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Estudiantes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-60
13-18 18-10 24-17 14-15
Position#19
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game78.5
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2019-20
Meetings · Estudiantes v Penarol
17 Nov 2019
EST69
PENA60
15 Feb 2019
EST90
PENA66
23 Jan 2018
EST93
PENA86
18 Feb 2017
EST89
PENA71
19 Jan 2016
EST85
PENA81
30 Mar 2015
EST75
PENA65
21 Mar 2014
EST93
PENA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#9
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A28/09
Torneo Super 20
Regatas
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A30/09
Torneo Super 20
San Martin
#8
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H03/10
Torneo Super 20
La Union
#13
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A10/10
Torneo Super 20
San Martin
#8
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A12/10
Torneo Super 20
La Union
#13
L
69-88
69
88
-19
H17/10
Torneo Super 20
Regatas
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H20/10
Torneo Super 20
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#9
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H25/10
Torneo Super 20
Atenas
#17
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H13/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H16/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
8-18
21-23
11-19
24-29
21-27
14-20
19-20
12-14
20-18
13-26
21-26
21-21
16-23
31-30
22-23
13-17
11-22
20-14
20-17
18-27
17-21
19-15
15-25
24-19
21-17
22-27
14-25
10-19
27-20
20-22
25-24
7-21
7-21
20-16
26-19
22-16
13-17
17-18
30-27
157.6Avg total
73.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.077.5148.5-6.550%
Season at home (2)71.077.5148.5-6.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.484.2157.6-10.810%
Last 5 (5)74.883.2158.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.686.5163.1-9.913%
vs Similar (13)81.583.0164.5-1.546%
vs Weaker (2)84.077.0161.0+7.050%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber Bahia
#17
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H27/09
Torneo Super 20
San Lorenzo
#1
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A29/09
Torneo Super 20
Boca Juniors
#11
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A01/10
Torneo Super 20
Boca Juniors
#11
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H09/10
Torneo Super 20
Gimnasia
#4
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H11/10
Torneo Super 20
San Lorenzo
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H19/10
Torneo Super 20
Gimnasia
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A22/10
Torneo Super 20
Weber Bahia
#17
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A24/10
Torneo Super 20
Hispano Americano
#12
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H13/11
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A16/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
11-17
24-16
15-19
14-22
27-22
22-19
21-26
15-19
8-18
23-13
23-24
24-14
15-15
18-22
28-14
13-19
15-10
18-29
30-11
27-16
28-33
19-19
15-22
12-21
16-16
17-25
19-16
31-13
18-18
19-24
15-29
17-17
17-9
19-25
26-25
24-15
15-21
14-23
10-22
152.6Avg total
75.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.078.5149.5-7.550%
Season at home (1)79.076.0155.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)63.081.0144.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)75.277.4152.6-2.230%
Last 5 (5)75.681.8157.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.079.0154.0-4.025%
vs Similar (12)81.678.8160.4+2.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)71.576.0147.5-4.50%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
EstudiantesPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A28/09
Torneo Super 20
Regatas
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A30/09
Torneo Super 20
San Martin
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H03/10
Torneo Super 20
La Union
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/10
Torneo Super 20
San Martin
#8
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A12/10
Torneo Super 20
La Union
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H17/10
Torneo Super 20
Regatas
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H20/10
Torneo Super 20
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H25/10
Torneo Super 20
Atenas
#17
L
14-42
14
42
-28
H13/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H16/11
Liga A
74.0Avg total
33.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.140.677.7-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.936.374.2+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)36.145.681.6-9.50%-
Last 10 (10)33.440.674.0-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.672.8-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.342.077.3-6.720%-
vs Similar (13)38.839.678.5-0.831%-
vs Weaker (2)39.037.076.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber Bahia
#17
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H27/09
Torneo Super 20
San Lorenzo
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A29/09
Torneo Super 20
Boca Juniors
#11
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A01/10
Torneo Super 20
Boca Juniors
#11
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H09/10
Torneo Super 20
Gimnasia
#4
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/10
Torneo Super 20
San Lorenzo
#1
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H19/10
Torneo Super 20
Gimnasia
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A22/10
Torneo Super 20
Weber Bahia
#17
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A24/10
Torneo Super 20
Hispano Americano
#12
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H13/11
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A16/11
Liga A
70.8Avg total
35.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.471.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.834.270.9+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)34.936.971.8-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.170.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.876.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.236.872.9-0.644%-
vs Similar (12)35.734.269.9+1.458%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)35.032.067.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.9
50.7%
53.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.5
37.4%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.4
74.8%
71.7%15.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Estudiantes wins
2
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
15/03/19Penarol v Estudiantes68-69
16/02/19Estudiantes v Penarol90-66
15/04/18Penarol v Estudiantes85-79
24/01/18Estudiantes v Penarol93-86
19/02/17Estudiantes v Penarol89-71
17/12/16Penarol v Estudiantes93-101
06/02/16Penarol v Estudiantes81-86
20/01/16Estudiantes v Penarol85-81
31/03/15Estudiantes v Penarol75-65
04/01/15Penarol v Estudiantes85-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/19HInstituto de Cordoba82-78
13/11/19HAtenas60-77
25/10/19HComunicaciones Mercedes82-85
20/10/19HRegatas81-88
17/10/19HLa Union69-88
12/10/19ASan Martin64-70
10/10/19ALa Union90-97
03/10/19HSan Martin66-84
30/09/19ARegatas78-96
28/09/19AComunicaciones Mercedes62-79
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/19AComunicaciones Mercedes63-81
13/11/19HHispano Americano79-76
24/10/19AWeber Bahia83-84
22/10/19AGimnasia64-78
19/10/19HSan Lorenzo89-90
11/10/19HGimnasia76-69
09/10/19HBoca Juniors85-65
01/10/19ABoca Juniors69-74
29/09/19ASan Lorenzo84-89
27/09/19HWeber Bahia60-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game71.071.0-
Allowed / game77.577.5-
Point differential-6.5-6.5-
Avg total148.5148.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Penarol
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.079.063.0
Allowed / game78.576.081.0
Point differential-7.5+3.0-18.0
Avg total149.5155.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Comunicaciones Mercedes330100%85.067.3+17.7
2 Quimsa220100%89.074.5+14.5
3 San Lorenzo330100%94.087.7+6.3
4 Gimnasia440100%96.290.8+5.5
5 Argentino220100%83.080.0+3.0
6 Olimpico21150%77.070.5+6.5
7 Obras Sanitarias21150%78.573.5+5.0
8 San Martin21150%92.088.0+4.0
9 Atenas21150%76.577.5-1.0
10 Boca Juniors21150%83.084.5-1.5
11 Estudiantes21150%71.077.5-6.5
12 Penarol21150%71.078.5-7.5
13 Instituto de Cordoba31233%77.774.3+3.3
14 Hispano Americano41325%89.088.5+0.5
15 Regatas3030%83.789.7-6.0
16 La Union2020%84.091.5-7.5
17 Weber Bahia1010%99.0109.0-10.0
18 Platense2020%79.091.0-12.0
19 Libertad3030%61.085.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1318241469
Penarol1810171560
← all games of the day
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