Estudiantes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 88-89

26-21 18-17 23-22 21-29

Position#12

Record8-10

FormWLLWL

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game73.2

Estudiantes

Libertad 🏆

Position#15

Record7-12

FormLWLLW

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game80.0

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Estudiantes v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

72-90

-18

A24/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

75-78

-3

A26/11

Liga A

Bilbao

63-64

-1

A30/11

ACB

Sionista

#16

77-83

-6

A04/12

Liga A

Real Madrid

89-84

H07/12

ACB

Sionista

#16

65-50

+15

H09/12

Liga A

Quimsa

53-69

-16

A13/12

Super 4

Obradoiro CAB

#12

59-60

-1

A13/12

ACB

Barcelona

102-96

102

H21/12

ACB

Unicaja

62-66

-4

A27/12

ACB

15-21

17-18

23-23

17-28

27-14

13-24

16-22

19-18

17-19

23-16

10-12

13-17

12-21

19-21

20-22

26-19

16-20

20-25

26-21

27-18

13-17

13-7

21-17

18-9

12-11

16-17

13-16

12-25

20-15

13-18

19-18

7-9

21-31

29-26

21-13

31-26

14-16

16-18

20-17

12-15

145.7Avg total

71.7Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	74.4	73.2	147.7	+1.2	44%
Season at home (9)	75.8	70.8	146.6	+5.0	67%
Season away (9)	73.1	75.7	148.8	-2.6	22%
Last 10 (10)	71.7	74.0	145.7	-2.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	68.2	68.2	136.4	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	73.6	81.2	154.8	-7.7	22%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	73.0	71.7	144.7	+1.3	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

73-103

103

-30

A04/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

65-71

-6

A06/11

Liga A

Sionista

#16

69-72

-3

H10/11

Liga A

Atenas

87-67

+20

H14/11

Liga A

Sionista

#16

64-87

-23

A16/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

70-72

-2

A18/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

86-79

H20/11

Liga A

La Union

#11

72-89

-17

A08/12

Liga A

La Union

#11

88-90

-2

A09/12

Liga A

Sionista

#16

81-79 OT

A28/12

Liga A

19-25

18-35

22-20

14-23

9-18

11-16

23-22

22-15

18-17

14-25

20-15

17-15

14-20

16-10

25-21

32-16

19-19

12-29

21-22

12-17

10-17

14-17

21-14

25-24

24-27

24-18

22-20

16-14

21-22

15-21

14-26

22-20

27-25

18-18

26-26

17-21

20-28

18-11

17-16

18-18

156.4Avg total

75.5Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	75.8	80.0	155.8	-4.2	37%
Season at home (9)	78.1	76.2	154.3	+1.9	56%
Season away (10)	73.8	83.4	157.2	-9.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	80.9	156.4	-5.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	81.8	161.2	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	80.7	87.7	168.4	-7.0	43%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	72.0	76.7	148.7	-4.8	36%
vs Weaker (1)	86.0	60.0	146.0	+26.0	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.0	35.5	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	17.6	36.1	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	18.4	35.0	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.5	35.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.0	34.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.2	21.1	36.3	-5.9	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.9	16.9	35.8	+1.9	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	16.5	34.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.8	39.9	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.8	44.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.1	20.4	40.6	-0.3	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	16.5	18.5	34.9	-2.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	17.2	34.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.5	16.8	33.3	-0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.2	34.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	16.6	15.9	32.5	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.9	36.9	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	19.4	35.2	-3.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.9	20.6	37.4	-3.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.2	27%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	10.0	30.0	+10.0	100%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

32-39

-7

A24/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

40-38

A26/11

Liga A

Bilbao

40-35

A30/11

ACB

Sionista

#16

31-42

-11

A04/12

Liga A

Real Madrid

36-45

-9

H07/12

ACB

Sionista

#16

26-24

H09/12

Liga A

Quimsa

28-28

A13/12

Super 4

Obradoiro CAB

#12

33-33

A13/12

ACB

Barcelona

50-57

-7

H21/12

ACB

Unicaja

30-34

-4

A27/12

ACB

72.1Avg total

34.6Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	35.2	69.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.6	35.2	71.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.1	35.2	68.3	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	37.5	72.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	35.2	68.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.9	41.2	75.1	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	35.5	32.9	68.3	+2.6	65%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

37-60

-23

A04/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

20-34

-14

A06/11

Liga A

Sionista

#16

32-42

-10

H10/11

Liga A

Atenas

30-30

H14/11

Liga A

Sionista

#16

31-48

-17

A16/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

24-34

-10

A18/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

48-45

H20/11

Liga A

La Union

#11

36-43

-7

A08/12

Liga A

La Union

#11

45-43

A09/12

Liga A

Sionista

#16

38-39

-1

A28/12

Liga A

75.9Avg total

34.1Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.4	38.9	73.2	-4.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.1	36.9	73.0	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.9	40.6	73.4	-7.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	41.8	75.9	-7.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	40.8	79.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.0	41.0	78.0	-4.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	33.4	38.5	71.9	-5.2	23%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	31.0	69.0	+7.0	100%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	35%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.9	40.2	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.9	21.7	44.6	+1.1	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	19.8	36.6	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	16.8	32.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.3	38.5	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	23.3	42.1	-4.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	11.0	37.0	+15.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.2	77.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	39.4	80.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	39.1	73.9	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	36.5	73.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	33.0	67.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.7	40.0	79.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	37.5	38.8	76.3	-1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.3	78.6	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	37.4	77.6	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	40.9	79.6	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	38.5	79.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.8	79.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.7	45.0	86.7	-3.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	38.2	37.9	76.1	+0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	48.0	29.0	77.0	+19.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
18/11/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	72-70
20/10/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	80-72
06/04/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	79-63
29/01/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	64-73
25/11/13	Libertad v Estudiantes	83-81
13/10/13	Estudiantes v Libertad	76-72

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/14	A	Unicaja	62-66
21/12/14	H	Barcelona	102-96
13/12/14	A	Obradoiro CAB	59-60
13/12/14	A	Quimsa	53-69
09/12/14	H	Sionista	65-50
07/12/14	H	Real Madrid	89-84
04/12/14	A	Sionista	77-83
30/11/14	A	Bilbao	63-64
26/11/14	A	Olimpico	75-78
24/11/14	A	Quimsa	72-90

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/14	A	Sionista	81-79 OT
09/12/14	A	La Union	88-90
08/12/14	A	La Union	72-89
20/11/14	H	Olimpico	86-79
18/11/14	A	Estudiantes	70-72
16/11/14	A	Sionista	64-87
14/11/14	H	Atenas	87-67
10/11/14	H	Sionista	69-72
06/11/14	A	Olimpico	65-71
04/11/14	A	Quimsa	73-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	44%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	LWLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	44%	67%	22%
Points / game	74.4	75.8	73.1
Allowed / game	73.2	70.8	75.7
Point differential	+1.2	+5.0	-2.6
Avg total	147.7	146.6	148.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	33%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	37%
Home	LLLWW	56%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	37%	56%	20%
Points / game	75.8	78.1	73.8
Allowed / game	80.0	76.2	83.4
Point differential	-4.2	+1.9	-9.6
Avg total	155.8	154.3	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	33% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	19	17	2	89%	84.7	71.4	+13.3
2	Regatas	18	14	4	78%	84.7	75.4	+9.3
3	Obras Sanitarias	20	13	7	65%	80.0	72.9	+7.0
4	Penarol	19	12	7	63%	79.4	74.3	+5.1
5	Argentino	19	12	7	63%	76.5	73.5	+3.1
6	Quilmes	19	11	8	58%	74.0	74.4	-0.4
7	Gimnasia	19	10	9	53%	78.5	73.9	+4.5
8	Boca Juniors	19	9	10	47%	76.7	76.1	+0.6
9	San Martin	19	9	10	47%	71.6	75.9	-4.3
10	Estudiantes	18	8	10	44%	74.4	73.2	+1.2
11	Olimpico	18	8	10	44%	77.7	79.1	-1.4
12	La Union	19	8	11	42%	76.4	82.2	-5.8
13	Atenas	19	7	12	37%	74.4	77.4	-3.0
14	Sionista	19	7	12	37%	72.4	76.3	-3.9
15	Libertad	19	7	12	37%	75.8	80.0	-4.2
16	Lanus	19	7	12	37%	74.2	81.3	-7.1
17	Weber Bahia	20	6	14	30%	74.0	81.6	-7.5
18	Ciclista	18	5	13	28%	72.2	78.6	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	26	18	23	21	88
Libertad	21	17	22	29	89

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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