Estudiantes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 72-70

17-10 17-14 14-21 24-25

Position#12

Record6-7

FormLLWWL

Points / game75.3

Allowed / game72.8

Estudiantes 🏆

Libertad

Position#15

Record5-9

FormLLLWL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game79.4

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Estudiantes v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

64-71

-7

H27/10

Liga A

Quimsa

64-75

-11

H30/10

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#18

86-79

H02/11

ACB

La Union

#11

89-82

H03/11

Liga A

Regatas

69-80

-11

A06/11

Liga A

San Martin

62-66

-4

A08/11

Liga A

Murcia

#10

65-79

-14

A09/11

ACB

La Union

#11

108-85

108

+23

A10/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

83-72

+11

H16/11

Liga A

Real Betis

#15

65-82

-17

H16/11

ACB

22-11

16-21

10-20

16-19

13-16

13-18

16-18

22-23

20-16

15-23

25-20

26-20

25-16

21-18

16-26

27-22

12-27

22-15

18-17

17-21

17-18

16-11

15-19

14-18

15-17

18-17

15-23

17-22

30-23

17-15

30-21

31-26

14-19

24-21

25-18

20-14

24-13

18-19

11-24

12-26

152.6Avg total

75.5Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	75.3	72.8	148.2	+2.5	46%
Season at home (7)	77.9	73.9	151.7	+4.0	57%
Season away (6)	72.3	71.7	144.0	+0.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	77.1	152.6	-1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	76.8	153.4	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	66.3	79.0	145.3	-12.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	76.7	73.8	150.5	+2.9	55%
vs Weaker (1)	81.0	74.0	155.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#12

80-72

H20/10

Liga A

San Martin

59-67

-8

H23/10

Liga A

Quimsa

76-99

-23

H26/10

Liga A

Regatas

82-85

-3

H30/10

Liga A

Atenas

72-89

-17

A01/11

Liga A

Quimsa

73-103

103

-30

A04/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

65-71

-6

A06/11

Liga A

Sionista

#16

69-72

-3

H10/11

Liga A

Atenas

87-67

+20

H14/11

Liga A

Sionista

#16

64-87

-23

A16/11

Liga A

17-15

22-14

15-25

26-18

11-15

15-17

19-17

14-18

19-20

12-28

24-20

21-31

18-13

23-18

25-23

16-31

17-24

21-20

22-27

12-18

19-25

18-35

22-20

14-23

9-18

11-16

23-22

22-15

18-17

14-25

20-15

17-15

14-20

16-10

25-21

32-16

19-19

12-29

21-22

12-17

153.9Avg total

72.7Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	74.6	79.4	153.9	-4.8	36%
Season at home (8)	77.1	75.9	153.0	+1.2	50%
Season away (6)	71.2	84.0	155.2	-12.8	17%
Last 10 (10)	72.7	81.2	153.9	-8.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	80.0	151.6	-8.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	79.2	89.2	168.4	-10.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	70.2	75.9	146.2	-5.7	32%
vs Weaker (2)	90.0	73.5	163.5	+16.5	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.9	37.4	-2.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.9	20.7	36.6	-4.8	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	18.9	35.3	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	17.1	33.7	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	20.7	36.9	-4.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	18.6	34.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.8	35.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.7	21.6	41.2	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	14.9	17.3	32.2	-2.4	37%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.9	19.7	35.6	-3.8	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	22.0	52.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	20.6	37.6	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	21.0	36.9	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	21.2	37.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	23.0	37.2	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.1	21.6	38.7	-4.4	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	16.9	20.7	37.6	-3.8	26%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	14.5	33.0	+4.0	50%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

38-32

H27/10

Liga A

Quimsa

26-34

-8

H30/10

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#18

35-39

-4

H02/11

ACB

La Union

#11

46-34

+12

H03/11

Liga A

Regatas

34-42

-8

A06/11

Liga A

San Martin

33-29

A08/11

Liga A

Murcia

#10

33-34

-1

A09/11

ACB

La Union

#11

47-38

A10/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

38-40

-2

H16/11

Liga A

Real Betis

#15

42-32

+10

H16/11

ACB

72.6Avg total

37.2Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	36.7	73.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	35.9	73.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	37.5	73.1	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	35.4	72.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	34.6	73.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	31.8	40.3	72.1	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	37.8	34.9	72.7	+2.9	65%	-
vs Weaker (1)	49.0	40.0	89.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#12

39-29

+10

H20/10

Liga A

San Martin

26-32

-6

H23/10

Liga A

Quimsa

31-48

-17

H26/10

Liga A

Regatas

41-31

+10

H30/10

Liga A

Atenas

38-44

-6

A01/11

Liga A

Quimsa

37-60

-23

A04/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

20-34

-14

A06/11

Liga A

Sionista

#16

32-42

-10

H10/11

Liga A

Atenas

30-30

H14/11

Liga A

Sionista

#16

31-48

-17

A16/11

Liga A

72.3Avg total

32.5Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.5	39.4	73.0	-5.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.9	37.2	72.1	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.2	41.7	73.9	-9.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.5	39.8	72.3	-7.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	42.8	72.8	-12.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.8	43.1	79.9	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	31.8	38.1	69.8	-6.3	21%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.5	36.0	71.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.1	37.7	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.7	18.9	35.6	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	15.0	30.0	+0.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.9	40.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.1	37.9	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.2	22.4	44.7	-0.2	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	17.5	41.5	+6.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.3	39.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.7	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	38.4	75.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	39.8	77.3	-2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	37.0	73.2	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	41.7	80.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	42.2	80.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.6	38.7	73.2	-4.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	38.1	38.5	76.7	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	34.0	66.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.6	79.3	+0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	37.4	77.4	+2.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	41.8	81.1	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	41.4	81.6	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	37.2	78.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.9	44.8	85.7	-3.9	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.4	37.9	76.3	+0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	32.5	78.5	+13.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
20/10/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	80-72
06/04/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	79-63
29/01/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	64-73
25/11/13	Libertad v Estudiantes	83-81
13/10/13	Estudiantes v Libertad	76-72

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/14	H	Real Betis	65-82
16/11/14	H	Olimpico	83-72
10/11/14	A	La Union	108-85
09/11/14	A	Murcia	65-79
08/11/14	A	San Martin	62-66
06/11/14	A	Regatas	69-80
03/11/14	H	La Union	89-82
02/11/14	H	Fuenlabrada	86-79
30/10/14	H	Quimsa	64-75
27/10/14	H	San Martin	64-71

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/14	A	Sionista	64-87
14/11/14	H	Atenas	87-67
10/11/14	H	Sionista	69-72
06/11/14	A	Olimpico	65-71
04/11/14	A	Quimsa	73-103
01/11/14	A	Atenas	72-89
30/10/14	H	Regatas	82-85
26/10/14	H	Quimsa	76-99
23/10/14	H	San Martin	59-67
20/10/14	H	Estudiantes	80-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	46%
Home	LLLWW	57%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	46%	57%	33%
Points / game	75.3	77.9	72.3
Allowed / game	72.8	73.9	71.7
Point differential	+2.5	+4.0	+0.7
Avg total	148.2	151.7	144.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	29%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	36%
Home	LLLLW	50%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	36%	50%	17%
Points / game	74.6	77.1	71.2
Allowed / game	79.4	75.9	84.0
Point differential	-4.8	+1.2	-12.8
Avg total	153.9	153.0	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	13	12	1	92%	85.8	73.9	+11.9
2	Quimsa	14	12	2	86%	85.3	70.2	+15.1
3	Argentino	10	7	3	70%	76.7	69.5	+7.2
4	Obras Sanitarias	13	9	4	69%	79.7	71.8	+7.9
5	Quilmes	15	9	6	60%	73.9	74.1	-0.2
6	Penarol	14	8	6	57%	80.3	76.4	+3.9
7	Gimnasia	12	6	6	50%	77.0	74.5	+2.5
8	Estudiantes	13	6	7	46%	75.3	72.8	+2.5
9	Olimpico	13	6	7	46%	77.8	78.1	-0.3
10	Weber Bahia	14	6	8	43%	77.0	79.9	-2.9
11	Atenas	14	6	8	43%	73.9	76.9	-3.1
12	San Martin	14	6	8	43%	68.4	74.2	-5.9
13	Boca Juniors	12	5	7	42%	76.3	75.3	+1.0
14	Sionista	16	6	10	38%	72.7	76.7	-4.0
15	Libertad	14	5	9	36%	74.6	79.4	-4.8
16	Lanus	13	4	9	31%	74.6	83.4	-8.8
17	Ciclista	14	4	10	29%	70.6	79.6	-8.9
18	La Union	14	4	10	29%	73.6	82.7	-9.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	17	17	14	24	72
Libertad	10	14	21	25	70

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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