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Duke vs Notre Dame Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#87
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game57.0
Duke
USA
vs
Notre Dame
USA
Position#37
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game64.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Duke v Notre Dame
23 Jan 2027
DUKE v NOTR
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
DUKE86
NOTR78
07 Feb 2024
DUKE71
NOTR53
14 Feb 2023
DUKE68
NOTR64
09 Feb 2021
DUKE89
NOTR93
15 Feb 2020
DUKE94
NOTR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H15/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H19/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H21/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H27/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H29/03
NCAA
Army
#201
W
84-50
84
50
+34
H02/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#230
W
113-52
113
52
+61
H06/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
90-47
90
47
+43
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-22
32-39
38-36
36-34
32-43
39-22
38-34
43-24
39-40
41-35
44-29
28-44
33-18
51-32
54-18
59-34
25-34
48-45
43-20
47-27
144.1Avg total
81.1Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.057.0147.0+33.075%
Season at home (4)90.057.0147.0+33.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.163.0144.1+18.180%
Last 5 (5)86.460.2146.6+26.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)68.063.0131.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)81.063.2144.1+17.890%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#309
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
56-100
56
100
-44
H25/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Villanova
#96
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A01/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H10/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
W
99-59
99
59
+40
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-33
44-41
20-23
48-50
22-54
34-46
38-44
43-37
37-45
41-41
33-30
36-47
31-35
43-37
38-23
45-33
46-33
48-37
50-28
49-31
156.3Avg total
80.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.564.2151.8+23.2100%
Season at home (3)92.061.7153.7+30.3100%
Season away (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.675.7156.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)83.866.8150.6+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.179.3151.4-7.229%
vs Similar (9)72.973.7146.6-0.844%
vs Weaker (4)89.560.8150.2+28.8100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.3+9.31st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +8.8+8.82nd half: +3.1+3.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.3+9.31st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +8.8+8.82nd half: +3.1+3.1
DukeNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H19/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H21/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H27/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/03
NCAA
Army
#201
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H02/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#230
W
54-18
54
18
+36
H06/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H11/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H14/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
38.7Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.630.870.4+8.877%-
Last 30 at home (21)39.030.769.7+8.276%-
Last 30 away (9)41.031.072.0+10.078%-
Last 10 (10)38.729.468.1+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.823.863.6+16.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)35.033.068.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)39.730.770.4+9.076%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#309
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H25/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Villanova
#96
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A01/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H06/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H10/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
36.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.835.569.3-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.235.471.6+0.841%-
Last 30 away (13)30.535.666.2-5.123%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.870.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.629.869.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.139.172.1-6.018%-
vs Similar (9)30.732.062.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (4)43.828.272.0+15.5100%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Duke wins
1
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
25/02/26Notre Dame v Duke56-100
11/01/25Duke v Notre Dame86-78
08/02/24Duke v Notre Dame71-53
06/01/24Notre Dame v Duke59-67
15/02/23Duke v Notre Dame68-64
01/02/22Notre Dame v Duke43-57
09/02/21Duke v Notre Dame89-93
17/12/20Notre Dame v Duke65-75
15/02/20Duke v Notre Dame94-60
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSiu Edwardsville90-47
11/11/26HMichigan State73-79
06/11/26HCoastal Carolina113-52
02/11/26HArmy84-50
29/03/26HUconn72-73
27/03/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)80-75
21/03/26HTCU81-58
19/03/26HSiena71-65
15/03/26HVirginia74-70
14/03/26HClemson73-61
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HSouth Carolina St99-59
10/11/26HEastern Illinois94-70
06/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers83-56
01/11/26AVillanova74-72
07/03/26ABoston College69-77
05/03/26HStanford78-86
28/02/26HNC State96-90 OT
25/02/26HDuke56-100
21/02/26APittsburgh68-73
14/02/26HGeorgia Tech89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game57.057.0-
Point differential+33.0+33.0-
Avg total147.0147.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Notre Dame
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.592.074.0
Allowed / game64.261.772.0
Point differential+23.2+30.3+2.0
Avg total151.8153.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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