miami (FL)1511473%83.871.8+12.0
7 Virginia1511473%66.157.3+8.9
8 SMU Mustangs1410471%75.661.6+14.0
9 Boston College1410471%80.472.9+7.5
10 Syracuse1410471%77.571.5+6.0
11 Pittsburgh1510567%79.165.5+13.6
12 Virginia Tech149564%73.466.9+6.6
13 Florida State148657%76.673.6+3.1
14 Georgia Tech148657%72.773.6-0.9
15 Stanford147750%78.275.0+3.2
16 Notre Dame146843%62.864.8-2.0
17 Louisville145936%72.776.1-3.4
18 California1441029%75.777.7-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame273259
Duke293867
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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