Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 11:15

Final 68-91

15-25 21-27 19-15 13-24

Position#13

Record6-8

FormLLWLW

Points / game78.1

Allowed / game83.0

Murcia

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#12

Record7-7

FormWLLWL

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game79.0

ACBRound 15

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Murcia v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#11

70-92

-22

A28/10

ACB

Real Madrid

64-79

-15

H04/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

73-69

A10/11

ACB

Gran Canaria

97-99 OT

-2

H18/11

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

87-81

H25/11

ACB

Unicaja

58-85

-27

A02/12

ACB

Baskonia

83-87

-4

A09/12

ACB

Manresa

#18

95-80

+15

H16/12

ACB

Bilbao

75-98

-23

A19/12

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

77-75

H23/12

ACB

13-21

21-28

18-21

18-22

11-22

13-22

19-23

21-12

23-14

21-11

10-24

19-20

22-21

20-29

24-18

25-23

20-18

23-18

20-23

24-22

18-19

12-26

16-23

12-17

24-18

18-30

20-15

21-24

23-20

34-27

19-16

19-17

15-30

20-19

20-28

20-21

22-20

15-16

20-22

20-17

162.4Avg total

77.9Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	78.1	83.0	161.1	-4.9	43%
Season at home (7)	82.0	81.0	163.0	+1.0	57%
Season away (7)	74.3	85.0	159.3	-10.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	84.5	162.4	-6.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	85.0	162.6	-7.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	74.7	82.9	157.6	-8.2	17%
vs Similar (16)	76.4	73.1	149.5	+3.2	69%
vs Weaker (2)	90.0	68.0	158.0	+22.0	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valencia

85-82

H27/10

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

81-86

-5

A03/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

68-83

-15

H11/11

ACB

Unicaja

85-74

+11

A18/11

ACB

Manresa

#18

89-98

-9

A25/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

89-66

+23

H01/12

ACB

Real Madrid

74-87

-13

H09/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

63-70

-7

A16/12

ACB

Gran Canaria

83-75

H19/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

75-96

-21

A23/12

ACB

18-19

27-19

20-23

20-21

18-17

23-20

22-32

17-14

15-29

21-23

15-17

28-18

14-20

18-24

25-12

23-22

24-29

24-27

18-20

20-14

20-26

17-11

32-15

21-23

31-35

12-14

10-15

20-21

20-12

13-14

10-23

25-13

18-20

20-15

20-27

24-27

11-18

19-22

21-29

160.9Avg total

79.2Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.2	79.0	160.2	+2.2	50%
Season at home (7)	82.3	75.0	157.3	+7.3	71%
Season away (7)	80.1	83.0	163.1	-2.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	81.7	160.9	-2.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	78.8	155.6	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	74.0	84.2	158.2	-10.2	12%
vs Similar (17)	77.5	74.5	151.9	+3.0	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	78.4	74.2	152.6	+4.2	40%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MurciaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+0.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.1	38.4	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.8	21.2	39.9	-2.4	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.5	37.9	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	65%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.9	38.9	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.6	42.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.6	43.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.1	20.8	38.8	-2.7	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.7	19.6	37.3	-1.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	19.5	47.5	+8.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.5	42.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.8	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	60%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#11

34-49

-15

A28/10

ACB

Real Madrid

24-44

-20

H04/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

44-25

+19

A10/11

ACB

Gran Canaria

42-50

-8

H18/11

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

43-36

H25/11

ACB

Unicaja

30-45

-15

A02/12

ACB

Baskonia

42-48

-6

A09/12

ACB

Manresa

#18

57-47

+10

H16/12

ACB

Bilbao

35-49

-14

A19/12

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

37-36

H23/12

ACB

81.7Avg total

38.8Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	40.2	77.4	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	38.4	77.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.4	41.9	77.3	-6.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	42.9	81.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	45.0	85.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	36.8	41.9	78.8	-5.1	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	36.1	39.3	75.4	-3.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.5	36.5	85.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valencia

45-38

H27/10

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

36-34

A03/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

32-43

-11

H11/11

ACB

Unicaja

42-38

A18/11

ACB

Manresa

#18

47-51

-4

A25/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

40-40

H01/12

ACB

Real Madrid

52-58

-6

H09/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

40-33

A16/12

ACB

Gran Canaria

43-33

+10

H19/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

35-45

-10

A23/12

ACB

82.5Avg total

41.2Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	37.0	76.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	37.0	75.5	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	37.1	77.0	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	41.3	82.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	41.8	83.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.5	41.5	80.0	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar (17)	39.4	35.5	74.9	+3.8	65%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	39.8	35.0	74.8	+4.8	80%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.7	37.9	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	16.0	36.9	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.5	16.8	36.3	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	13.0	35.5	+9.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.9	37.7	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	15.2	31.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	21.9	39.1	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.9	18.2	37.2	+0.7	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.1	39.8	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	23.5	43.2	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	36.3	75.4	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	33.5	74.2	+7.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	39.0	76.7	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	40.8	79.3	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	40.0	77.4	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	37.3	40.3	77.7	-3.0	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.2	33.8	74.1	+6.4	69%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	31.5	73.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	40.0	77.5	-2.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	36.3	72.7	+0.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	43.7	82.3	-5.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	40.4	78.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	37.0	71.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.5	42.8	78.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	38.1	38.9	77.1	-0.8	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	38.6	39.2	77.8	-0.6	20%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Murcia wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
06/05/12	Estudiantes v Murcia	80-86
28/12/11	Murcia v Estudiantes	88-75
24/04/10	Estudiantes v Murcia	75-64
29/11/09	Murcia v Estudiantes	83-89
25/01/09	Murcia v Estudiantes	78-99
11/10/08	Estudiantes v Murcia	93-66

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/12	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	77-75
19/12/12	A	Bilbao	75-98
16/12/12	H	Manresa	95-80
09/12/12	A	Baskonia	83-87
02/12/12	A	Unicaja	58-85
25/11/12	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	87-81
18/11/12	H	Gran Canaria	97-99 OT
10/11/12	A	Obradoiro CAB	73-69
04/11/12	H	Real Madrid	64-79
28/10/12	A	Joventut Badalona	70-92

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/12	A	Joventut Badalona	75-96
19/12/12	H	Gran Canaria	83-75
16/12/12	A	Fuenlabrada	63-70
09/12/12	H	Real Madrid	74-87
01/12/12	H	Obradoiro CAB	89-66
25/11/12	A	Manresa	89-98
18/11/12	A	Unicaja	85-74
11/11/12	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	68-83
03/11/12	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	81-86
27/10/12	H	Valencia	85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	43%
Home	LLWWW	57%
Away	LWLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	43%	57%	29%
Points / game	78.1	82.0	74.3
Allowed / game	83.0	81.0	85.0
Point differential	-4.9	+1.0	-10.7
Avg total	161.1	163.0	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	14%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Estudiantes

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	WLWLW	71%
Away	LWLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	50%	71%	29%
Points / game	81.2	82.3	80.1
Allowed / game	79.0	75.0	83.0
Point differential	+2.2	+7.3	-2.9
Avg total	160.2	157.3	163.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	43%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	14	14	0	100%	88.9	76.8	+12.1
2	Baskonia	14	11	3	79%	82.0	74.7	+7.3
3	Valencia	15	11	4	73%	81.3	74.3	+7.1
4	Bilbao	14	10	4	71%	80.1	74.1	+5.9
5	Gran Canaria	14	10	4	71%	76.5	71.8	+4.7
6	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	14	8	6	57%	75.9	70.6	+5.2
7	Unicaja	15	8	7	53%	73.6	71.9	+1.7
8	Obradoiro CAB	15	8	7	53%	72.7	72.8	-0.1
9	Barcelona	14	7	7	50%	75.9	69.6	+6.4
10	Estudiantes	14	7	7	50%	81.2	79.0	+2.2
11	Joventut Badalona	14	7	7	50%	79.0	80.6	-1.6
12	Baloncesto Valladolid	14	6	8	43%	77.2	81.5	-4.3
13	Murcia	14	6	8	43%	78.1	83.0	-4.9
14	Tenerife	15	5	10	33%	75.3	80.6	-5.3
15	Fuenlabrada	14	4	10	29%	74.1	80.7	-6.6
16	Real Betis	14	3	11	21%	68.8	78.5	-9.7
17	Manresa	15	2	13	13%	75.8	85.0	-9.2
18	Gipuzkoa	15	2	13	13%	69.7	79.7	-9.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Murcia	15	21	19	13	68
Estudiantes	25	27	15	24	91

← all games of the day

Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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