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Fairfield vs Siena Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#245
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#133
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fairfield v Siena
29 Dec 2026
FAIR v SIE
upcoming
27 Feb 2026
FAIR72
SIE58
25 Feb 2024
FAIR88
SIE64
01 Jan 2023
FAIR61
SIE70
06 Feb 2022
FAIR56
SIE62
10 Jan 2021
FAIR68
SIE75
09 Jan 2021
FAIR58
SIE74
12 Dec 2020
FAIR v SIE
upcoming
11 Dec 2020
FAIR v SIE
upcoming
23 Feb 2020
FAIR59
SIE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fairfield win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Siena win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H01/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H06/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A07/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A09/03
NCAA
Vermont
#193
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H06/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
42-89
42
89
-47
A11/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
46-43
37-23
35-35
25-39
22-30
31-27
40-33
30-30
44-25
30-40
31-36
25-38
42-41
26-30
42-29
20-52
22-37
30-32
33-28
133.4Avg total
65.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.071.8131.8-11.850%
Season at home (2)65.069.5134.5-4.550%
Season away (2)55.074.0129.0-19.050%
Last 10 (10)65.068.4133.4-3.460%
Last 5 (5)60.272.6132.8-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)54.584.0138.5-29.50%
vs Similar (15)70.970.5141.4+0.353%
vs Weaker (13)76.267.1143.3+9.277%
This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairfield
#105
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H08/03
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A11/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A19/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A03/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#307
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A11/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
35-35
33-35
43-26
35-21
28-37
40-30
36-31
33-30
31-24
43-32
22-39
41-37
34-43
39-29
43-39
46-45
53-44
34-44
45-30
142.5Avg total
73.7Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.877.8161.5+6.075%
Season at home (2)80.571.0151.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)87.084.5171.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)73.768.8142.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)80.076.4156.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.071.0136.0-6.00%
vs Similar (16)69.469.1138.5+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.266.9144.2+10.385%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +2.2+2.2
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +2.2+2.2
FairfieldSiena
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H01/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H06/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Vermont
#193
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H06/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
20-52
20
52
-32
A11/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H15/11
NCAA
64.0Avg total
29.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.567.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.730.164.7+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)32.736.969.7-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)29.334.764.0-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)26.238.464.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)22.545.067.5-22.50%-
vs Similar (15)32.934.066.9-1.140%-
vs Weaker (13)36.431.267.5+5.262%-
This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairfield
#105
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A19/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#307
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A11/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
36.7Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.769.2+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.932.568.4+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)35.234.869.9+0.469%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.070.7+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.478.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.032.075.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (16)32.235.167.3-2.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.032.271.2+6.877%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fairfield wins
6
Siena wins
DateGameScore
09/03/26Siena v Fairfield76-61
28/02/26Fairfield v Siena72-58
19/01/26Siena v Fairfield85-77
07/03/25Siena v Fairfield68-64
25/02/24Fairfield v Siena88-64
06/01/24Siena v Fairfield69-93
22/01/23Siena v Fairfield52-62
01/01/23Fairfield v Siena61-70
06/02/22Fairfield v Siena56-62
09/01/22Siena v Fairfield69-62
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNJIT63-60
11/11/26AWisconsin42-89
08/11/26ABryant University68-59
06/11/26HVermont67-79
09/03/26ASiena61-76
07/03/26ASt. Peters74-55
06/03/26HManhattan71-60
01/03/26HMount St. Mary's47-69
28/02/26HSiena72-58
22/02/26AQuinnipiac85-79
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HBrown79-74
11/11/26ADayton99-89
08/11/26HPrinceton82-68
03/11/26ABryant University75-80
19/03/26ADuke65-71
11/03/26AMerrimack Warriors64-54
09/03/26HFairfield76-61
08/03/26HMount St. Mary's63-58
01/03/26HRider76-61
28/02/26AFairfield58-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fairfield
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game60.065.055.0
Allowed / game71.869.574.0
Point differential-11.8-4.5-19.0
Avg total131.8134.5129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siena
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.880.587.0
Allowed / game77.871.084.5
Point differential+6.0+9.5+2.5
Avg total161.5151.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
7 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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