Estudiantes vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 74-87

21-23 31-35 12-14 10-15

Position#12

Record6-4

FormLLWLW

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game77.8

Estudiantes

Real Madrid 🏆

Position#1

Record10-0

FormWWWWL

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game75.9

ACBRound 11

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Estudiantes v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

#10

101-86

101

+15

H30/09

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

83-71

+12

A07/10

ACB

Real Betis

#14

76-46

+30

H14/10

ACB

Bilbao

85-86

-1

A20/10

ACB

Valencia

85-82

H27/10

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

81-86

-5

A03/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

68-83

-15

H11/11

ACB

Unicaja

85-74

+11

A18/11

ACB

Manresa

#18

89-98

-9

A25/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

89-66

+23

H01/12

ACB

24-15

24-18

26-20

27-33

26-16

14-12

22-24

21-19

23-15

13-14

17-10

23-7

22-20

27-21

12-21

24-24

18-19

27-19

20-23

20-21

18-17

23-20

22-32

17-14

15-29

21-23

15-17

28-18

14-20

18-24

25-12

23-22

24-29

24-27

18-20

20-14

20-26

17-11

32-15

162.0Avg total

84.2Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	84.2	77.8	162.0	+6.4	60%
Season at home (5)	83.8	72.6	156.4	+11.2	80%
Season away (5)	84.6	83.0	167.6	+1.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	77.8	162.0	+6.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	81.4	163.8	+1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	73.6	84.0	157.6	-10.4	12%
vs Similar (18)	76.0	73.0	149.0	+3.0	50%
vs Weaker (4)	82.2	75.2	157.5	+7.0	50%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

#13

79-64

+15

A04/11

ACB

Petrol Olimpija

#20

89-76

+13

A09/11

Euroleague

Bilbao

98-84

+14

H11/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

68-79

-11

A15/11

Euroleague

Manresa

#18

97-84

+13

A18/11

ACB

Khimki M.

#11

104-81

104

+23

H23/11

Euroleague

Real Betis

#14

71-63

A25/11

ACB

Fenerbahce

#21

77-61

+16

H30/11

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

94-79

+15

H02/12

ACB

Cantu

#16

70-76

-6

A06/12

Euroleague

22-11

22-13

23-19

12-21

21-18

25-17

22-22

21-19

28-20

25-21

20-22

16-12

19-30

17-23

16-14

25-19

25-22

22-27

25-16

21-23

25-22

33-19

25-17

6-14

31-20

20-10

14-19

16-19

20-20

18-13

23-9

26-26

21-14

19-20

28-19

18-20

17-22

21-13

14-21

159.4Avg total

84.7Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	88.9	75.9	164.8	+13.0	100%
Season at home (5)	90.8	77.4	168.2	+13.4	100%
Season away (5)	87.0	74.4	161.4	+12.6	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	74.7	159.4	+10.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	72.0	155.2	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	81.9	75.7	157.6	+6.1	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	83.6	74.3	158.0	+9.3	86%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.9	40.7	+0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	17.0	38.9	+4.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.5	17.8	37.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.8	38.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.3	18.5	37.9	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.2	42.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.9	18.4	37.2	+0.5	62%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.8	17.9	36.8	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	18.0	35.2	-0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	17.0	38.7	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.7	18.0	39.7	+3.6	64%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

#10

48-33

+15

H30/09

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

40-28

+12

A07/10

ACB

Real Betis

#14

36-29

H14/10

ACB

Bilbao

49-41

A20/10

ACB

Valencia

45-38

H27/10

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

36-34

A03/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

32-43

-11

H11/11

ACB

Unicaja

42-38

A18/11

ACB

Manresa

#18

47-51

-4

A25/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

40-40

H01/12

ACB

79.0Avg total

41.5Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	37.0	75.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	35.9	72.8	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	38.1	77.9	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	37.5	79.0	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.2	80.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.6	40.6	78.2	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar (18)	38.3	35.8	74.1	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	35.5	75.2	+4.2	75%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

#13

44-24

+20

A04/11

ACB

Petrol Olimpija

#20

46-35

+11

A09/11

Euroleague

Bilbao

53-41

+12

H11/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

35-42

-7

A15/11

Euroleague

Manresa

#18

50-41

A18/11

ACB

Khimki M.

#11

46-45

H23/11

Euroleague

Real Betis

#14

37-34

A25/11

ACB

Fenerbahce

#21

36-39

-3

H30/11

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

47-40

H02/12

ACB

Cantu

#16

35-42

-7

A06/12

Euroleague

81.2Avg total

42.9Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	37.0	77.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	36.5	77.7	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.0	37.4	77.4	+2.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	38.3	81.2	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.0	80.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	39.7	39.1	78.9	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	41.0	36.6	77.6	+4.4	64%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	12%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	20.2	41.8	+1.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	17.9	37.6	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	15.0	37.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.3	17.9	38.1	+2.4	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.0	42.7	+2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	38%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.1	39%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.9	40.1	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	39.2	77.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	36.3	73.4	+0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	42.1	80.7	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	40.3	83.0	+2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	40.2	83.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.0	43.4	79.4	-7.4	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	37.7	37.2	74.9	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	39.8	82.2	+2.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	36.6	78.2	+5.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.2	35.6	78.8	+7.6	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.4	37.3	77.6	+3.1	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	36.4	78.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	32.0	75.0	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	42.1	36.6	78.7	+5.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	41.7	36.7	78.4	+5.0	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
22/04/12	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	85-80
11/12/11	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	90-85
22/01/11	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	82-61
30/09/10	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	79-84
03/04/10	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	101-77
29/12/09	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	82-80 OT
25/04/09	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	71-63
06/12/08	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	98-81

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/12	H	Obradoiro CAB	89-66
25/11/12	A	Manresa	89-98
18/11/12	A	Unicaja	85-74
11/11/12	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	68-83
03/11/12	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	81-86
27/10/12	H	Valencia	85-82
20/10/12	A	Bilbao	85-86
14/10/12	H	Real Betis	76-46
07/10/12	A	Gipuzkoa	83-71
30/09/12	H	Tenerife	101-86

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/12	A	Cantu	70-76
02/12/12	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	94-79
30/11/12	H	Fenerbahce	77-61
25/11/12	A	Real Betis	71-63
23/11/12	H	Khimki M.	104-81
18/11/12	A	Manresa	97-84
15/11/12	A	Panathinaikos	68-79
11/11/12	H	Bilbao	98-84
09/11/12	A	Petrol Olimpija	89-76
04/11/12	A	Murcia	79-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	60%
Home	WWWLW	80%
Away	WLLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	60%	80%	40%
Points / game	84.2	83.8	84.6
Allowed / game	77.8	72.6	83.0
Point differential	+6.4	+11.2	+1.6
Avg total	162.0	156.4	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	60%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	88.9	90.8	87.0
Allowed / game	75.9	77.4	74.4
Point differential	+13.0	+13.4	+12.6
Avg total	164.8	168.2	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	80%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	10	10	0	100%	88.9	75.9	+13.0
2	Baskonia	11	8	3	73%	81.2	75.7	+5.5
3	Valencia	11	8	3	73%	78.2	72.9	+5.3
4	Gran Canaria	11	8	3	73%	75.5	70.9	+4.6
5	Bilbao	11	8	3	73%	78.4	73.8	+4.5
6	Barcelona	11	7	4	64%	79.2	69.1	+10.1
7	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	11	7	4	64%	75.9	69.9	+6.0
8	Estudiantes	10	6	4	60%	84.2	77.8	+6.4
9	Unicaja	11	6	5	55%	74.3	70.7	+3.5
10	Obradoiro CAB	11	6	5	55%	72.8	72.7	+0.1
11	Baloncesto Valladolid	11	6	5	55%	79.0	80.9	-1.9
12	Joventut Badalona	11	5	6	45%	77.4	78.5	-1.2
13	Murcia	11	4	7	36%	77.0	82.6	-5.6
14	Tenerife	11	3	8	27%	76.9	81.3	-4.4
15	Fuenlabrada	11	2	9	18%	74.5	83.2	-8.7
16	Real Betis	11	2	9	18%	66.4	79.6	-13.3
17	Gipuzkoa	11	1	10	9%	70.8	81.5	-10.6
18	Manresa	11	1	10	9%	74.5	86.0	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	21	31	12	10	74
Real Madrid	23	35	14	15	87

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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