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Evansville vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 61-78
21-41 40-37
Position#365
Record4-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game62.1
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#182
Record7-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Evansville v Murray State
07 Jan 2026
EVAN69
MURR79
29 Jan 2025
EVAN78
MURR74
06 Jan 2024
EVAN59
MURR81
01 Jan 2023
EVAN61
MURR78
21 Dec 2019
EVAN78
MURR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#148
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A24/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H28/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
53-80
53
80
-27
H01/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A03/12
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A10/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
63-91
63
91
-28
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
26-41
37-37
30-41
25-37
29-16
27-28
29-35
21-41
32-39
20-38
35-34
31-28
41-38
28-42
41-46
30-39
43-22
22-39
41-52
134.6Avg total
61.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)62.171.9134.0-9.929%
Season at home (7)62.366.9129.1-4.643%
Season away (7)61.977.0138.9-15.114%
Last 10 (10)61.872.8134.6-11.030%
Last 5 (5)66.475.6142.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)59.473.2132.7-13.820%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#224
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
70-67 OT
70
67
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
33-38
41-28
36-32
34-30
32-39
35-27
27-35
29-30
33-32
25-32
33-37
27-42
39-23
27-29
41-31
26-44
41-39
23-26
34-37
135.2Avg total
67.5Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.869.2140.1+1.654%
Season at home (6)70.063.2133.2+6.867%
Season away (7)71.674.4146.0-2.943%
Last 10 (10)67.567.7135.2-0.250%
Last 5 (5)63.268.0131.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.875.5145.2-5.825%
vs Similar (6)67.870.8138.7-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)76.061.8137.8+14.295%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.3-9.31st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +0.6+0.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.3-9.31st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +0.6+0.6
EvansvilleMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#148
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A24/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H01/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A03/12
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A10/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A30/12
NCAA
63.5Avg total
27.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)26.135.061.1-8.917%-
Last 30 at home (14)25.733.959.6-8.27%-
Last 30 away (16)26.435.962.3-9.425%-
Last 10 (10)27.136.463.5-9.310%-
Last 5 (5)26.237.263.4-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)26.135.061.1-8.917%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#224
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
62.4Avg total
30.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.764.8+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.628.565.1+8.165%-
Last 30 away (13)30.833.664.4-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.162.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)25.634.660.2-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.232.062.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (6)29.734.764.3-5.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)36.129.365.5+6.855%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Evansville wins
0
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
22/12/19Evansville v Murray State78-76 OT
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22AIndiana State63-91
22/12/22HBellarmine73-61
10/12/22ABall State69-88
08/12/22HCampbell72-66
03/12/22ANorthern Iowa55-72
01/12/22HSouthern Illinois53-80
28/11/22HFairfield56-63
26/11/22HRobert Morris54-53
25/11/22HSouth Alabama67-78
24/11/22AUCF Knights56-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HSouthern Illinois57-63
22/12/22AMiddle Tenn. St.67-83
17/12/22HAustin Peay68-60
14/12/22HChicago State66-65
10/12/22ABellarmine58-69
04/12/22AValparaiso77-70 OT
02/12/22HIllinois State70-67 OT
27/11/22AChattanooga Mocs66-69
20/11/22ATulsa77-60
18/11/22HUMass69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeWLLWW43%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game62.162.361.9
Allowed / game71.966.977.0
Point differential-9.9-4.6-15.1
Avg total134.0129.1138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL54%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game70.870.071.6
Allowed / game69.263.274.4
Point differential+1.6+6.8-2.9
Avg total140.1133.2146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %15%17%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1411379%75.264.9+10.4
2 Indiana State1410471%82.171.5+10.6
3 Southern Illinois1410471%68.561.6+6.9
4 Bradley1510567%69.358.7+10.5
5 Belmont149564%76.172.1+4.1
6 Illinois (Chi.)159660%66.967.5-0.7
7 Murray State137654%70.869.2+1.6
8 Northern Iowa146843%69.666.0+3.6
9 Valparaiso146843%69.673.7-4.1
10 Illinois State156940%66.268.3-2.1
11 Evansville1441029%62.171.9-9.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville214061
Murray State413778
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