PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Estudiantes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2015
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 73-74
15-16 19-13 18-22 21-23
Position#11
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game72.5
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2015-16
Meetings · Estudiantes v Libertad
13 Mar 2020
EST55
LIBE64
18 Mar 2019
EST95
LIBE88
13 Feb 2017
EST85
LIBE73
09 Nov 2016
EST77
LIBE64
01 May 2016
EST83
LIBE86
03 Oct 2015
EST73
LIBE74
29 Dec 2014
EST88
LIBE89
17 Nov 2014
EST72
LIBE70
28 Jan 2014
EST64
LIBE73
13 Oct 2013
EST76
LIBE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Libertad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sionista
#16
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A10/05
Liga A
Baskonia
#6
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H10/05
ACB
Manresa
#16
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A17/05
ACB
Atenas
#6
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
A21/05
Liga A
Atenas
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A23/05
Liga A
Gran Canaria
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H24/05
ACB
Atenas
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H26/05
Liga A
Atenas
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H28/05
Liga A
Regatas
#9
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H24/09
Liga A
Quimsa
#8
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H02/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
18-17
20-20
12-24
26-23
22-13
19-18
19-22
15-22
23-14
20-18
17-27
17-16
19-10
16-23
21-24
21-20
17-15
18-30
20-23
21-23
26-14
15-17
22-21
23-13
11-15
25-20
24-20
23-23
13-18
14-21
21-20
10-12
20-16
22-21
19-14
16-11
13-14
21-25
16-9
150.2Avg total
75.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.561.0129.5+7.5100%
Season at home (2)68.561.0129.5+7.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.374.9150.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)75.069.4144.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.372.3143.7-1.056%
vs Similar (21)77.876.5154.3+1.352%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilmes
#8
W
92-90
92
90
+2
H25/04
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A01/05
Liga A
Regatas
#2
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A03/05
Liga A
San Martin
#5
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A05/05
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H10/05
Liga A
Sionista
#16
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A13/05
Liga A
Sionista
#16
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H16/05
Liga A
Sionista
#16
L
92-93
92
93
-1
H18/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#8
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H28/09
Liga A
Sionista
#20
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A02/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
28-18
21-22
18-25
15-27
21-23
18-18
21-20
11-24
22-20
25-28
31-25
27-32
21-25
11-26
24-11
24-32
21-26
26-22
18-19
17-19
23-13
22-25
20-20
20-27
16-14
19-23
17-18
21-18
24-27
23-27
24-21
30-26
23-11
18-10
19-12
23-21
19-17
28-19
18-29
171.7Avg total
85.2Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.072.5161.5+16.5100%
Season at home (1)90.059.0149.0+31.0100%
Season away (1)88.086.0174.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.286.5171.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)84.879.4164.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.289.0174.2-3.833%
vs Similar (19)83.183.5166.6-0.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)78.083.0161.0-5.050%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
EstudiantesLibertad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sionista
#16
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A10/05
Liga A
Baskonia
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H10/05
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/05
ACB
Atenas
#6
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A21/05
Liga A
Atenas
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A23/05
Liga A
Gran Canaria
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H24/05
ACB
Atenas
#6
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H26/05
Liga A
Atenas
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/05
Liga A
Regatas
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H24/09
Liga A
Quimsa
#8
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H02/10
Liga A
68.7Avg total
36.6Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.234.571.7+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.233.371.6+4.978%-
Last 30 away (12)35.636.371.9-0.842%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.168.7+4.590%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.867.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.633.068.6+2.656%-
vs Similar (21)37.935.273.0+2.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilmes
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H25/04
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A01/05
Liga A
Regatas
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A03/05
Liga A
San Martin
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A05/05
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H10/05
Liga A
Sionista
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A13/05
Liga A
Sionista
#16
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H16/05
Liga A
Sionista
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H18/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H28/09
Liga A
Sionista
#20
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/10
Liga A
87.6Avg total
43.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.939.479.3+0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)38.742.681.3-3.923%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.587.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.681.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.440.176.6-3.722%-
vs Similar (19)41.141.782.8-0.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)36.535.071.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Estudiantes wins
5
Libertad wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/15HQuimsa66-59
24/09/15HRegatas71-63
28/05/15HAtenas71-82
26/05/15HAtenas83-68
24/05/15HGran Canaria84-75
23/05/15AAtenas76-88
21/05/15AAtenas79-84 OT
17/05/15AManresa75-81
10/05/15HBaskonia86-76
10/05/15ASionista62-73
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/15ASionista88-86
28/09/15HQuimsa90-59
18/05/15HSionista92-93
16/05/15HSionista72-82
13/05/15ASionista82-77
10/05/15HLa Union89-99
05/05/15ASan Martin83-94
03/05/15ARegatas89-97
01/05/15ALa Union75-88
25/04/15HQuilmes92-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Liga A 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game68.568.5-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+7.5+7.5-
Avg total129.5129.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Libertad
Liga A 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.090.088.0
Allowed / game72.559.086.0
Point differential+16.5+31.0+2.0
Avg total161.5149.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertad220100%89.072.5+16.5
2 San Martin110100%104.088.0+16.0
3 Weber Bahia330100%81.766.0+15.7
4 San Lorenzo330100%86.773.0+13.7
5 Penarol220100%81.570.5+11.0
6 Estudiantes220100%68.561.0+7.5
7 Obras Sanitarias330100%96.389.7+6.7
8 Instituto de Cordoba21150%72.070.0+2.0
9 Regatas21150%78.076.0+2.0
10 Sionista21150%83.584.0-0.5
11 Atenas21150%62.567.0-4.5
12 Argentino21150%76.082.5-6.5
13 La Union31233%84.784.3+0.3
14 Gimnasia31233%85.389.3-4.0
15 Olimpico31233%86.794.7-8.0
16 Boca Juniors31233%75.085.0-10.0
17 Lanus2020%91.598.0-6.5
18 Ferro3030%72.381.0-8.7
19 Quilmes4040%74.283.2-9.0
20 Quimsa3030%66.079.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1519182173
Libertad1613222374
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.