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Benfica vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 110-70
29-15 13-25 38-10 30-20
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game66.0
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#9
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game79.5
PortugalLPBRound 3· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2023-24
Meetings · Benfica v Esgueira
07 Nov 2026
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
BEN81
ESGU72
07 Mar 2025
BEN100
ESGU65
18 Dec 2024
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
14 Feb 2024
BEN77
ESGU53
07 Oct 2023
BEN110
ESGU70
30 Nov 2022
BEN95
ESGU82
09 Dec 2020
BEN78
ESGU73
11 Apr 2020
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
05 Jan 2019
BEN112
ESGU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#8
W
115-44
115
44
+71
no box
A25/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
85-84
85
84
+1
no box
H04/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
H06/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
101-57
101
57
+44
no box
A09/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
101-85
101
85
+16
no box
A11/06
LPB
Imortal
#2
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 82
H16/09
Super Cup
TSU
#54
W
122-62
122
62
+60
124avg 82
H25/09
Champions League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
87-59
87
59
+28
89avg 82
H27/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 82
A29/09
Champions League
Vitoria
#7
W
107-66
107
66
+41
110avg 82
H04/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
36-7
31-14
20-7
28-19
19-29
24-18
14-18
25-21
23-18
12-27
27-27
17-17
31-17
26-11
27-12
23-28
25-17
21-25
32-15
21-15
31-21
16-19
25-20
25-15
32-17
36-18
29-12
24-15
23-16
15-18
25-10
17-19
18-26
24-15
24-13
28-17
25-22
25-10
29-17
167.9Avg total
98.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)107.066.0173.0+41.0100%
Season at home (1)107.066.0173.0+41.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)98.169.8167.9+28.390%
Last 5 (5)98.467.0165.4+31.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (2)79.073.5152.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)93.571.9165.3+21.679%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#5
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
no box
H18/03
LPB
Imortal
#9
L
70-93
70
93
-23
no box
A22/03
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
98-88
98
88
+10
no box
H25/03
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A01/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
60-75
60
75
-15
no box
A16/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
H22/04
LPB
Vitoria
#6
L
99-101
99
101
-2
no box
A06/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 62
A23/09
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
62-74
62
74
-12
56avg 62
H30/09
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
21-17
16-7
14-15
20-24
21-22
10-27
19-20
28-16
18-26
18-21
34-25
14-22
24-23
17-19
28-17
31-16
22-27
18-13
16-20
23-32
15-6
10-18
12-19
28-25
22-19
21-23
16-15
13-22
27-27
38-28
21-24
16-20
17-22
14-15
31-28
17-15
13-19
13-20
19-20
164.0Avg total
80.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.079.5149.5-9.50%
Season at home (1)62.074.0136.0-12.00%
Season away (1)78.085.0163.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)80.783.3164.0-2.650%
Last 5 (5)77.283.4160.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.789.1157.9-20.40%
vs Similar (18)78.581.7160.2-3.244%
vs Weaker (4)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +10.1+10.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +10.1+10.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
BenficaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#8
W
64-23
64
23
+41
A25/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A09/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A11/06
LPB
Imortal
#2
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/09
Super Cup
TSU
#54
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H25/09
Champions League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A29/09
Champions League
Vitoria
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H04/10
LPB
87.1Avg total
49.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.836.284.0+11.687%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.136.385.5+12.893%-
Last 30 away (15)46.536.182.5+10.480%-
Last 10 (10)49.937.287.1+12.780%-
Last 5 (5)48.836.685.4+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (2)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.536.284.7+12.288%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H18/03
LPB
Imortal
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A22/03
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/03
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A01/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H08/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A16/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H22/04
LPB
Vitoria
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A06/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A23/09
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H30/09
LPB
82.8Avg total
40.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.982.3-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.943.386.1-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)35.942.678.5-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.582.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.479.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.744.079.7-8.314%-
vs Similar (18)40.042.182.1-2.133%-
vs Weaker (4)44.840.285.0+4.550%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.7
57.6%
51.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.2
35.9%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.814.7
70.7%
69.3%14.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.0
54.8%
51.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.0
25.5%
33.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.0
73.2%
69.3%15.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWWWWWWLWW
Esgueira
LLLWLWWWLW
#1
League position
#9
+18.2
Net rating
-12.8
114.1
Offensive rating
94.1
95.8
Defensive rating
106.8
56.2%
Effective FG%
47.0%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.9%
3-point %
25.5%
66.5%
Assist %
60.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 94.1Defence95.8 · 106.8Shooting56.2% · 47.0%3-point %35.9% · 25.5%Ball care20.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds36.1% · 20.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Benfica   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Benfica wins
0
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Esgueira v Benfica61-93
30/11/22Benfica v Esgueira95-82
13/03/21Esgueira v Benfica77-92
09/12/20Benfica v Esgueira78-73
21/12/19Esgueira v Benfica76-84
05/01/19Benfica v Esgueira112-66
13/10/18Esgueira v Benfica69-89
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23HVitoria107-66
29/09/23ANorrkoping83-73
27/09/23HAEK Larnaca87-59
25/09/23HTSU122-62
16/09/23HImortal93-75
11/06/23ASporting CP101-85
09/06/23ASporting CP101-57
06/06/23HSporting CP87-93
04/06/23HSporting CP85-84
25/05/23AOvarense115-44
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HOliveirense62-74
23/09/23APortimonense78-85
06/05/23AVitoria99-101
22/04/23HImortal87-82
16/04/23ACD Povoa60-75
08/04/23HCAB Madeira87-76
01/04/23ASangalhos83-81
25/03/23HVitoria98-88
22/03/23AImortal70-93
18/03/23HCD Povoa83-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game107.0107.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+41.0+41.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.062.078.0
Allowed / game79.574.085.0
Point differential-9.5-12.0-7.0
Avg total149.5136.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica110100%107.066.0+41.0
2 FC Porto110100%91.076.0+15.0
3 Oliveirense110100%74.062.0+12.0
4 Sporting CP220100%89.580.5+9.0
5 Portimonense110100%85.078.0+7.0
6 Imortal21150%81.577.0+4.5
7 Galomar21150%87.087.0+0.0
8 CD Povoa21150%82.087.0-5.0
9 Vitoria21150%72.591.5-19.0
10 Ovarense2020%78.582.0-3.5
11 Esgueira2020%70.079.5-9.5
12 Lusitania2020%73.087.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica29133830110
Esgueira1525102070
← all games of the day
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