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Valparaiso vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 59-74
30-38 29-36
Position#306
Record6-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Belmont 🏆
USA
Position#79
Record11-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Valparaiso v Belmont
21 Jan 2027
VALP v BELM
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
VALP77
BELM78
12 Feb 2025
VALP101
BELM86
10 Feb 2024
VALP78
BELM96
10 Jan 2023
VALP59
BELM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A10/12
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H18/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
37-43
30-29
32-33
50-32
46-28
30-53
31-45
42-29
29-37
36-20
41-47
26-24
37-44
24-36
26-32
38-41
29-28
24-49
42-39
142.2Avg total
68.5Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.173.9142.1-5.835%
Season at home (10)71.167.6138.7+3.560%
Season away (7)63.983.0146.9-19.10%
Last 10 (10)68.573.7142.2-5.230%
Last 5 (5)64.672.0136.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)61.974.4136.3-12.57%
vs Similar (11)71.574.9146.4-3.555%
vs Weaker (4)80.861.0141.8+19.8100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H02/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#511
W
83-53
83
53
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
75-85 OT
75
85
-10
H10/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
A18/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-27
43-37
31-30
46-57
46-26
37-27
30-30
40-40
30-31
38-37
38-26
41-30
34-38
29-22
28-23
17-40
35-31
42-40
37-35
37-26
141.1Avg total
73.2Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.270.8145.1+3.465%
Season at home (9)77.467.8145.2+9.778%
Season away (8)70.674.2144.9-3.650%
Last 10 (10)73.267.9141.1+5.370%
Last 5 (5)67.662.2129.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.075.0135.0-15.033%
vs Similar (12)70.267.8138.1+2.458%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.466.8147.1+13.693%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +1.4+1.4
ValparaisoBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A10/12
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A07/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
32.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.435.566.9-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.231.465.6+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)28.240.168.3-11.921%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.667.3-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.063.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)27.337.064.3-9.713%-
vs Similar (11)33.135.668.7-2.555%-
vs Weaker (4)42.029.271.2+12.8100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A04/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#511
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H10/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A18/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A05/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/01
NCAA
63.9Avg total
34.2Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.766.0+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.330.966.2+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)33.132.665.7+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)34.229.763.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.665.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.336.766.0-7.30%-
vs Similar (12)32.431.664.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)36.630.266.9+6.486%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
1
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
02/12/22Belmont v Valparaiso76-64
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ABradley66-88
05/01/23HNorthern Iowa67-69
01/01/23HIndiana State50-68
30/12/22ADrake63-68
21/12/22HStonehill77-67
18/12/22HElon71-66
10/12/22AOle Miss61-98
07/12/22HTrinity (IL)96-60
04/12/22HMurray State70-77 OT
02/12/22ABelmont64-76
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HMissouri State74-61
05/01/23AIllinois (Chi.)77-71
01/01/23ASouthern Illinois45-63
29/12/22HBradley63-60
22/12/22HSamford79-56
18/12/22AChattanooga Mocs83-79 OT
10/12/22HMiddle Tenn. St.75-85 OT
07/12/22HTrevecca Nazarene83-53
04/12/22AIllinois State77-87
02/12/22HValparaiso76-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %35%60%0%
Points / game68.171.163.9
Allowed / game73.967.683.0
Point differential-5.8+3.5-19.1
Avg total142.1138.7146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%78%50%
Points / game74.277.470.6
Allowed / game70.867.874.2
Point differential+3.4+9.7-3.6
Avg total145.1145.2144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1713476%80.869.3+11.5
2 Drake1712571%72.563.4+9.2
3 Southern Illinois1712571%66.660.4+6.2
4 Bradley1711665%69.759.6+10.1
5 Belmont1711665%74.270.8+3.4
6 Murray State169756%70.668.8+1.8
7 Illinois (Chi.)179853%66.768.8-2.1
8 Northern Iowa168850%69.665.5+4.1
9 Illinois State1771041%66.468.3-1.9
10 Valparaiso1761135%68.173.9-5.8
11 Evansville1741324%61.972.9-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso302959
Belmont383674
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