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Evansville vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-74
35-36 29-38
Position#225
Record10-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#198
Record9-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Evansville v Missouri State
29 Dec 2024
EVAN57
MISS40
13 Jan 2024
EVAN64
MISS74
12 Feb 2023
EVAN60
MISS66
26 Feb 2022
EVAN79
MISS88
27 Feb 2021
EVAN72
MISS63
26 Feb 2021
EVAN81
MISS90
18 Jan 2020
EVAN58
MISS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#198
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A30/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
55-96
55
96
-41
A06/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A16/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
59-81
59
81
-22
H06/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
50-86
50
86
-36
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-44
48-46
34-37
44-41
25-47
30-49
29-28
41-33
40-44
58-47
44-26
38-25
40-32
18-44
37-48
36-39
20-31
39-50
26-41
24-45
152.2Avg total
71.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.973.5150.4+3.462%
Season at home (7)84.667.4152.0+17.186%
Season away (9)70.978.2149.1-7.344%
Last 10 (10)71.480.8152.2-9.440%
Last 5 (5)64.476.2140.6-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)67.479.8147.1-12.423%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.874.0143.8-4.250%
vs Weaker (4)91.857.0148.8+34.8100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#225
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A16/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H20/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A24/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A06/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
53-77
53
77
-24
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-30
46-48
25-36
32-38
27-32
39-34
31-23
38-37
37-36
35-37
34-16
45-41
31-32
38-32
29-33
33-31
28-42
32-44
19-42
34-35
139.4Avg total
68.4Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.868.9139.6+1.956%
Season at home (9)74.766.7141.3+8.078%
Season away (7)65.771.7137.4-6.029%
Last 10 (10)68.471.0139.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)64.669.6134.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.868.7130.5-6.850%
vs Similar ◀ (16)67.966.4134.2+1.550%
vs Weaker (8)72.864.8137.5+8.075%
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.3-5.31st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.3-5.31st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -0.5-0.5
EvansvilleMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#198
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A30/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H02/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A06/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A16/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H19/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H06/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A11/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
32.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.436.269.6-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.234.769.9+0.529%-
Last 30 away (16)31.837.669.4-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)32.537.870.3-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.669.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)31.638.169.7-6.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)27.834.262.0-6.525%-
vs Weaker (4)48.828.076.8+20.8100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#225
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H10/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A16/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H20/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A24/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
19-42
19
42
-23
H11/01
NCAA
62.7Avg total
30.5Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.731.564.2+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.630.865.3+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)30.632.362.9-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)30.532.262.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)28.233.061.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.534.361.8-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.032.067.0+3.069%-
vs Weaker (8)32.028.260.2+3.862%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Evansville wins
8
Missouri State wins
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24ABradley50-86
06/01/24HMurray State59-81
04/01/24AIndiana State73-87
30/12/23ACincinnati58-76
21/12/23HTennessee Tech82-51
19/12/23HUT Martin98-91
16/12/23ABellarmine70-61
06/12/23ABrigham Young55-96
02/12/23HNorthern Iowa91-89 OT
30/11/23AMissouri State78-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24HMurray State53-77
06/01/24ABradley60-86
04/01/24HNorthern Iowa62-64
24/12/23ASt. Marys (CA)69-64
20/12/23HLindenwood79-57
16/12/23ATulsa72-73
10/12/23HSam Houston St.69-60
06/12/23AMiddle Tenn. St.73-77 OT
02/12/23ADrake57-74
30/11/23HEvansville90-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL62%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%86%44%
Points / game76.984.670.9
Allowed / game73.567.478.2
Point differential+3.4+17.1-7.3
Avg total150.4152.0149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%14%11%
Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%78%29%
Points / game70.874.765.7
Allowed / game68.966.771.7
Point differential+1.9+8.0-6.0
Avg total139.6141.3137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1714382%86.472.3+14.1
2 Drake1613381%79.169.1+9.9
3 Southern Illinois1612475%75.163.8+11.4
4 Bradley1712571%74.666.1+8.6
5 Belmont1711665%78.577.7+0.8
6 Evansville1610662%76.973.5+3.4
7 Northern Iowa168850%75.572.3+3.2
8 Illinois State168850%67.969.2-1.2
9 Illinois (Chi.)178947%69.665.3+4.4
10 Murray State167944%73.370.2+3.1
11 Valparaiso1641225%67.072.3-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1713476%79.473.3+6.1
2 Kennesaw State1712571%84.977.3+7.6
3 Liberty1711665%76.161.8+14.2
4 Louisiana Tech1711665%75.863.9+11.9
5 Delaware1610662%76.469.9+6.5
6 Missouri State169756%70.868.9+1.9
7 Jacksonville State1810856%71.662.8+8.8
8 Sam Houston St.1810856%72.071.4+0.6
9 UTEP179853%74.669.5+5.2
10 New Mexico State1771041%70.271.9-1.7
11 Florida International1871139%76.775.6+1.1
12 Middle Tenn. St.1761135%62.665.8-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville352964
Missouri State363874
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