Palencia vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 94-72

24-15 25-21 14-16 31-20

Position#2

Record20-4

FormWWLWL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game71.8

Palencia 🏆

Estela

Position#11

Record12-12

FormLWWWL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game76.5

Primera FEBRound 25

Other2022-23

Meetings · Palencia v Estela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

83-73

+10

A08/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

89-82

H13/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

89-78

+11

A20/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

70-76

-6

A28/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

84-60

+24

H01/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

67-56

+11

A04/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

87-79

H17/02

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

89-97

-8

A04/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

85-74

+11

H10/03

Primera FEB

Castello

80-85

-5

A17/03

Primera FEB

18-24

16-13

28-13

21-23

16-19

23-29

24-15

26-19

26-25

22-13

21-10

20-30

14-10

21-22

19-14

16-30

23-17

20-16

21-13

20-14

18-22

13-10

15-13

21-11

18-21

21-21

25-26

23-11

23-22

20-17

21-26

25-32

19-17

23-20

23-22

20-15

30-18

21-15

14-27

15-25

158.3Avg total

82.3Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	81.9	71.8	153.7	+10.2	83%
Season at home (11)	84.3	70.0	154.3	+14.3	100%
Season away (13)	79.9	73.2	153.2	+6.7	69%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	76.0	158.3	+6.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	78.2	159.8	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	62.0	89.0	151.0	-27.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	80.3	75.1	155.4	+5.1	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	82.1	71.9	154.0	+10.2	82%

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

60-67

-7

A07/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

71-68

H14/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

69-62

A21/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

77-78

-1

A27/01

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

62-80

-18

H01/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

70-96

-26

A05/02

Primera FEB

Castello

84-64

+20

H18/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

75-69

H05/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

80-74

A11/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

93-96

-3

H18/03

Primera FEB

14-14

20-15

10-16

16-22

17-17

18-11

19-24

17-16

18-22

14-11

18-22

19-7

29-23

16-13

12-25

20-17

20-23

15-13

16-20

11-24

14-24

19-23

14-20

23-29

29-14

21-14

20-14

14-22

15-11

20-29

18-12

22-17

16-24

16-14

26-20

22-16

21-29

26-20

32-25

14-22

149.5Avg total

74.1Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	74.1	76.5	150.6	-2.3	50%
Season at home (12)	75.8	72.8	148.6	+3.1	67%
Season away (12)	72.4	80.2	152.6	-7.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	74.1	75.4	149.5	-1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	79.8	160.2	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	69.2	85.1	154.3	-15.9	10%
vs Similar (16)	76.2	69.9	146.1	+6.3	81%
vs Weaker (4)	81.5	70.0	151.5	+11.5	75%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaEstela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	17.2	37.7	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	19.0	30.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	17.9	38.6	+2.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	18.6	35.1	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.4	21.0	36.4	-5.6	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	15.8	36.8	+5.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.3	37.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	16.0	34.6	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	17.0	30.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	15.7	36.4	+5.0	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	16.3	34.8	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.3	34.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.3	16.1	34.4	+2.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.5	50%	-

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

34-37

-3

A08/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

39-48

-9

H13/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

48-38

+10

A20/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

35-32

A28/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

43-33

+10

H01/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

31-32

-1

A04/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

39-42

-3

H17/02

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

43-39

A04/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

42-37

H10/03

Primera FEB

Castello

51-33

+18

A17/03

Primera FEB

77.6Avg total

40.5Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	35.4	75.3	+4.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	36.1	77.6	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.5	34.9	73.4	+3.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	37.1	77.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	36.6	77.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	36.0	60.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.4	33.6	75.0	+7.9	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.1	36.0	76.1	+4.1	59%	-

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

34-29

A07/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

35-28

H14/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

32-33

-1

A21/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

45-36

A27/01

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

35-36

-1

H01/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

33-47

-14

A05/02

Primera FEB

Castello

50-28

+22

H18/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

35-40

-5

H05/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

32-38

-6

A11/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

47-49

-2

H18/03

Primera FEB

74.2Avg total

37.8Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	36.1	72.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.7	34.8	72.5	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.7	37.6	72.4	-2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	36.4	74.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.4	79.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	33.6	41.2	74.8	-7.6	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.1	33.8	70.9	+3.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	33.0	72.8	+6.8	100%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.6	39.6	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	18.8	38.8	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	33.0	52.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.1	37.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	21.3	38.4	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.2	21.4	37.6	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.8	18.7	37.4	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	16.9	36.9	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.1	41.4	-0.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.4	22.5	41.9	-3.1	30%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.5	16.8	36.3	+2.7	75%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	37.8	78.9	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	35.4	77.4	+6.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.3	39.9	80.2	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	38.9	80.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.6	82.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	53.0	91.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.9	41.6	80.4	-2.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.0	35.9	77.8	+6.1	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	38.5	76.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	37.2	74.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	40.0	77.9	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	39.0	75.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	35.6	43.9	79.5	-8.3	10%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.2	35.5	73.8	+2.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.8	37.0	78.8	+4.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Estela wins

Date	Game	Score
26/11/22	Estela v Palencia	67-77

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/23	A	Castello	80-85
10/03/23	H	Gipuzkoa	85-74
04/03/23	A	MoraBanc Andorra	89-97
17/02/23	H	Alicante	87-79
04/02/23	A	Oviedo	67-56
01/02/23	H	Almansa	84-60
28/01/23	A	Real Valladolid	70-76
20/01/23	A	Melilla	89-78
13/01/23	H	Leyma Coruna	89-82
08/01/23	A	Estudiantes	83-73

Estelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/23	H	Caceres	93-96
11/03/23	A	Albacete	80-74
05/03/23	H	Ourense	75-69
18/02/23	H	Castello	84-64
05/02/23	A	Gipuzkoa	70-96
01/02/23	H	MoraBanc Andorra	62-80
27/01/23	A	Alicante	77-78
21/01/23	A	Oviedo	69-62
14/01/23	H	Almansa	71-68
07/01/23	A	Real Valladolid	60-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	83%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWLL	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	83%	100%	69%
Points / game	81.9	84.3	79.9
Allowed / game	71.8	70.0	73.2
Point differential	+10.2	+14.3	+6.7
Avg total	153.7	154.3	153.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	73%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estela

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	50%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	LWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	74.1	75.8	72.4
Allowed / game	76.5	72.8	80.2
Point differential	-2.3	+3.1	-7.8
Avg total	150.6	148.6	152.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	17%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	75% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	24	22	2	92%	83.4	69.4	+14.0
2	Palencia	24	20	4	83%	81.9	71.8	+10.2
3	Leyma Coruna	25	18	7	72%	84.4	75.9	+8.6
4	Estudiantes	24	16	8	67%	78.6	73.0	+5.7
5	Real Valladolid	24	16	8	67%	76.0	72.2	+3.8
6	Forca Lleida	24	16	8	67%	80.1	77.3	+2.8
7	Alicante	24	15	9	62%	75.7	75.2	+0.5
8	Gipuzkoa	24	14	10	58%	77.8	73.0	+4.8
9	San Pablo Burgos	24	14	10	58%	80.3	75.8	+4.6
10	Estela	24	12	12	50%	74.1	76.5	-2.3
11	Castello	24	11	13	46%	75.0	76.2	-1.2
12	Ourense	24	8	16	33%	73.1	78.7	-5.6
13	Caceres	25	8	17	32%	73.5	78.8	-5.4
14	Almansa	24	7	17	29%	72.2	80.0	-7.8
15	Oviedo	25	7	18	28%	68.4	77.4	-9.0
16	Iraurgi SB	24	5	19	21%	71.7	81.0	-9.4
17	Albacete	25	5	20	20%	70.4	77.1	-6.6
18	Melilla	24	4	20	17%	74.2	81.2	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	24	25	14	31	94
Estela	15	21	16	20	72

← all games of the day

Palencia vs Estela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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