Estudiantes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 May 2016

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 83-86

14-19 20-18 26-21 23-28

Position#11

Record27-28

FormLLLWL

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game79.4

Estudiantes

Libertad 🏆

Position#6

Record30-25

FormLLWLW

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game80.2

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Estudiantes v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

75-68

A10/04

Liga A

Unicaja

91-84

H10/04

ACB

Regatas

77-81 OT

-4

H13/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

89-84

H15/04

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#15

71-70

H17/04

ACB

Argentino

#16

59-85

-26

A18/04

Liga A

Lanus

#13

62-90

-28

A20/04

Liga A

Real Betis

#11

59-82

-23

A24/04

ACB

Atenas

#14

91-84

H30/04

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

74-80

-6

H01/05

ACB

21-17

21-15

19-24

14-12

18-26

19-16

26-23

28-19

12-13

22-9

16-24

21-25

21-20

26-9

23-24

19-31

15-16

15-17

19-20

22-17

8-32

12-27

28-16

11-10

16-29

23-22

13-18

10-21

15-21

10-24

21-21

13-16

23-19

21-22

18-23

29-20

20-19

22-16

13-16

19-29

155.6Avg total

74.8Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (55)	74.8	79.4	154.2	-4.6	49%
Season at home (27)	79.0	76.6	155.6	+2.4	67%
Season away (28)	70.8	82.1	152.9	-11.3	32%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	80.8	155.6	-6.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	84.2	153.2	-15.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	75.8	82.1	157.9	-6.3	40%
vs Similar (15)	74.2	73.7	147.9	+0.5	53%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

71-96

-25

A19/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

86-91

-5

H22/03

Liga A

Atenas

#14

82-87 OT

-5

H31/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

84-74

+10

H02/04

Liga A

Quimsa

60-59

H06/04

Liga A

Olimpico

62-98

-36

A14/04

Liga A

Quimsa

56-79

-23

A16/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

104-87

104

+17

H19/04

Liga A

Sionista

#20

59-81

-22

A22/04

Liga A

Sionista

#20

85-80

H25/04

Liga A

20-24

16-20

18-27

17-25

18-22

21-18

22-24

25-27

16-14

15-20

21-15

24-27

22-16

22-26

23-19

17-13

20-18

11-11

11-16

18-14

17-33

14-27

14-19

17-19

15-18

18-17

14-20

9-24

32-20

22-17

24-29

26-21

12-21

17-25

11-12

19-23

20-22

18-10

22-14

25-34

158.1Avg total

74.9Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (55)	81.4	80.2	161.6	+1.2	55%
Season at home (28)	86.7	75.5	162.2	+11.2	82%
Season away (27)	76.0	85.1	161.1	-9.1	26%
Last 10 (10)	74.9	83.2	158.1	-8.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	85.0	158.2	-11.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	77.5	87.5	165.0	-10.0	50%
vs Similar (26)	83.2	83.5	166.7	-0.3	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	72.0	80.5	152.5	-8.5	50%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.8	38.1	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.1	37.1	+1.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.2	38.1	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	24.0	40.4	-7.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.7	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.9	18.9	37.8	-0.1	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.3	37.9	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.7	40.2	-3.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (26)	19.6	19.3	39.0	+0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	19.6	36.6	-2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.2	39.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.4	18.7	37.1	-0.3	53%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.7	42.6	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.1	36.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (26)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	50%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

42-32

+10

A10/04

Liga A

Unicaja

37-42

-5

H10/04

ACB

Regatas

34-22

+12

H13/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

47-29

+18

H15/04

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#15

30-33

-3

H17/04

ACB

Argentino

#16

20-59

-39

A18/04

Liga A

Lanus

#13

39-51

-12

A20/04

Liga A

Real Betis

#11

25-45

-20

A24/04

ACB

Atenas

#14

44-41

H30/04

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

42-35

H01/05

ACB

74.9Avg total

36.0Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	38.0	75.0	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	34.8	74.2	+4.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	40.8	75.6	-6.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.9	74.9	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	46.2	80.2	-12.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.3	39.3	75.5	-3.0	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	37.7	36.7	74.4	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

36-44

-8

A19/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

39-40

-1

H22/03

Liga A

Atenas

#14

31-34

-3

H31/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

44-42

H02/04

Liga A

Quimsa

31-29

H06/04

Liga A

Olimpico

31-60

-29

A14/04

Liga A

Quimsa

33-35

-2

A16/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

54-37

+17

H19/04

Liga A

Sionista

#20

29-46

-17

A22/04

Liga A

Sionista

#20

38-32

H25/04

Liga A

76.5Avg total

36.6Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	39.9	79.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	35.4	75.1	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	44.4	82.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	39.9	76.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	42.0	79.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	42.5	84.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (26)	39.3	39.8	79.1	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	33.5	39.0	72.5	-5.5	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.4	39.1	-1.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (26)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	16.5	13.0	29.5	+3.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	18.3	34.6	-2.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.1	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.4	18.3	36.7	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.5	44.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	23.0	46.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	24.0	42.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.7	42.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.2	43.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	26.5	46.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (26)	21.2	22.9	44.1	-1.7	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	22.0	28.5	50.5	-6.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.3	76.8	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	40.0	80.2	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	38.7	73.8	-3.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	40.9	79.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	38.0	73.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.4	41.7	80.1	-3.3	47%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.5	36.9	73.5	-0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	43.3	86.1	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	41.7	87.8	+4.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	44.9	84.3	-5.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	42.2	79.9	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	43.0	79.2	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (26)	43.6	43.3	86.9	+0.3	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	38.5	41.5	80.0	-3.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	95-70
23/10/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	78-61
04/10/15	Estudiantes v Libertad	73-74
18/03/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	74-82
30/12/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	88-89
18/11/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	72-70
20/10/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	80-72
06/04/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	79-63
29/01/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	64-73
25/11/13	Libertad v Estudiantes	83-81

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/16	H	Fuenlabrada	74-80
30/04/16	H	Atenas	91-84
24/04/16	A	Real Betis	59-82
20/04/16	A	Lanus	62-90
18/04/16	A	Argentino	59-85
17/04/16	H	Obradoiro CAB	71-70
15/04/16	H	Quilmes	89-84
13/04/16	H	Regatas	77-81 OT
10/04/16	H	Unicaja	91-84
10/04/16	A	Ferro	75-68

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/16	H	Sionista	85-80
22/04/16	A	Sionista	59-81
19/04/16	H	Quilmes	104-87
16/04/16	A	Quimsa	56-79
14/04/16	A	Olimpico	62-98
06/04/16	H	Quimsa	60-59
02/04/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	84-74
31/03/16	H	Atenas	82-87 OT
22/03/16	H	Weber Bahia	86-91
19/03/16	A	San Lorenzo	71-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	49%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	LWWLL	32%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	55	27	28
Win %	49%	67%	32%
Points / game	74.8	79.0	70.8
Allowed / game	79.4	76.6	82.1
Point differential	-4.6	+2.4	-11.3
Avg total	154.2	155.6	152.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	30%	4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	69% (16)	67% (9)	71% (7)
Overtime %	5%	7%	4%

Libertad

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	55%
Home	LWWWW	82%
Away	WLLLL	26%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	55	28	27
Win %	55%	82%	26%
Points / game	81.4	86.7	76.0
Allowed / game	80.2	75.5	85.1
Point differential	+1.2	+11.2	-9.1
Avg total	161.6	162.2	161.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	54%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (12)	67% (9)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	55	36	19	65%	82.0	77.7	+4.3
2	Gimnasia	56	33	23	59%	82.8	77.1	+5.7
3	Penarol	56	32	24	57%	83.8	82.8	+1.0
4	Quimsa	54	30	24	56%	80.5	76.7	+3.8
5	La Union	55	30	25	55%	80.6	78.2	+2.4
6	Libertad	55	30	25	55%	81.4	80.2	+1.2
7	Weber Bahia	55	30	25	55%	76.2	78.4	-2.2
8	San Lorenzo	55	29	26	53%	83.1	80.0	+3.1
9	San Martin	55	28	27	51%	85.6	83.9	+1.7
10	Obras Sanitarias	56	28	28	50%	83.4	84.1	-0.7
11	Estudiantes	55	27	28	49%	74.8	79.4	-4.6
12	Regatas	54	26	28	48%	79.6	79.2	+0.4
13	Ferro	56	26	30	46%	77.1	78.4	-1.3
14	Atenas	55	25	30	45%	77.2	78.9	-1.8
15	Argentino	55	25	30	45%	77.8	80.0	-2.2
16	Quilmes	56	25	31	45%	81.4	82.4	-1.0
17	Boca Juniors	56	25	31	45%	78.8	80.5	-1.7
18	Lanus	54	24	30	44%	80.4	81.5	-1.1
19	Instituto de Cordoba	55	23	32	42%	76.4	78.7	-2.4
20	Sionista	54	19	35	35%	76.3	81.2	-4.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	14	20	26	23	83
Libertad	19	18	21	28	86

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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