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Estonia vs North Macedonia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-65
22-17 16-22 20-11 26-15
Position#10
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game73.5
Estonia 🏆
vs
North Macedonia
Position#15
Record6-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game69.6
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Unibet Arena
Other2023
Meetings · Estonia v North Macedonia
21 Feb 2025
ESTO84
NORT65
22 Feb 2021
ESTO84
NORT86
16 Aug 2017
ESTO74
NORT65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Macedonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstonia
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#14
W
94-62
94
62
+32
no box
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
69-90
69
90
-21
no box
H08/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#33
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 73
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
65-59
65
59
+6
65avg 73
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 73
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 73
H24/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
25-18
29-17
16-9
21-27
15-24
13-26
20-13
13-27
24-12
24-20
21-28
16-21
25-18
15-27
15-25
24-16
13-24
18-19
24-19
17-16
11-14
15-14
29-27
19-20
17-23
21-10
17-16
17-18
24-19
9-13
15-9
19-18
19-22
19-13
25-25
25-22
17-18
21-22
23-26
154.7Avg total
77.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.873.5150.2+3.275%
Season at home (2)75.573.5149.0+2.050%
Season away (2)78.073.5151.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)77.477.3154.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)75.873.0148.8+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)73.280.0153.2-6.835%
vs Similar ◀ (2)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (2)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
This opponent (North Macedonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North MacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMacedonia
Date
Competition
Denmark
#27
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A25/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
H28/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
58-36
58
36
+22
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
79-41
79
41
+38
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 66
H23/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
96-71
96
71
+25
94avg 66
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
67-82
67
82
-15
56avg 66
H21/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
72-94
72
94
-22
57avg 66
A24/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
20-11
21-26
18-15
19-26
21-20
19-17
20-12
16-11
18-7
11-11
13-7
14-20
18-17
16-17
16-10
15-22
23-22
8-17
27-21
24-12
21-14
15-10
19-5
20-19
23-17
10-21
16-17
25-16
22-22
22-12
27-21
9-23
18-21
16-20
24-18
27-23
19-20
16-21
10-30
143.6Avg total
74.0Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.069.6143.6+4.460%
Season at home (5)69.467.6137.0+1.860%
Season away (5)78.671.6150.2+7.060%
Last 10 (10)74.069.6143.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)76.672.4149.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)68.381.4149.7-13.114%
vs Similar ◀ (5)71.470.0141.4+1.460%
vs Weaker (11)76.468.4144.7+8.073%
This opponent (Estonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
EstoniaNorth Macedonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H08/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#33
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/11
EuroBasket
78.0Avg total
38.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.377.0-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.138.977.0-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)37.339.777.1-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.578.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.075.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)37.239.076.2-1.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)42.042.584.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
This opponent (North Macedonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North MacedoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denmark
#27
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H28/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H10/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H13/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H21/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/11
EuroBasket
74.7Avg total
38.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.273.7-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.340.274.5-5.927%-
Last 30 away (15)36.836.172.9+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.174.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.341.675.9-7.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.232.868.0+2.460%-
vs Weaker (11)37.336.373.5+1.055%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.2
55.5%
50.6%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.5
30.0%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.013.2
66.2%
71.4%13.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
North Macedoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

North Macedonia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
50.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.511.8
71.5%
71.4%11.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estonia
LWWWWWLLLW
North Macedonia
LLWLWLWWWW
#10
League position
#15
+5.2
Net rating
+6.1
106.2
Offensive rating
101.0
100.9
Defensive rating
94.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.0%
3-point %
32.3%
70.3%
Assist %
53.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 101.0Defence100.9 · 94.9Shooting51.2% · 50.5%3-point %30.0% · 32.3%Ball care19.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds34.5% · 20.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Estonia   ■ North Macedonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Estonia wins
1
North Macedonia wins
DateGameScore
23/02/24North Macedonia v Estonia69-74
22/02/21Estonia v North Macedonia84-86
20/02/20North Macedonia v Estonia72-81
16/08/17Estonia v North Macedonia74-65
05/08/17North Macedonia v Estonia76-80
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HPoland86-88
21/11/24APoland82-78
26/02/24HLithuania65-59
23/02/24ANorth Macedonia74-69
27/02/23ASweden72-71
24/02/23HSlovenia79-78
14/11/22AFinland71-91
11/11/22HSweden82-87
08/09/22HGreece69-90
06/09/22HGreat Britain94-62
North Macedonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24ALithuania72-94
21/11/24HLithuania67-82
26/02/24APoland96-71
23/02/24HEstonia69-74
26/02/23ANorway79-41
23/02/23ASlovakia73-82
13/11/22HDenmark74-71 OT
10/11/22HNorway58-36
28/08/22HSlovakia79-75
25/08/22ADenmark73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game76.875.578.0
Allowed / game73.573.573.5
Point differential+3.2+2.0+4.5
Avg total150.2149.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Macedonia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game74.069.478.6
Allowed / game69.667.671.6
Point differential+4.4+1.8+7.0
Avg total143.6137.0150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia550100%85.664.4+21.2
2 France440100%76.863.5+13.2
3 Latvia550100%77.269.6+7.6
4 Italy54180%83.872.2+11.6
5 Slovenia54180%83.277.4+5.8
6 Croatia1411379%84.970.5+14.4
7 Lithuania43175%79.567.0+12.5
8 Greece43175%73.869.0+4.8
9 Israel43175%81.276.5+4.8
10 Estonia43175%76.873.5+3.2
11 Portugal107370%82.773.0+9.7
12 Bulgaria1510567%78.874.6+4.2
13 Germany53260%78.867.6+11.2
14 Belgium53260%76.267.2+9.0
15 North Macedonia106460%74.069.6+4.4
16 Poland106460%79.475.9+3.5
17 Turkey53260%79.276.8+2.4
18 Montenegro53260%81.479.6+1.8
19 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
20 Slovakia158753%72.371.9+0.4
21 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%87.279.8+7.5
22 Czech Republic42250%80.076.2+3.8
23 Georgia42250%75.874.5+1.2
24 Denmark189950%74.473.6+0.8
25 Great Britain42250%80.083.2-3.2
26 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
27 Spain52340%70.872.6-1.8
28 Iceland52340%75.079.4-4.4
29 Sweden52340%73.079.6-6.6
30 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
31 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
32 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
33 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
34 Netherlands41325%79.284.5-5.2
35 Finland51420%78.487.6-9.2
36 Hungary51420%71.280.8-9.6
37 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
38 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
39 Cyprus161156%63.680.8-17.2
40 Ukraine5050%73.884.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia2216202684
North Macedonia1722111565
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